BMIE Market 93305

Kern County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	37,714 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,535 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,227 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±550 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	37,601 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,964 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$43,244 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,066 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	29.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,137 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±38 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$251,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,314 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	5.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	49 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93305
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+11.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+44.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+25.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	51 (range 48–54) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.46) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	55 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93305. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.46, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.1	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	54.7	55	35%	+19.1
Market Momentum Score	49.5	50	25%	+12.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	37,714	93	40%	+37.2
Median household income (ACS)	43,244	8	40%	+3.3
Households (ACS)	11,227	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 55 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	11.4	55	35%	+19.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.0	60	25%	+15.1
Population (ACS)	37,714	93	20%	+18.6
Median household income (ACS)	43,244	8	20%	+1.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	11.4	55	30%	+16.6
20-year restaurant growth	44.1	60	20%	+12.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (109)

By cuisine

Mexican 37 · Latin American (other) 18 · American 12 · Burgers 11 · Italian 6 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 6 · Chicken / wings 5 · Coffee 5 · Dessert 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Asian 4 · Pizza 4 · Seafood 4 · Bakery 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Breakfast 2 · Spanish / tapas 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 77 · Quick service 19 · Bar 12 · Casual dining 8 · Dessert 7 · Café 5 · Food truck 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Specialty food shop 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Airline Oil Company, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		627 Williams St	open
Almuerzos Urani	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1313 Lincoln St	open
Alta Vista Drive	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3200 Alta Vista Dr	open
Alza Seafood, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1301 Chamberlain Ave	open
Anita's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	Harold Way	open
Antojitos Romelia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Italian	2105 Edison Hwy	open
Antojitos Y Mariscos El Sabor De Guerrero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	1209 Beale Ave	open
Arizona Cafe	Café	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Coffee	809 Baker St	open
Big Al’s BBQ & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	American	201 Sonora St	open
Bill Brown Motors Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1421 E Truxtun Ave	open
Birrieria y Taqueria Los Alteños	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	626 Bernard St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1949 Columbus St	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	3405 Union Ave	open
Casa Munoz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1736 Union Ave	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2501 River Blvd	open
Ching Yen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1207 Columbus St	open
Churreria La Linea	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert · Mexican	2105 Edison Hwy	open
Columbus ST Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1517 Columbus St	open
Crab in a Bag	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Cajun, Creole, Southern	1641 Union Ave	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1517 Columbus St	open
El Asadero Taco Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	215 Niles Pl	open
El Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	2105 Edison Hwy 116 y #117	open
El Maguey Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1329 E Truxtun Ave	open
El Majahual Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	1308 Chamberlain Ave	open
El Montecito Club	Bar		628 Baker St	open
El Pirulis Club #2	Bar		903 Baker St	open
El Ranchito Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	2105 Edison Hwy	open
EL RINCONCITO restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2105 Edison Hwy	open
Emmanuel's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	1329 E Truxtun Ave	open
familias saludubles	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	630 Bernard St	open
Farmer Boys	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Sandwiches · Burgers	2617 Haley St	open
Fiesta Foods And Meat Foods ( Bbq, Taquria, Carniceria)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1631 Beale Ave	open
Flores Ice Cream & Crepe	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Breakfast	2105 Edison Hwy	open
Frosty King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1301 Union Ave	open
Frosty plus	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Dessert	Burgers · Ice cream / frozen desserts	2111 Columbus St	open
Frosty Queen Express	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers · American	2055 Flower St #4147	open
Grandma's Tamales Restaurante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	100 Bernard St	open
Grandma’s Sport Bar & Grill	Bar		1901 Flower St	open
Grenadier Cocktail Lounge	Bar		1721 Columbus St	open
Hot dogs gurley st 661	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hot dogs	Haley st and, Height St	open
J&E Restaurant supplies	Restaurant (service type not stated)		430 E 19th St	open
John’s Burgers John's Burgers	Quick service	Burgers · American	2637 River Blvd	open
Just Wing It	Bar		1837 Niles St	open
Kars Towing &amp Transport, Inc. Dba Dave's Fleet Maintenan	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1401 Washington St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	2674 Mount Vernon Avenue	open
Kings Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1301 Union Ave	open
Kings Drive In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	1630 Niles St	open
Kings Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Asian · American	809 Goodman St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4198 Union Ave	open
