BMIE Market 92582

Riverside County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	23,356 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,679 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,542 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±394 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	15,649 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,661 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$105,540 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,261 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,146 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±349 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$485,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,119 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	18.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 92582
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	3.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+120.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,000.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	11 (range 9–14) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.48) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 92582. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.48, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.5	83	40%	+33.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.6	80	35%	+27.9
Market Momentum Score	76.2	76	25%	+19.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	23,356	84	40%	+33.6
Median household income (ACS)	105,540	84	40%	+33.7
Households (ACS)	5,542	76	20%	+15.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	35%	+22.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.7	93	25%	+23.2
Population (ACS)	23,356	84	20%	+16.8
Median household income (ACS)	105,540	84	20%	+16.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	22.2	65	30%	+19.5
20-year restaurant growth	120	86	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

Mexican 4 · Chicken / wings 2 · Coffee 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 10 · Quick service 6 · Dessert 3 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Castaneda's Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1040 N State St	open
Estrada’s Mas Comida	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3993 Ano Ct	open
GoodFellas Taco Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	448 La Boca St	open
Grumpy Toms Pizzeria - San Jacinto	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1211 N State St	open
Imagelatina	Dessert	Dessert	1357 Sunswept Dr	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		2291 W Esplanade Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		770 W Ramona Expy	open
Juan's Rotisserie Chicken	Quick service	Mexican · Chicken / wings	2241 W Esplanade Ave Ste 101C	open
Kona Ice Of Hemet	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1036 Enterprise Ave	open
La Michoacana San Jacinto	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2241 W Esplanade Ave	open
Moreno Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Mexican · Sandwiches	462 N Scovell Ave	open
Mr You	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2281 W Esplanade Ave	open
Paradice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	950 N Ramona Blvd Ste 7	open
Popeyes Popeyes	Quick service		740 West Ramona Express Way	open
Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	740 W Ramona Express Way	open
Ramona Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	730 W Ramona Expy	open
Stadium Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	701 W Esplanade Ave Ste C	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	2281 W Esplanade Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2281 W. Esplanade Ave. Suite B104	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	3	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	4	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	4	4	1	3	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	4	4	—	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	1	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	6	1	4	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	3	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	7	7	2	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	7	7	1	5	1	—	NAICS2007
2010	5	5	—	5	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	7	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	7	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	9	9	1	8	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	—	6	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	—	7	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	9	9	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	9	9	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	—	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	10	9	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	9	8	—	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	11	10	—	7	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	12	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 92582. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
92567	4.2 mi	3	2023
92583	4.9 mi	50	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.