BMIE Market 92382

San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,215 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±876 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,133 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±264 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	5,268 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,037 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$81,493 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,791 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±242 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$389,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,154 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	20.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	7 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92382
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	13.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+40.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-22.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	13 (range 9–17) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	71 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	59 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92382. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.5	62	40%	+25.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	70.7	71	35%	+24.7
Market Momentum Score	59.1	59	25%	+14.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,215	61	40%	+24.5
Median household income (ACS)	81,493	64	40%	+25.6
Households (ACS)	2,133	62	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	35%	+31.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.4	59	25%	+14.7
Population (ACS)	5,215	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	81,493	64	20%	+12.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	75	89	30%	+26.6
20-year restaurant growth	40	58	20%	+11.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (14)

By cuisine

American 4 · Bakery 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Coffee 1 · Dessert 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arrowbear Liquor and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	32861 Hilltop Blvd	open
Blondies	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	3322 Hwy 18	open
Deep Creek Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	32890 Hilltop Blvd	open
El Toto's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Mexican · Italian	31927 Hilltop Blvd	open
Fireside Lounge	Bar		32031 Holiday Ln	open
Hilltop Chinese Restaurant	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	31956 Hilltop Blvd	open
LuluBelle's Coffee House and Bakery	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	31621 Pleasant Dr	open
Neo's Pizza House	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza · Italian	32000 Hilltop Blvd	open
Old Country Coffee Shop	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	32019 Holiday Ln	open
Rocky's	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	32150 Hilltop Blvd	open
Running Springs Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		31560 Panorama Dr	open
TAPIA'S RED CABIN REST	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31956 HILLTOP Blvd	open
The Sugar Chalet	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	31988 Hilltop Blvd	open
Victoria's Family Restaurant	Casual dining	American	33227 Hilltop Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	8	6	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	7	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	9	8	5	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	8	7	4	3	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	11	9	7	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	8	5	5	—	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	7	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	5	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	7	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	10	9	6	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2009	9	8	6	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2010	8	7	5	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2011	8	6	4	2	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	12	10	8	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	11	10	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	9	7	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	8	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92382. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92341	3.5 mi	1	2009
92321	3.6 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.