BMIE Market 92307

San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	41,180 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,682 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	13,581 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±533 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	37,630 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	14,125 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$77,106 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,281 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,440 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±79 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$428,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,420 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	187.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	48 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92307
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+17.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+54.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+77.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	53 (range 48–58) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.0 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92307. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.4	79	40%	+31.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.2	68	35%	+23.9
Market Momentum Score	63.7	64	25%	+15.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	41,180	94	40%	+37.8
Median household income (ACS)	77,106	58	40%	+23.3
Households (ACS)	13,581	92	20%	+18.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	17.1	61	35%	+21.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.7	66	25%	+16.5
Population (ACS)	41,180	94	20%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	77,106	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.7	63	50%	+31.7
10-year restaurant growth	17.1	61	30%	+18.2
20-year restaurant growth	54.8	69	20%	+13.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (84)

By cuisine

Mexican 13 · American 12 · Coffee 10 · Pizza 9 · Dessert 7 · Asian 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 4 · Seafood 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Tea / bubble tea 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Japanese 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Quick service 24 · Bar 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 7 · Dessert 7 · Bakery 6 · Casual dining 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
18 Taps Tavern	Bar		22120 Outer Hwy 18 N	open
3Rd Generation Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	21600 Corwin Rd	open
Amy's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	18768 US Highway 18	open
Apple Valley - Dale Evans Pkwy Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	14898 Dale Evans Pkwy	open
Buckeye Jack's Saloon & Dance Hall	Bar		22581 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Bum Steer	Restaurant (service type not stated)		23323 US Highway 18	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	20302 Us Highway 18	open
Chevo's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	21749 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Chila-ki-les	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	22171 US Highway 18	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	20434 Highway 18, Ste 110	open
Daisy Dukes Saloon Daisy Dukes Restaurant	Bar	American	21860 Outer Hwy 18 N	open
Del Taco	Quick service		20306 Hwy 18	open
Del Taco	Quick service		13730 Navajo Rd	open
Di Napoli's Fire House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	17856 California 18	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	20200 Outer Hwy 18 Ste D	open
El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco	Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	15824 Apple Valley Rd	open
Fresh Wok Fresh Wok Delivery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	14898 Dale Evans Pkwy #240	open
Fries Galore	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	20601 CA-18	open
Frogee's Cocktail Lounge	Bar		21820 Outer Hwy 18 N	open
Funnmart Talipapa,caldera,sulipan,apalit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Seafood		open
Get Hooked Fish Fry and Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food	20200 CA-18	open
iGuey Tacos	Catering	Mexican	20333 Osuna Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		15818 Apple Valley Rd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		20168 US Highway 18	open
Jacquie's Southern Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	18375 US Highway 18	open
Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	18165 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Juice It Up Juice It Up!	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	14898 Dale Evans Pkwy #250	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	18447 Highway 18	open
La Fiesta Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	22144 CA-18 Unit 2	open
Las Brisas Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Steakhouse · Latin American (other)	21919 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Linda Marie Coddington Dba Spirit River Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16020 Apple Valley Rd Ste B4	open
Little Aviator Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	21600 Corwin Rd Ste 13	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	20152 Outer Hwy 18 N	open
Los Alazanes Mexican Food	Bar	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	14880 Dale Evans Pkwy	open
Los Domingos Restaurant - Apple Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	17790 Wika Rd	open
Mama Carpino's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	22010 CA-18	open
Maxwells	Quick service	American · Burgers	17770 Wika Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	20221 CA-18	open
Mediterranean Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17772 Wika Rd	open
Mollie's Kountry Kitchen Mollie's Kountry Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	21851 CA-18	open
MU'S DONER & KABOB	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18375 US Highway	open
Neil's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	20434 US Highway 18	open
Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Juice / smoothies	18165 US HIGHWAY 18, Ste 2	open
Nekter Juice Bar Nekter Juice Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	18165 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Ninja Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	15850 Apple Valley Rd #116	open
Old Town Dog	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	25999 Zuni Rd	open
Organic Fusion Teahouse & Cafe Organic Fusion Teahouse & Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea · Healthy / salads / bowls	20162 U.S Hwy 18 Ste. I-J	open
Overland Meat Company La Azteca Meat Market	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	18841 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	20290 CA-18	open
Pasco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	18768 US Highway 18	open
Perks Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	18343 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Phil's Seafood Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	15444 Kiamichi Rd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18564 Outer Hwy. 18	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	20288 CA-18	open
Premier Tea Co	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea	19940 Yucca Loma Rd	open
Rainbow Frozen Yogurt CUPS Frozen Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	14898 Dale Evans Pkwy	open
Ravin's Donuts & Boba Tea	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	20152 Outer Hwy 18 N	open
Raz Mexican restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	18400 US Highway 18	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	14898 Dale Evans Pkwy #200	open
Roy’s Crab Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Seafood · American	15200 Rancherias Rd	open
Siam Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	18564 Outer Hwy 18 N	open
Six Beans Yucca Loma Six Beans Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13730 Apple Valley Rd	open
Spirit River Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	16020 Apple Valley Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	18165 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	14880 Dale Evans Parkway #900	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	20288 US Highway 18 T-2)	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	18768 CA-18 Suite 210 Suite 210	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	14898 Dale Evans Parkway Suite 230	open
Sunrae's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	18152 Outer Hwy 18 N	open
Sunrise Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee	21691 Yucca Loma Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	20185 Highway 18	open
Texas Smokehouse BBQ	Quick service	BBQ	16672 Joshua Rd	open
The Cake Shop The Cake Shop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	18429 US Highway 18	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Burgers	20242 Hwy 18	open
The Tipping Point Bar	Bar		21860 Outer Hwy 18 N	open
Tom's Famous Family Restaurant 19 Tom's Famous Family Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	22095 Outer Hwy 18 S	open
Tom's Famous Family Restaurant 20	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18313 Outer Highway 18	open
Town's End Stillhouse Tours	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		22092 CA-18,	open
Viva Maria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	20162 US Highway 18	open
WaBa Grill WaBa Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	20434 Happy Trails Highway 120 CA-18, Ste	open
WG0170 - Apple Valley (Dale Evans Pkway) WaBa Grill	Quick service		20434 Happy Trails Hwy, 120 CA-18 Ste, Ste 120, US Highway 18	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	20434 US Highway 18 Ste 130	open
Cadillac Ranch	Bar		22573 US Highway 18	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	28	27	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	24	24	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	26	24	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	26	24	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	28	24	8	16	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	25	21	8	13	—	2	NAICS1997
2000	26	23	9	13	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	28	25	10	13	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	29	27	8	17	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	35	31	8	21	2	3	NAICS2002
2004	32	29	8	18	3	2	NAICS2002
2005	34	31	10	19	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	34	33	12	17	4	—	NAICS2002
2007	39	36	14	20	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	37	35	14	20	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	41	39	16	21	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	41	40	13	23	4	—	NAICS2007
2011	41	39	13	22	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	46	44	17	23	4	2	NAICS2012
2013	42	41	14	25	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	37	37	15	20	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	39	38	16	19	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	41	39	16	20	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	44	43	14	24	5	—	NAICS2017
2018	46	45	17	25	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	51	49	16	28	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	46	44	13	26	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	48	46	15	26	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	51	47	18	24	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	53	48	18	24	6	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92307. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.