BMIE Market 92394

San Bernardino County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	41,614 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,179 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,132 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±681 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,237 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,051 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$78,466 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,825 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,612 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±145 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$385,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,616 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	30 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92394
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+650.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,900.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 28–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.60) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	78 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	79 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92394. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.60, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.0	79	40%	+31.6
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.4	75	35%	+26.4
Market Momentum Score	78.7	79	25%	+19.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	41,614	95	40%	+37.8
Median household income (ACS)	78,466	60	40%	+24.0
Households (ACS)	10,132	86	20%	+17.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.2	84	25%	+20.9
Population (ACS)	41,614	95	20%	+18.9
Median household income (ACS)	78,466	60	20%	+12.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	650	99	20%	+19.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (52)

By cuisine

American 9 · Coffee 7 · Mexican 7 · Asian 6 · Bakery 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Burgers 4 · Chinese 3 · Pizza 3 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 17 · Café 6 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Balenci Bar And Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	15655 US Highway 395	open
cafe 154	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	16868 Stoddard Wells Rd	open
Capos Corner Grill and NY Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches	14555 Civic Dr	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	15277 Hook Blvd	open
Crabhouse66	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	15683 Roy Rogers Dr	open
Desert Sky Plaza Foods Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15617 Roy Rogers Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	15263 Hook Blvd #E	open
Don Beto's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	14890 El Evado Rd	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	15211 Hook Blvd	open
El Mucho Bueno Taco	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	14938 Salamander Ln	open
El Salvador Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · Mexican · Latin American (other)	15680 Village Dr A	open
Farmer Boys Farmer Boys	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15617 Roy Rogers Dr Ste 301	open
Fresh yum Donut's &Deli	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Bakery	15770 Mojave Dr	open
Fruit Avenue	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Sandwiches · Coffee	15207 Hook Blvd #2	open
Golden Chopstix	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15683 Roy Rogers Dr #205	open
Good Fellas Grill & N Y Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		14555 Civic Dr Ste B	open
Grill & Roll	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	14515 Mojave Dr	open
Holland Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American		open
Hook Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	15211 Hook Blvd	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	15290 Civic Drive	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		14515 Mojave Dr	open
Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	15617 Roy Rogers Drive, Suite 103	open
Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service		15683 Roy Rogers Dr Unit 303	open
L&L Hawaiian Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	15683 Roy Rogers Dr	open
La Baja Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	16868 Stoddard Wells Rd Ste 2	open
La Michoacana All Natural Fruit	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	15263 Hook Blvd C	open
Little Caesars Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · American	15770 Mojave Dr	open
Little Italy Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee	14515 Mojave Dr	open
M&M-Mars	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other			open
Manny's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	15752 Mojave Dr	open
Molly Brown's Country Cafe Molly Brown's Country Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15775 Mojave Dr	open
Mopar Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Café	Coffee	14617 Civic Dr	open
Nestle Toll House Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	15617 Roy Rogers Dr	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	14361 Highway 395	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	15270 Civic Drive	open
Papa Johns Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15683 Roy Rogers Dr Ste E203	open
Philly Cheesesteak Subs & More	Other	Sandwiches	14555 Civic Dr	open
Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers Raising Cane's	Quick service		15640 Roy Rogers Drive	open
Sammy's Sandwich Shop	Quick service		14555 Civic Dr	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	15617 Roy Rogers Dr (Roy Rogers & Civi, C Drive, Vi)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	15617 Roy Rogers Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	16251 N D St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	15207 Hook Boulevard Suite 6	open
Sushiaru Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	15683 Roy Rogers Dr	open
Taco Grande	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	15177 Hook Blvd	open
Taqueria Mi Lindo Durango	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	15752 Mojave Dr	open
The Cookie Plug	Bakery	Bakery	15770 Mojave Dr	open
Victorville - Roy Rogers Dr. Farmer Boys	Quick service		15617 Roy Rogers Dr., Ste. 301	open
WaBa Grill WaBa Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Healthy / salads / bowls · Asian	15683 Roy Rogers Dr Ste 301	open
WG0093 - Victorville (Roy Rogers Dr) WaBa Grill	Quick service		15683 Roy Rogers Drive, Ste 301	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	15683 Roy Rogers Dr.	open
Yunny's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	Anaheim street	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	7	7	3	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	6	6	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	11	11	4	4	3	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	13	5	6	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	13	13	3	9	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	11	2	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS2007
2011	12	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	16	4	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	24	24	7	14	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	24	23	8	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	19	19	8	9	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	22	21	8	11	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	25	24	8	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	25	9	14	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	24	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	24	24	10	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	27	26	11	13	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	31	31	14	13	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	30	11	14	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92394. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.