BMIE Market 93314

Kern County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,407 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,258 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	10,979 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±601 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	22,393 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,515 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$126,250 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,506 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	34.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,166 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±133 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$543,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,126 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	88.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93314
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.5 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+64.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+130.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+475.0% DERIVED: 2004 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	28 (range 25–31) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.90) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	92 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	91 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	92 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	94 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93314. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.90, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	91.1	91	40%	+36.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	91.6	92	35%	+32.1
Market Momentum Score	93.5	94	25%	+23.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 91 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,407	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	126,250	92	40%	+36.9
Households (ACS)	10,979	87	20%	+17.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 92 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	130	95	35%	+33.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.5	86	25%	+21.6
Population (ACS)	35,407	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	126,250	92	20%	+18.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 94 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	64.3	93	50%	+57.9
10-year restaurant growth	130	95	30%	+35.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Mexican 11 · Coffee 9 · American 6 · Sandwiches 5 · Pizza 4 · Dessert 3 · Asian 2 · Bakery 2 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Brazilian 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Indian 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 30 · Quick service 19 · Coffee shop 9 · Bar 7 · Café 7 · Casual dining 6 · Dessert 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Food truck 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Catering 1 · Fast casual 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
American Deli & Liquor	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	13001 Stockdale Hwy	open
Asbury Knight Investments,inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3510 Allen Rd Ste 101	open
Auntie Anne's	Other · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Quick service	Juice / smoothies · Dessert	16226 Stockdale Highway	open
Bootleggers Neighborhood Pub and Eatery	Casual dining · Bar		1345 Allen Rd	open
Bottoms Up Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	13011 Stockdale Hwy	open
Brunch N Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	16101 CA-58	open
Cataldo's Pizzeria Riverwalk	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	13011 Stockdale Hwy	open
Cigars & More 2	Bar		1403 Allen Rd #800	open
Desert Stone Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	13804 Las Entradas	open
Dewar's Express	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	16123 Stockdale Hwy Ste 100	open
Domino's Pizza Domino's	Quick service		13061 Rosedale Highway #E	open
Dunkin'	Coffee shop	Coffee	1211 Allen Rd Ste 300	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Quick service · Café	Coffee	75 Heath Rd	open
El Patio Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican	13001 Stockdale Hwy	open
Fit Pantry	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Healthy / salads / bowls	136 Allen Rd Ste 200	open
Flame & Fire Brazilian Steakhouse Flame & Fire Brazilian Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Brazilian · Steakhouse · Latin American (other)	12814 Stockdale Hwy	open
Flame & Skewers Mediterranean Restaurant Flame and Skewers Valencia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	1211 Allen Rd	open
Flame Broiler Flame Broiler	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Korean · Asian	12918 Brimhall Rd	open
G's Texas Smoke Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		22520 Sidding Rd	open
Golden Bull	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	22460 Rosedale Hwy	open
Heath Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	75 Heath Rd	open
Hidalgo Produce	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	20935 Stockdale Hwy	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	29541 Stockdale Hwy	open
Jacalito Grill Express : On The Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	13043 Stockdale Hwy Unit 100	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	205 Trask St	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	1211 Allen Rd	open
JIN SUSHI #2 (Brimhall & Allen)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	12900 Brimhall Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	22520 Sidding Road	open
La Jaliciense	Food truck	Mexican	8920 De Swan Ct	open
Mark & Sherry's Cabana Beach & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	16100 Stockdale Hwy	open
Me n Ed's Pizzeria Stockdale Ranch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	16137 Stockdale Hwy	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13075 Rosedale Hwy	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service		14453 Rosedale Highway	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Presotea	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1345 Allen Rd Ste 200	open
Rancho Grande Mex Grill Rancho Grande Mex Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	12926 Brimhall Rd	open
Real Taste Of India Taste of India Restaurant - Singapore	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Indian	253 Trask St	open
Redhouse Beef	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse · BBQ	649 Enos Ln	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13015 Stockdale Highway	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	16203 Stockdale Hwy	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	13045 Rosedale Hwy (Albertsons-Bakersf, Ield #6377)	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7435 Calloway Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	13133 Rosedale Hwy	open
Subway	Quick service · Other	Sandwiches	4950 Allen Rd	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	31110 7th Standard Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	29727 Stockdale Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	16132 Stockdale Hwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1301 Allen Rd.	open
Taco Maker	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	13004 Stockdale Hwy	open
Tacos El Monkey Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican	Stockdale Hwy i5	open
Tacos El Vaquero	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering		13113 Appaloosa Ave	open
Taqueria Taquería Arandas PN	Quick service	Mexican	13004 Stockdale Hwy	open
Tea Bar	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	13061 Rosedale Hwy	open
Tifa Chocolate & Gelato Tifa Chocolate & Gelato - Charlotte, NC	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	12716 Stockdale Hwy	open
Tony's Pizza To Go	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	13043 Stockdale Hwy Unit 100	open
Tropical Sno Bakersfield	Dessert		14055 Rosedale Hwy	open
Valle Flavors of Mexico	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Spanish / tapas	12716 Stockdale Hwy	open
Vi's	Bar		14145 Rosedale Hwy	open
Yogurtland Yogurtland	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	14453 Rosedale Highway	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2004	4	4	—	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	7	2	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	8	8	3	3	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	7	2	4	—	1	NAICS2002
2008	8	7	2	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	10	9	3	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	11	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	11	9	5	4	—	1	NAICS2007
2012	10	8	3	4	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	10	4	5	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	10	3	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	15	12	2	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2016	13	11	2	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	11	—	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	14	4	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	18	16	5	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	19	17	7	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	20	17	5	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	21	6	12	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	23	5	12	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93314. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.