BMIE Market 93458

Santa Barbara County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	59,148 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,989 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,085 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±559 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	55,431 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	13,026 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$75,257 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,989 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	27.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,895 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±59 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$511,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,475 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	28.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	28 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93458
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-9.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-3.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+1,300.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	31 (range 27–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	62 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	32 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93458. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.0	80	40%	+32.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61.6	62	35%	+21.5
Market Momentum Score	32.4	32	25%	+8.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	59,148	98	40%	+39.4
Median household income (ACS)	75,257	56	40%	+22.2
Households (ACS)	14,085	92	20%	+18.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-3.5	22	35%	+7.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.7	93	25%	+23.2
Population (ACS)	59,148	98	20%	+19.7
Median household income (ACS)	75,257	56	20%	+11.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 32 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-9.7	19	50%	+9.5
10-year restaurant growth	-3.5	22	30%	+6.5
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (73)

By cuisine

Mexican 28 · Latin American (other) 19 · Bakery 7 · Juice / smoothies 7 · Dessert 5 · Asian 4 · Sandwiches 4 · American 3 · Burgers 3 · Coffee 3 · Seafood 3 · Chinese 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Filipino 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Quick service 9 · Bakery 7 · Juice, smoothie, tea 7 · Bar 6 · Dessert 5 · Food truck 5 · Café 2 · Casual dining 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
805 Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1018 W Main St	open
Antojitos Oaxaqueños Rosita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	116 W Enos Dr	open
Bakery Central Market	Bakery	Bakery	822 W Main St	open
Certified Freight Logistics, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1344 White Ct	open
Charlie Brown's Backyard Bar And Grill	Casual dining · Bar			open
Chc-Santa Maria Lca	Bar		430 S Blosser Rd	open
Chela's Deli	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	417 S Blosser Rd	open
Chick-fil-A Chick-fil-A	Quick service		2140 Preisker Ln	open
Club De Vida Saludable	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Sandwiches · Juice / smoothies	1517 stowell, C St	open
Coffee Time	Coffee shop	Coffee	245 Town Ctr W	open
Compadres Tacos	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		333 N Blosser Rd	open
Deli Delicias & Fresh	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican · Sandwiches	110 S Pine St Ste 105	open
Dos Vatos Bistro & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1020 W Lee Dr	open
Efrens Mexican Restuarant II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1625 S Blosser Rd	open
El Herradero	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	214 N Blosser Rd	open
El Pollo Dani	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Chicken / wings	1014 W Main St	open
El Pueblito Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	603 S Blosser Rd	open
El Toro Tortilleria II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1135 CA-166	open
Filipino Community-Santa Maria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Filipino · BBQ	2270 Preisker Ln	open
Fruit hdz"".	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Vegetarian	321 Town Ctr W	open
GG Pizza GG Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	601 Main Street	open
Harvest Community Center	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	619 N Railroad Ave	open
Icinginks	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1273 W Sonya Ln	open
La Espiga Bakery SM	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	822 W Main St	open
La Oaxaquena	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Hot dogs	600 W Enos Dr	open
La Tapatias Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	419 W Main St	open
La Tradicional Ice Cream Shop La Poblana Supermarket & Restaurant	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1131 W Main St	open
La Vera Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	239 Town Ctr W	open
Las 3 Michoacanas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		111 W Main St	open
Las Brisas Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	315 W Main St	open
Las Comadres	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	202 W Main St	open
Legaspi Kids Inc Dba Keylas Discount	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1567 Stowell Center Plz # 1565	open
Lo Mejor De Jalisco Restaurant Mexican And Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	116 Blosser Rd	open
Lonchera Taqueria San Juan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	400 W Main St	open
Lucia's Wine Co	Bar		2115 S Blosser Rd Ste 103	open
Lucky	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	1525 stowell center plaza	open
Mariscos El Viejon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	118 W Chapel St	open
Mariscos Ensenada	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	1127 W Main St	open
Maya Mexican Restaurant Maya Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	110 S Lincoln St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1710 S Broadway	open
Mi Casita Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	413 S Blosser Rd	open
Mi Gusto Es Restaurant Gusto!	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	508 W Main St	open
Mikado Sushi Santa Maria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	209 Town Ctr W	open
Mt Puzzle Piece, Inc. Dba Maya Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		110 S Lincoln St Ste 106	open
New Ocean	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	331 Town Ctr W	open
Nutricion Familiar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		108 W Tunnell St	open
Pearl East Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1559 Stowell Center Plaza	open
Pupuseria Jovel	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	306 S Blosser Rd	open
Rancho Sisquoc Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar			open
Rosticeria Y Tortilleria Dani	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	1014 W Main St	open
Saigon Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		229 Town Ctr W A17	open
Senor Kim's Fusion by Cornerstone	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Burgers	1579 Stowell Center Plz	open
Senor Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1214 S Blosser Rd	open
Shooter's Bar & Grill	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		229 Town Ctr W	open
Spud Street	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering			open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1825 N. Broadway Street	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1625 South Blosser Road Unit A	open
Sur Del Rio, Santa Maria, California	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	560 S. Blosser Rd.	open
Taco Roco Express Taco Roco Central Coast	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2021 S Broadway	open
Tacos El Tizon 2 Tacos El Tizon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	241 Town Ctr W	open
Tacos Lupes	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2752 Betteravia Rd	open
Taqueria Carmelita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	306 S Blosser Rd	open
Taqueria Guerrero Taqueria Guerrero #1	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	123 W Main St	open
Taqueria Maldonado	Food truck	Mexican	333 S Blosser Rd	open
Taqueria Maldonado #2	Food truck	Mexican	115 Carmen Ln	open
Taqueria y Panaderia LaVilla	Bakery	Mexican · Latin American (other) · Bakery	1115 W Main St	open
Tom's Take Out	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	826 W Main St	open
Tortilleria Mexico # 4	Restaurant (service type not stated)		101 N Depot St Ste E	open
Wake Up Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee · American	1031 W Main St	open
Walmart Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	500 S Blosser Rd	open
Wetzel's Pretzels Wetzel's Pretzels	Bakery · Quick service	Bakery	237 Town Ctr W RMB 269	open
Woody’s Boba Drinks	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	319 Town Center E	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	13	9	1	3	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	10	7	—	3	3	NAICS1997
2000	13	11	8	—	3	2	NAICS1997
2001	22	21	17	1	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	18	17	15	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	15	14	12	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	13	13	12	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	15	15	11	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	21	20	16	2	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	20	20	15	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2008	21	20	15	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	21	20	13	4	3	—	NAICS2007
2010	22	22	13	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	24	23	14	6	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	28	26	14	7	5	—	NAICS2012
2013	30	29	17	7	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	26	26	14	6	6	—	NAICS2012
2015	29	28	16	6	6	—	NAICS2012
2016	28	28	17	5	6	—	NAICS2012
2017	28	28	16	6	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	31	31	17	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	33	33	18	10	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	32	17	9	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	28	15	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2022	29	29	15	8	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	30	28	15	9	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93458. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.