BMIE Market 92325

San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	9,065 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,529 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,743 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	9,391 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,309 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,563 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,568 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±313 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$386,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,352 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	8.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92325
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-6.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-17.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	10 (range 8–13) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.3 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	51 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	47 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92325. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	60.9	61	40%	+24.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	43.2	43	35%	+15.1
Market Momentum Score	46.9	47	25%	+11.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	9,065	69	40%	+27.7
Median household income (ACS)	70,563	48	40%	+19.1
Households (ACS)	3,743	70	20%	+14.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 43 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	35%	+7.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	15.4	51	25%	+12.8
Population (ACS)	9,065	69	20%	+13.9
Median household income (ACS)	70,563	48	20%	+9.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	-6.7	20	30%	+6.0
20-year restaurant growth	-6.7	18	20%	+3.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (30)

By cuisine

American 8 · Coffee 8 · Burgers 4 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 15 · Café 6 · Bar 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Quick service 2 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A BURGER	Quick service	Burgers · American	24075 Lake Dr	open
Cakes By Espie	Dessert	Dessert	23872 Lake Dr	open
Chef Cindy's Cafe	Café	Coffee	23009 Waters Dr	open
Cliffhanger Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	American · Coffee	25187 Rim of the World Hwy	open
Cove Cafe	Café	Coffee · Burgers · American	24171 Lake Dr	open
Crestline Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Casual dining	Coffee · American	23450 Crest Forest Dr	open
Crestline Jerky Co & Snack Emporium	Food truck		24006 Lake Dr.	open
Cupcakes by Chrystal	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Scenic Drive	open
El Jefe's Little Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Burgers	23987 Lake Dr	open
Higher Grounds Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	23776 Lake Dr	open
Hortencia's at the Cliffhanger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	25187 CA-18	open
Jiji & Friends	Bakery	Bakery	23930 Lake Dr	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	23735 Lake Dr	open
La Casita Crestline	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	633 Forest Shade Rd	open
Lake Gregory Coffee Shop	Coffee shop	Coffee	23776 Lake Dr	open
Mandarin Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese		open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	24078 Lake Drive	open
Mountain Cravings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	23450 Crest Forest Dr	open
Paradise Mountain Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	23822 Lake Dr	open
Pricey's Pub & Yacht Club	Bar			open
Rim Of The World Sports Bar	Bar · Casual dining		23420 Crestline Rd	open
RoadHouse Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	565 Forest Shade Rd	open
Stockade Grub and Whiskey	Casual dining · Bar	American	23881 Lake Dr	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	23991 Lake Dr	open
Sweet Pea's Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	24036 Lake Dr	open
Sycamore Ranch Vineyard and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		174 Dart Canyon Rd N	open
The Bearclaw Saloon	Bar		24087 Lake Dr	open
The San Marzano Wine and Ale Lounge	Bar		23575 Lake Dr	open
Toni's Mexican food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	24194 Lake Dr	open
Top Town Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · American	23420 Crest Forest Dr	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	14	14	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	12	11	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	17	16	10	5	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	20	18	11	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2000	23	20	11	6	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	19	16	8	5	2	3	NAICS1997
2002	17	12	6	3	2	4	NAICS1997
2003	17	15	9	3	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	17	16	9	4	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	14	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	15	14	9	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	8	3	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	13	8	3	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	6	4	2	2	NAICS2007
2010	14	12	6	5	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	15	13	9	3	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	15	13	7	5	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	17	15	7	6	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	17	15	8	4	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	16	15	10	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	14	14	9	4	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	14	14	8	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	12	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	11	7	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	12	8	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	14	11	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92325. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92391	2.3 mi	1	2005
92322	2.7 mi	—
92378	3.1 mi	3	2022
92385	3.5 mi	3	2019
92317	3.8 mi	8	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.