BMIE Market 93505

Kern County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,353 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±104 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,579 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±315 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,038 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,165 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,827 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,004 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±247 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$278,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±18,789 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	65.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93505
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+10.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+57.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+120.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	14 (range 13–16) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	51 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93505. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	56.7	57	40%	+22.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.4	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	51.0	51	25%	+12.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,353	76	40%	+30.4
Median household income (ACS)	59,827	29	40%	+11.7
Households (ACS)	4,579	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	35%	+18.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	7.7	82	25%	+20.4
Population (ACS)	14,353	76	20%	+15.2
Median household income (ACS)	59,827	29	20%	+5.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	10	54	30%	+16.2
20-year restaurant growth	57.1	70	20%	+13.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (31)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · Mexican 4 · American 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · Asian 2 · Burgers 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Bakery 1 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Dessert 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 19 · Café 6 · Coffee shop 4 · Quick service 4 · Bakery 1 · Bar 1 · Casual dining 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Celsius 30 Chilly Chill-Out's Cafe & Lounge	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Latin American (other)	8209 California City Blvd	open
Cool Running's Juice N Ice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	8148 California City Blvd	open
Coyote Cafe Coyote Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Coffee	7035 California City Blvd	open
Creamland Food & Ice Cream Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8209 California City Blvd	open
Emerald Bistro Cafe & Restaurant	Café	Coffee	8209 California City Blvd Ste 10	open
Gloria's Mexican Restaurant Gloria's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	7027 California City Blvd	open
Golden Bamboo Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	8142 California City Blvd	open
Green Tea Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		8126 California City Blvd	open
Jesse's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	8401 California City Blvd	open
JU'SU CAFE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian	8145 Bay Ave	open
La Conquista	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	8600 N Loop Blvd Ste A	open
Las Dos Rosa's Restaurant Rosa's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	8209 California City Blvd	open
Las Dos Rosa’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8056 California City Blvd	open
Lollies Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	7035 California City Blvd C	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	9628 California City Boulevard	open
Mr & Mrs Creo's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · Seafood	7101 CALIFORNIA CITY BLV, C	open
Mr. Tomato	Quick service		8130 California City Blvd	open
NOOR FARAJ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	Irvine	open
Primo Burgers #14	Quick service	Burgers · American	8525 California City Blvd	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	8209 California City Blvd	open
Rivas Real Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	9692 California City Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	9678 California City Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	8116 California City Blvd. Suite 105	open
The Log-Inn Inc	Café		7825 California City Blvd Suite A	open
Tokyo Tuna Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	8116 California City Blvd	open
Vasquez Family Enterprises Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8209 California City Blvd	open
West Best Pizza Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	8209 California City Blvd	open
គីរីរម្យ ផ្ទះចំការ	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	Yearling St	open
Cal City Bar & Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8209 California City Blvd Ste 113	closed
Taste Of Fire	Restaurant (service type not stated)		8209 California City Blvd # 109	closed
Winetap	Bar		8116 California City Blvd Ste 103	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	5	5	—	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	6	5	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	7	5	4	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	11	9	6	2	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	8	7	4	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	9	8	4	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	7	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	6	5	2	3	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	7	6	2	4	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	11	10	4	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	10	9	3	4	2	—	NAICS2007
2011	11	10	5	4	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	11	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	11	10	8	2	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	11	11	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	11	11	6	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	12	5	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	13	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	13	13	7	5	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	11	4	5	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93505. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.