BMIE Market 93451
Monterey County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 5,207 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,026 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,663 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±252 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 3,779 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,462 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $98,188 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,786 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 36.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,978 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±316 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $652,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±63,608 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 447.2 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93451 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 21.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -57.1% DERIVED: 2017 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -66.7% DERIVED: 2012 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | -25.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2027 | 0 (range 0–2) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2012–2022 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 47 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 7 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93451. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2012–2022, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 47 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 68.0 | 68 | 40% | +27.2 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 50.8 | 51 | 35% | +17.8 |
| Market Momentum Score | 6.6 | 7 | 25% | +1.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 5,207 | 61 | 40% | +24.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 98,188 | 80 | 40% | +31.9 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,663 | 58 | 20% | +11.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -66.7 | 1 | 35% | +0.4 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 5.8 | 89 | 25% | +22.2 |
| Population (ACS) | 5,207 | 61 | 20% | +12.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 98,188 | 80 | 20% | +16.0 |
Market Momentum Score: 7 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -57.1 | 1 | 50% | +0.7 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -66.7 | 1 | 30% | +0.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 0 | 28 | 20% | +5.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (45)
By cuisine
American 4 · Coffee 3 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Pizza 1 · Sandwiches 1
By type
Winery / distillery / taproom 32 · Bar 18 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 6 · Café 3 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10th Street Vineyard Cafe | Café | Coffee | 249 10th St | open |
| A Cellar Full Of Noise Wines Tasting Room | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2850 Ranchita Canyon Rd | open | |
| Arndt Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom | 8585 Cross Canyons Rd | open | |
| Bajka Wine Company | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6404 Independence Ranch Pl | open | |
| Black Hand Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1735 Nygren Rd | open | |
| Bon Niche Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2627 Golden Eagle Way | open | |
| Castoro Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 6465 Von Dollen Rd | open | |
| Cinquain Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6404 Independence Ranch Pl | open | |
| Dos Hermanos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 1010 K St | open |
| E & J Gallo Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 2425 Mission St | open | |
| Elkhorn Bar | Bar | 1263 Mission St | open | |
| Four Sisters Ranch Vineyards & Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2995 Pleasant Rd | open | |
| Graveyard Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 6990 Estrella Rd | open | |
| High Camp Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 3439 Ranchita Canyon Rd | open | |
| Hog Canyon Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6070 Hog Canyon Rd | open | |
| J and J Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 2850 Ranchita Canyon Rd | open | |
| Kahal Family Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 72761 Indian Valley Rd | open | |
| Leo's Cafe | Café | Coffee · Breakfast · American | 249 10th St | open |
| Locatelli Vineyards & Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 8585 Cross Canyons Rd | open | |
| Lusso Della Terra | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2850 Ranchita Canyon Rd | open | |
| Manny's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · American | 1425 Mission St | open |
| Michael Rose Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom | 76845 Ranchita Canyon Rd | open | |
| Mission Market & Deli | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1402 Mission St | open |
| Montesi Vineyard LLC | Winery / distillery / taproom | 77356 Ranchita Canyon Rd | open | |
| Mystic Hills Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 79550 Watkins Ln | open | |
| P.S. Cellars | Bar | 13350 River Rd | open | |
| Parkfield Cafe | Café | BBQ · Coffee · American | 70410 Parkfield-Coalinga Rd | open |
| Paso Robles Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 3000 Pleasant Rd | open | |
| Petrae Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1565 Sutliff Rd | open | |
| Pianetta Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 75751 Indian Valley Rd | open | |
| Pleasant Valley Wine Trail | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | open | ||
| Pozzuoli Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 6225 California Poppy Ln | open | |
| Rainbow's End Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 8535 Mission Ln | open | |
| Ranch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1285 Mission St | open | |
| Riverstar Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 7450 Estrella Rd | open | |
| San Miguel Market & Deli | Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1299 Mission St | open |
| Silver Horse Winery | Bar | 2995 Pleasant Rd | open | |
| St. Eva Hill Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6172 Hawk Ridge Pl | open | |
| Sunset Vineyard Estate | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2850 Ranchita Canyon Rd | open | |
| Tackitt Family Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 6640 Von Dollen Rd | open | |
| Taco Mafia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 340 14th St | open |
| The Gables at the Rockin K 6 Br home by RedAwning | Bar | 2575 Rock Ridge Ln | open | |
| Villa San-Juliette Vineyard & Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 6385 Cross Canyons Rd | open | |
| Vino Vargas Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 950 Indian Dune Rd | open | |
| Wanda's Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 9025 Cemetery Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 3 | 1 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 4 | 2 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 4 | 3 | 3 | — | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 1 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 7 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 10 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 3 | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 2 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 11 | 9 | 5 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 3 | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2 | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 9 | 7 | 5 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 6 | 4 | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 6 | 4 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 4 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2022 |
Nearby markets (within 5 miles)
None within 5 miles.