BMIE Market 93427
Santa Barbara County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 5,737 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 2,178 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 5,505 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 2,141 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $102,857 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±26,202 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 40.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,122 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±152 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $867,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±65,149 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 69.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 32 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93427 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 40.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +18.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +52.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +45.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +146.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 40 (range 38–42) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.94) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 71 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 76 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93427. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.94, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 70.6 | 71 | 40% | +28.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 60.8 | 61 | 35% | +21.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 75.7 | 76 | 25% | +18.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 71 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 5,737 | 63 | 40% | +25.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 102,857 | 83 | 40% | +33.1 |
| Households (ACS) | 2,178 | 62 | 20% | +12.5 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52.4 | 85 | 35% | +29.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 55.8 | 8 | 25% | +2.1 |
| Population (ACS) | 5,737 | 63 | 20% | +12.5 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 102,857 | 83 | 20% | +16.5 |
Market Momentum Score: 76 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 18.5 | 76 | 50% | +38.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 52.4 | 85 | 30% | +25.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 45.5 | 61 | 20% | +12.2 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (112)
By cuisine
American 12 · Mexican 9 · Coffee 8 · Bakery 7 · Asian 4 · Burgers 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Breakfast 3 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · BBQ 1 · Brazilian 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · European 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1
By type
Winery / distillery / taproom 56 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 34 · Bar 19 · Quick service 10 · Bakery 7 · Café 7 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 5 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A J Spurs Saloon & Dining Hall | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Steakhouse · BBQ · American | 350 E Hwy 246 | open |
| A-Ru Japanese Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Asian | 225 McMurray Rd | open |
| Al Fresco Picnic | Other | Sandwiches | 225 McMurray Rd | open |
| Albertos Coffee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 522 Calor Dr | open | |
| Alma Rosa Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 181 Industrial Way | open | |
| Alma Rosa Winery & Vineyards Ranch House & Estate | Winery / distillery / taproom | 7250 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Aly's Grill From Brazil | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Brazilian | 205 E Highway 246 Ste 102 | open |
| Amber Rose Wines Tasting Room | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 140 Industrial Way | open | |
| Antonio's Pizza &Pasta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 278 E Hwy 246 | open |
| AR Restaurant & Catering | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | American | 225 McMurray Rd # A | open |
| Artisan Excursion Wine Tours | Winery / distillery / taproom | 51 E Highway 246 | open | |
| Ascendant Spirits, Inc. | Winery / distillery / taproom | 37 Industrial Way Ste 103 | open | |
| Beckmen Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 61 Industrial Way | open | |
| Blenders In The Grass Blenders In The Grass- Lompoc | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee | 234 E Hwy 246 #105 | open |
| Bodega Bake Shop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 100 Los Padres Way #2 | open |
| Bradley Family Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 92 2nd St | open | |
| Bread Board Deli And Sandwich Shop | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | Avenue of Flags | open |
| Brick Barn Wine Estate | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 795 W Highway 246 | open | |
| Burritos Lalo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 175 McMurray Rd | open |
| Buscador Wine | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 140 Industrial Way | open | |
| California Tacos California Tacos Cantina and Distillery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 375 Avenue of the Flags | open |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service | Burgers · American | 208 E. Highway 246 | open |
| Casa Cassera | Winery / distillery / taproom | 291 Valley Station Dr | open | |
| Central Coast Group Project | Winery / distillery / taproom | 65 Los Padres Way | open | |
| China Panda Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 272 E Hwy 246 | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 205 E Highway 246 | open |
| Cholame Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 140 Industrial Way | open | |
| Crawford Family Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 92 2nd St unit g | open | |
| Demetria Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | Chinese | open | |
| Dragonette Cellars Dragonette Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom | 55 Los Padres Way | open | |
| Eddie's Grill Eddie's Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 234 E Hwy 246 #107 | open |
| Ellen's Danish Pancake House | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast · European | 272 Ave of Flags | open |
| Enjoy Bagels & Sweets Enjoy Cupcakes | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 270 E Hwy 246 | open |
| Esfuerzo Wine | Winery / distillery / taproom | 140 Industrial Way | open | |
| Fates' Lieutenant Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 100 Los Padres Way | open | |
| Feather & Fire | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 180 Avenue of the Flags | open |
| Figueroa Mountain Brewing Co. Buellton Figueroa Mountain Brewing - Santa Barbara | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 45 Industrial Way | open | |
| Firestone Walker Brewing Company - Barrelworks Firestone Walker Brewing Co. | Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar | 620 McMurray Rd | open | |
| Gino's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 383 Ave of Flags Ste E and F | open |
| Giorgio's at Parkway | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 265 Ave of Flags | open |
| God’s Country Provisions Drover's Doughnuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 252 E CA-246 | open |
| H.p. Buellton Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 406 E Highway 246 | open | |
| Helix | Winery / distillery / taproom | 140 Industrial Way | open | |
| Hilltop Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6725 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Imagine Wine | Winery / distillery / taproom | 140 Industrial Way d2 | open | |
| Industrial Eats | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee · American | 181 Industrial Way | open |
| Industrial Way | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 59 Industrial Way | open | |