La Cascada	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5516, 2105 Edison Hwy #8	open
La chucheria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	1309 Chamberlain Ave Spc 6	open
La Reyna Michoacana	Dessert	Dessert · Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1310 Chamberlain Ave	open
La Rosa Fruit Bars & Ice Cream, Inc	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies · Dessert	1317 Niles St	open
Lie-N Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	215 Niles Pl	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	1009 Columbus St	open
Los Aguacates Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	1329 E Truxtun Ave	open
Los Brothers Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · American	Inside Skyway Gas Station, 4199 Union Ave	open
Los Carnales Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1626 Beale Ave	open
Los Hermanos Restaurant Los Hermanos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3501 Union Ave	open
Los Reyes Restaurant Los Reyes Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	813 Baker St	open
Los Tacos De Huicho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	123 E 18th St	open
Los Tucanes Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1230 Baker St	open
Luigi's Restaurant and Delicatessen	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Italian · Sandwiches	725 E 19th St	open
Mariscos Costa Grande	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1626 Beale Ave	open
Mariscos Costa Grande 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1001 Niles St	open
Mariscos Las Islitas Estilo Nayarit	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other)	1301 Chamberlain Ave	open
Mariscos Uruapan	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Seafood	1200 E Truxtun Ave	open
Mc Murphys Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	14 Monterey St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1812 N Union Ave	open
Mercado Latino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2105 Edison Hwy	open
Mexicali Restaurants	Restaurant (service type not stated)		419 Baker St	open
Mi Terraza Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2105 Edison Hwy	open
Nagazaki, Japan	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Japanese		open
Narducci's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	622 E 21st St	open
Noriega Hotel	Restaurant (service type not stated)		525 Sumner St	open
Papa Johns Pizza Papa John's Pizza	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1525 Columbus St Ste 300	open
Pizza & Wings-River Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Chicken / wings	2100 River Blvd	open
Plazita Las Americas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1309 Chamberlain Ave and, Harold Way	open
Pollos Martinez	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Mexican	1309 Chamberlain Ave	open
Pop's Drive-In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers	963 Baker St	open
Pyrenees Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas · European	601 Sumner St	open
Pyrenees French Bakery, Inc.	Bakery	Bakery · French	717 E 21st St	open
Rafas Papas & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		511 Bernard St	open
Renegade Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	Family and Consumer Education, 1801 Panorama Dr	open
Rusty's Pizza Parlor Rusty's Pizza Parlor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	40 Bernard St	open
Saffron & Honey Homemade Sweets	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Bakersfield	open
Salon Juarez	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	815 E 18th St	open
Sharetea Bakersfield	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	1707 Columbus St	open
Smith's Bakeries Smith's Bakeries	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	2808 Union Ave	open
Stagler	Bar		511 E 19th St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1525 Columbus Suite 200	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1400 Brundage Lane Suite 102	open
Super Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	520 E Truxtun Ave	open
Super Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1300 E Truxtun Ave	open
Sushi Bar Panda Gordo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	212 E 18th St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	3315 Union Ave	open
Tacos de birria el pariente	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	901 Panorama Dr	open
Tacos La Villa Mexican Grill Tacos La Villa Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1400 Union Ave	open
Tacos La Villa Mexican Grill Tacos La Villa Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1801 Union Ave	open
Teriyaki Madness Teriyaki Madness	Quick service	Japanese · Asian	1525 Columbus St #100	open
Tia Juana Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	430 Baker St	open
Tiki-Tiki Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	628 Bernard St	open
Tona y Lauras Cocina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1430 E Truxtun Ave	open
Tortilleria la Ruana	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		2105 Edison Hwy	open
Vallarta Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1011 Columbus St	open
West Coast Sourdough West Coast Sourdough	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	2617 Haley St	open
Wool Growers Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Spanish / tapas	620 E 19th St	open
Garrison's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	1900 Union Ave Ste 300	closed
Los Trompitos Taqueria	Quick service		4198 Union Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	45	39	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	43	37	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1996	44	37	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1997	43	38	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	43	35	17	17	1	6	NAICS1997
1999	43	35	17	17	1	6	NAICS1997
2000	43	33	15	17	1	7	NAICS1997
2001	43	34	17	16	1	6	NAICS1997
2002	43	37	17	19	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	40	34	15	19	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	39	33	14	19	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	40	34	16	17	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	41	33	17	14	2	5	NAICS2002
2007	37	30	14	13	3	4	NAICS2002
2008	36	30	11	16	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	42	35	15	17	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	40	33	15	16	2	4	NAICS2007
2011	39	33	16	15	2	4	NAICS2007
2012	48	44	21	20	3	3	NAICS2012
2013	48	44	22	19	3	3	NAICS2012
2014	53	48	27	18	3	3	NAICS2012
2015	49	44	22	19	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	48	44	23	18	3	2	NAICS2012
2017	50	46	22	20	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	55	49	22	23	4	3	NAICS2017
2019	54	48	24	20	4	3	NAICS2017
2020	51	47	23	19	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	52	48	23	20	5	3	NAICS2017
2022	51	48	21	22	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	52	49	20	25	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93305. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
93301	2.0 mi	89	2023
93304	4.1 mi	94	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.