BMIE Market 93203
Kern County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,712 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±302 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 5,052 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±213 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 20,938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,013 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $49,217 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3,754 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 25.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,122 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±81 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $264,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 172.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 25 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93203 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 4.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +8.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +150.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +257.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +400.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 32 (range 23–41) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.2 per year, r² 0.47) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 53 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 69 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 81 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93203. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.47, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 53.2 | 53 | 40% | +21.3 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68.6 | 69 | 35% | +24.0 |
| Market Momentum Score | 80.7 | 81 | 25% | +20.2 |
Consumer Market Score: 53 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,712 | 82 | 40% | +32.8 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 49,217 | 14 | 40% | +5.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 5,052 | 74 | 20% | +14.9 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 69 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 150 | 95 | 35% | +33.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 12.1 | 64 | 25% | +16.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,712 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 49,217 | 14 | 20% | +2.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 81 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 8.7 | 66 | 50% | +33.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 150 | 95 | 30% | +28.6 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 257.1 | 96 | 20% | +19.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (53)
By cuisine
Mexican 14 · American 7 · Juice / smoothies 7 · Burgers 6 · Latin American (other) 5 · Pizza 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Coffee 4 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Chicken / wings 3 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Italian 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Quick service 16 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bakery 4 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Bar 2 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antojitos Luita | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Mexican | 121 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Arvin Black Bear Diner Black Bear Diner | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · American | 5542 Laval Rd | open |
| Arvin Doughnuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 352 Bear Mountain Blvd #1508 | open |
| Baja Fresh | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 5545 Laval Rd, Ste B | open |
| Bear Mountain Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 393 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Botanica San Judas | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 515 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Chicken / wings · Burgers · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American | 5552 S Wheeler Ridge Rd | open |
| Burger King | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 802 Bear Mountain Blvd | open | |
| Burger Time | Quick service | Burgers · American | 498 Meyer St | open |
| Cabellin Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 132 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 5631 Laval Rd | open |
| Carnitas El Ahuehuete | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | 11619 Sunset Blvd | open | |
| Carnitas y carniceria los primos de arvin | Specialty food shop | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 210 Arvin Ave | open |
| Casa Burger Drive-In | Quick service | American · Burgers | 301 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Charleys Cheesesteaks Charleys Cheesesteaks | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches · American | 5621 Outlets At Tejon Pkwy | open |
| Chepes Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 300 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Cinnabon Cinnabon | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 5701 Outlets at Tejon Ranch | open |
| Country Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 300 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Cuyama Orchards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 4800 Legray Rd | open | |
| Del Valle Tortilleria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 148 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Dewar's | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 5701 Outlets At Tejon Pkwy #660 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert · Coffee shop | Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee · Breakfast | 5621 Outlets At Tejon Parkway | open |
| Garcia Family Farms | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 14322 Di Giorgio Rd | open | |
| Heck Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom | 15401 Bear Mountain Winery Rd | open | |
| Jarritos Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 373 Bear Mountain Blvd | open | |
| Kong's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 745 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Krispy Krunchy Chicken | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 100 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| La Fogata Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 241 Bear Mountain Blvd #1505 | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 524 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 798 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Mexican Food Truck | Food truck | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | open | |
| Pieology Pizzeria Pieology Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5555 Laval Rd | open |
| Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5552 S Wheeler Ridge Rd | open |
| Planet Smoothie Planet Smoothie | Quick service · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls | 5701 Outlets at Tejon Pkwy | open |
| Pupusas 100% Salvadoreñas | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 156 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Roll-Em-Up Taquitos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 5602A Dennis McCarthy Dr | open |
| Sherrill Orchards | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 3265 Valpredo Rd | open |
| Smart Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea | Healthy / salads / bowls · Juice / smoothies | 522 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 330 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 5555 Laval Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service | Sandwiches | 5552 Wheeler Ridge Rd, Truckstops of America | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 5701 Outlets at Tejon Parkway Space 690, Building 6 | open |
| Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 352 Bear Mountain Blvd, Suite A | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5800 N Wheeler Ridge Rd | open |
| Sunmet Juice Company, LLC | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies | 14322 Di Giorgio Rd | open |
| Sunview Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 20651 E Bear Mountain Blvd | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 330 Bear Mountain Blvd. | open |
| Tacos El Chivo | Food truck | Mexican | 1575 Haven Dr | open |
| Tacos y mariscos el cholo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 252 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| The Habit Burger Grill The Habit Burger Grill | Quick service · Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Burgers · American | 5545 Laval Rd | open |
| Tony's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5701 Outlets at Tejon Pkwy | open |
| Vargas Pinaas Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 132 Bear Mountain Blvd | open |
| Wingstop | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5701 Outlets At Tejon Pkwy | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 6 | 6 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 4 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 5 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 9 | 9 | 3 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 12 | 12 | 6 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 6 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 5 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 10 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 11 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 1 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 15 | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 21 | 20 | 5 | 11 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 27 | 8 | 17 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 23 | 23 | 6 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 24 | 24 | 6 | 16 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 21 | 21 | 6 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 18 | 18 | 3 | 13 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 22 | 22 | 6 | 11 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 25 | 25 | 5 | 13 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.