BMIE Market 93004

Ventura County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,698 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,743 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,140 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±556 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,149 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,866 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$114,012 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,919 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,393 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±177 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$800,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±17,403 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93004
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+31.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+78.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+108.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	30 (range 26–34) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.8 per year, r² 0.69) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	89 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	77 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93004. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.69, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.5	89	40%	+35.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.0	79	35%	+27.7
Market Momentum Score	77.5	77	25%	+19.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,698	89	40%	+35.7
Median household income (ACS)	114,012	88	40%	+35.3
Households (ACS)	11,140	88	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.1	80	25%	+19.9
Population (ACS)	30,698	89	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	114,012	88	20%	+17.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	31.6	84	50%	+41.9
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	78.6	77	20%	+15.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

Mexican 10 · Pizza 6 · Sandwiches 6 · American 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Asian 3 · Bakery 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Italian 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 26 · Quick service 9 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Bakery 5 · Dessert 5 · Café 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ameci Pizza and Pasta Ameci Pizza - Castaic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	10225 Telephone Rd	open
B&J Drive - In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	1323 Los Angeles Ave	open
Becker Pub	Bar		8756 Wellington St	open
Best Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	7770 Telegraph Rd Ste D	open
Big Als Old Mountain House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10251 Telephone Rd	open
Cafe 126	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	11033 Citrus Dr	open
California Slice Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1087 Scandia Ave	open
Caraba Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	9493 Telephone Rd	open
Casa Del Rio	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1164 S Wells Rd	open
Citrus Donuts Llc	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	11037 Citrus Dr	open
Clay's Bar	Bar · Casual dining		9845 Halifax St	open
Da Hickory House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	10251 Telephone Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	9410 Telephone Rd	open
F G Evans Group Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		11033 Citrus Dr	open
Hungry Howie's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1087 Scandia Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		11044 Citrus Dr	open
Karina's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1087 Scandia Ave	open
Keynote Lounge	Bar		10245 Telephone Rd	open
Kyoto Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7880 Telegraph Rd #8	open
La casa del bbq	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	10251 Telephone Rd	open
La Escondida Restaurant \| Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	11181 Azahar St	open
Lalo's Fast Food Jr	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	10235 Telephone Rd	open
Los Antojitos y mas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	11008 Citrus Dr	open
Los Comales Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	11012 Violeta St	open
Mexican Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	10235 Telephone Rd	open
Mister Softee	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	7770 Telegraph Rd	open
New Panda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9284 Telephone Rd	open
Pacific Coast Grill and Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee	9493 Telephone Rd	open
Pizza Chief	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7770 Telegraph Rd	open
Scandia Liquor & Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	10257 Telephone Rd	open
Simones Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	7818 Telegraph Rd	open
Sparky's Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	7770 Telegraph Rd Ste F	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	7770 Telegraph Rd Ste C	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	9280 Telephone Rd	open
Sun Village Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	9324 Telephone Rd	open
Sweet Sandy's	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	10586 Henderson Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	Kimball Plaza 7880 Telegraph Road, Suite F	open
Taco del Mar	Quick service		7899 Telephone Rd	open
Tasty China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	9493 Telephone Rd	open
The Garage Bar	Bar		1091 Scandia Ave	open
The Sandwich Man	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1575 Los Angeles Ave	open
Tony's Burrito Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches	7770 Telegraph Rd. Unit F	open
Tony's Burrito Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	9286 Telephone Rd	open
Two Trees Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		368 Sacramento Dr	open
Two Trees Restaurant and Taps	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café	American · Coffee	7822 Telegraph Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	14	12	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	12	10	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	13	10	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	15	11	4	5	2	4	NAICS1997
1999	18	14	6	6	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	20	14	6	6	2	5	NAICS1997
2001	21	16	7	7	2	4	NAICS1997
2002	16	12	4	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	17	14	3	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2004	19	15	4	9	2	1	NAICS2002
2005	21	17	5	9	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	18	16	6	9	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	25	22	6	12	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	18	16	5	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	17	14	3	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	20	7	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	19	17	4	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	20	18	5	9	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	22	20	7	9	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	18	6	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	18	6	9	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	25	22	10	8	4	1	NAICS2012
2017	22	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	19	9	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	21	10	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	23	10	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	30	26	10	13	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	26	10	13	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	25	10	12	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93004. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
93036	2.2 mi	84	2023
93003	3.4 mi	154	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.