BMIE Market 92301

San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	38,577 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,442 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±435 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	32,725 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,470 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$68,676 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,303 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	29.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,433 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±115 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$348,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,105 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	224.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	22 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92301
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+46.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+214.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+340.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 23–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	82 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92301. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.2	72	40%	+28.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.7	78	35%	+27.2
Market Momentum Score	82.2	82	25%	+20.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	38,577	93	40%	+37.3
Median household income (ACS)	68,676	45	40%	+18.0
Households (ACS)	9,442	84	20%	+16.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	46.7	79	35%	+27.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.7	89	25%	+22.3
Population (ACS)	38,577	93	20%	+18.7
Median household income (ACS)	68,676	45	20%	+9.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	46.7	79	30%	+23.8
20-year restaurant growth	214.3	95	20%	+18.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (40)

By cuisine

Mexican 9 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 5 · Coffee 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Asian 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · American 2 · Chinese 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 12 · Bakery 7 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Dessert 3 · Food truck 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Adelanto Auto Repair	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11719 Bartlett Ave	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	12100 Palmdale Rd	open
Bravo Burgers Bravo Burgers & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	16880 Sportsman Center	open
Bread Love	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	11965 Cactus Rd	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	14292 US Highway 395	open
Carl’s Jr.	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	14292 US Highway 395	open
Del Taco	Quick service		14200 Highway 395	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	14240 US Highway 395	open
Dippin Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	14196 US-395	open
El Montecito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	11720 Bartlett Ave #1705	open
Express Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	12014 Air Expy	open
Flame Broiler	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	14148 Highway, Ste 395	open
Fresh Wok	Quick service	Chinese · Asian		open
Gridiron Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11965 Cactus Rd #H	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers		open
Joint Venture Medical Industries	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16980 Racoon Ave	open
Kentucky Fried Chicken	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	11158 Chapparal Ave	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Chicken / wings	14258 Highway 395	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		15228 U.S. 395	open
Lee's Donuts	Bakery	Bakery	12091 Air Expy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14196 US-395	open
Louisiana Fried Chicken (Adelanto)	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	11965 Cactus Rd	open
Osaka Sushi AYCE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	14148 US Highway 395	open
Panaderia Azteca	Bakery	Bakery · Mexican · Latin American (other)	11398 Bartlett Ave	open
Papa's Tacos Casero	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	11272 Palmdale Rd	open
Rancho Las Tres Mulas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1925 El Mirage Rd	open
Raul's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11416 Chamberlaine Way	open
Saul's Grilled Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	11416 Chamberlaine Way	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	14136 US-395	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	15341 US Hwy 395, 101	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14148 Hwy 395 Suite 3A	open
Taco Chon	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15655 Highway 395	open
Taqueria Arandas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11619 Rancho Rd	open
Taqueria San Nicolás	Food truck	Mexican	11511 Bartlett Ave	open
The Donut House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11336 Barlett Ave Ste #1	open
weekend and Séneca	Food truck		11251 Seneca Rd	open
Yoly's Taqueria & Pupuseria Taqueria Taxco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	17760 Adelanto Rd	open
Young Dimsum(Adelanto)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	14148 US-395	open
Biblical Research Society	Restaurant (service type not stated)		19111 Panther Ave	closed
Thai-siam Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	11691 Bartlett Ave Ste 2	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	5	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	10	5	1	3	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	9	4	1	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	8	4	1	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	6	3	—	2	1	2	NAICS1997
2002	8	5	1	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	11	9	4	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	3	6	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	16	16	4	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	19	19	6	12	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	15	15	5	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	14	14	5	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	13	13	5	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	15	15	5	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2013	15	15	4	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	17	17	5	10	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	18	6	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	16	5	8	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	17	16	—	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	19	18	3	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	21	5	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	23	20	5	12	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	23	20	4	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	22	4	14	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	24	22	6	13	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92301. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.