BMIE Market 92344

San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	21,349 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,872 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,124 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±475 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,769 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,421 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,071 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,379 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,138 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$482,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,611 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	37.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	10 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92344
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	2.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+42.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.59) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	85 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	88 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	90 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92344. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.59, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 85 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.3	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	87.9	88	35%	+30.8
Market Momentum Score	89.6	90	25%	+22.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	21,349	82	40%	+33.0
Median household income (ACS)	98,071	80	40%	+31.9
Households (ACS)	6,124	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	35%	+32.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.7	93	25%	+23.2
Population (ACS)	21,349	82	20%	+16.5
Median household income (ACS)	98,071	80	20%	+15.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 90 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42.9	88	50%	+55.1
10-year restaurant growth	100	92	30%	+34.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 10 · Burgers 6 · Mexican 6 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Dessert 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Steakhouse 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 12 · Quick service 11 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 4 · Café 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
3rd Strike Beer Co	Brewery / taproom · Bar		12221 Poplar St	open
Alberto's Mexican Food Alberto's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	13374 Ranchero Rd	open
B&B Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13312 Ranchero Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	9640 Mariposa Rd	open
Chronic Tacos Chronic Tacos	Quick service	Mexican	11511 Fashion Ct	open
Chronic Tacos - Hesperia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	11510 fashion Ct	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	8701 Highway 395	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	12699 Main St Ste 100	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	12693 Main Street Ste 240	open
Farmer Boys Farmer Boys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	12727 Main St	open
Fatburger & Buffalo's Express Fatburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	11510 Fashion Ct	open
Five Guys Five Guys	Quick service	Burgers · American	12719 Main Street	open
Flavors of India	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	8853 Three Flags Road, 501	open
Frosty Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	13615 Farmington St	open
Havana Cigar Lounge	Bar		12221 Poplar St	open
Hesperia - Main St. Farmer Boys	Quick service		12727 Main St.	open
Hesperia CA 76 - Fashion Court Wetzel's Pretzels	Quick service		11490 Fashion Court, Hesperia, CA, 92345	open
Homestead Breads	Bakery	Bakery	13089 Cedar St	open
Juice It Up Juice It Up!	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	12721 Main St Ste 330	open
Kallans Bar And Grill Oak Hills	Bar		13330 Ranchero Rd Ste 14	open
Leo's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	13330 Ranchero Rd	open
McDonald's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11487 Fashion Court	open
Mecres Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	8853 Three Flags Road Unit E4	open
Mexico Lindo Mexico Lindo	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	12693 Main St	open
Oak Hills Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		12221 Poplar St Ste 3	open
Outpost Cafe Outpost Cafe	Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	8685 US Highway 395	open
Popeyes Popeyes	Quick service		11452 Fashion Ct	open
Ropers Lounge Restaurant and Drinks	Bar		13330 Ranchero Rd	open
Sohal Investments Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8853 Three Flags Ave Ste 501	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	11412 Fashion Ct	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	13330 Ranchero Rd Ste 2	open
Summit Inn Restaurant	Casual dining	American	5970 Mariposa Rd	open
Tacos Wisa Capital Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	12078 Three Flags Ct	open
Texas Roadhouse Texas Roadhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · American	9601 Mariposa Rd	open
The Bistro	Bar		9619 Mariposa Rd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8701 Us Highway 395	open
Wetzel's Pretzels	Other · Dessert · Quick service	Dessert	11490 Fashion Ct	open
Yogurtland Yogurtland	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	13325 Main St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2006	2	2	1	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	3	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	2	2	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	9	9	2	6	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	6	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	5	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	8	8	2	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	8	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	—	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	7	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	8	3	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	10	3	6	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92344. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.