| Industrial Way, Buellton | Bar | Industrial Way | open | |
| It's The Sweet Stuff | Bakery | Bakery | 234 E Highway 246 Ste 108 | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 250 E Highway 246 | open | |
| Janeen’s Coffee At The Cabin | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 264 E Hwy 246 | open |
| Jersey Mike's Jersey Mike's Subs | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 211 E. Hwy. 246 Suite 101 | open |
| Jonata Ranch | Winery / distillery / taproom | Rancho San Antonio, 2051 Jonata Park Rd | open | |
| Jonata Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 73 Thomas Rd | open | |
| Kalyra Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 140 Industrial Way | open | |
| Ken Brown Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 157 W Hwy 246 | open | |
| La Botte Bistro | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 225 McMurray Rd | open |
| La Fond Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | open | ||
| La Tequila | Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 35 W Hwy 246 | open |
| Lafond Winery and Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 6855 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Lavender Oak Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 9450 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Liquid Farm Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 65 Los Padres Way #4 | open | |
| Little King Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 290 Valley Station Dr | open |
| Lucas & Lewellen Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 132 Easy St Ste B | open | |
| Luna Hart Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 84 Industrial Way | open | |
| Margerum Wine Company Margerum Wine Company | Winery / distillery / taproom | 59 Industrial Way | open | |
| Mariscos La Rancherita | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Seafood | 375 Avenue Of The Flags | open |
| Martellotto Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 100 Los Padres Way Ste 7 | open | |
| McClain Cellars McClain Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 283 Pamela Wy Suite 104 | open | |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service | Burgers · Breakfast | 337 Mcmurray Rd | open |
| Morrell's Farm Fresh Dining | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering | American | 225 McMurray Rd UNIT E | open |
| Mother Hubbard's Restaurant | Casual dining | American · Breakfast | 373 Avenue of Flags | open |
| Na Na Thai | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 225 McMurray Rd | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 211 E CA-246 | open |
| Pattibakes | Bakery | Bakery | 240 E Highway 246 Ste 109 | open |
| Peake Ranch | Winery / distillery / taproom | 7290 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Pence Vineyards & Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1909 W Highway 246 | open | |
| Quinta Santa Rosa Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6800 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Rancho Lavina Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 7250 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Rivahil Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 90 Easy St | open | |
| Roark Wine Co | Winery / distillery / taproom | 84 Industrial Way Ste C | open | |
| Rudy's Mexican Restaurant Rudy's Restaurant Buellton | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 234 E Hwy 246 | open |
| Sanford Winery Sanford Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 7250 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Sanford Winery and Vineyard Sanford Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | open | ||
| Santa Barbara Wine Country | Winery / distillery / taproom | 140 West Highway 246, #1059 | open | |
| Sapien Wine | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 90 Easy St | open | |
| Section Wines Section Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 65 Los Padres Way | open | |
| Sevtap Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 100 Los Padres Way | open | |
| Sideways Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 114 E Hwy 246 #9724 | open | |
| Solvang Bakery | Bakery · Café | Bakery · Coffee · American | 252 E CA-246 | open |
| Standing Sun Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 92 2nd St | open | |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Café · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 222 E Highway 246 | open |
| Starting Gate Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Bar | Coffee | 555 Mcmurray Rd | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 270 East Highway 246 Unit 103 | open |
| SY Valley Spirits | Winery / distillery / taproom | 233 Valley Dairy Rd | open | |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 191 E Highway 246 | open |
| Taco Roco Taco Roco Central Coast | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 245 Ave of Flags | open |
| Tensley Wine Company | Winery / distillery / taproom | 100 Los Padres Way | open | |
| Terravant Wine Company | Winery / distillery / taproom | 70 Industrial Way | open | |
| Terravant Winery Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 35 Industrial Way | open | |
| The Habit Burger Grill The Habit Burger Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 205 E Hwy 246 | open |
| The Hitching Post Ii | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 406 E Highway 246 | open | |
| The Tavern at Zaca Creek | Bar | Steakhouse · American | 1297 Jonata Park Rd | open |
| Tierra Y Vino | Winery / distillery / taproom | 140 Industrial Way | open | |
| Tomi Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom | 140 Industrial Way # D2 | open | |
| Toños Mexican Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 501 Ave of Flags | open |
| Vega Vineyard and Farm | Winery / distillery / taproom | 9496 Santa Rosa Rd | open | |
| Westerly Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 90 Easy St | open | |
| Wine Country Tours - Santa Ynez Valley | Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom | 322 CA-246 | open | |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 234 E. Highway 246 | open |
| Zaca Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 240 E Hwy 246 | open |
| Barbieri Wine Company | Winery / distillery / taproom | 100 Los Padres Way | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 13 | 13 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 12 | 12 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 14 | 13 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 18 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 21 | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 17 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 21 | 21 | 11 | 9 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 22 | 22 | 14 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 23 | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 21 | 21 | 13 | 7 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 20 | 19 | 10 | 8 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 25 | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 24 | 22 | 11 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 25 | 22 | 10 | 9 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 26 | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 23 | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 23 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 22 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 23 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 25 | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 27 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 28 | 27 | 10 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 31 | 29 | 11 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 31 | 30 | 10 | 14 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 37 | 33 | 15 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 13 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 32 | 15 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.