BMIE Market 93561

Kern County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	31,175 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,634 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,394 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±731 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	34,630 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,824 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$87,357 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,488 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,363 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±78 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$408,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,123 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	301.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	60 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93561
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+36.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+122.2% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+122.2% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	69 (range 64–74) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.6 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93561. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	82.1	82	40%	+32.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	68.3	68	35%	+23.9
Market Momentum Score	72.0	72	25%	+18.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	31,175	90	40%	+35.8
Median household income (ACS)	87,357	71	40%	+28.2
Households (ACS)	12,394	90	20%	+18.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	35%	+26.4
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	19.3	39	25%	+9.8
Population (ACS)	31,175	90	20%	+17.9
Median household income (ACS)	87,357	71	20%	+14.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.1	64	50%	+32.0
10-year restaurant growth	36.4	75	30%	+22.6
20-year restaurant growth	122.2	87	20%	+17.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (109)

By cuisine

American 19 · Coffee 12 · Mexican 12 · Pizza 9 · Sandwiches 9 · Asian 7 · Bakery 7 · Dessert 7 · Burgers 6 · Italian 5 · Breakfast 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · Vietnamese 2 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · German / Eastern European 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 63 · Quick service 24 · Bar 19 · Casual dining 13 · Café 11 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Winery / distillery / taproom 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Specialty food shop 4 · Delivery-focused 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
4 Seasons Cafe	Café	Coffee · Vietnamese · Asian	160 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
A Frame Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	22451 Hillside Ct	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	785 Tucker Rd	open
Bean Me Up Xpresso	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	20001 W Valley Blvd	open
Bear Valley Springs Mulligan Room Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	29541 Rollingoak Dr	open
Blue Ginger Pho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	1121 W Valley Blvd	open
Burger Broz Inc.	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1001 W Tehachapi Blvd a100	open
Burger King	Restaurant (service type not stated)		620 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Burger Spot	Quick service	Burgers · American	208 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Cali Fresh	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Mexican	107 S Mill St	open
Carlos' Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	20011 W Valley Blvd C	open
Chester's Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	400 E Steuber Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	340 TUCKER ROAD	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1668 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
Del Taco	Quick service		645 Tucker Road	open
Domingos Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	20416 W Valley Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1121 Valley Blvd	open
Don Perico Restaurant And Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	840 Tucker Rd	open
Dorner Family Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		18274 Old Ranch Rd	open
Dunkin	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	540 Tucker Rd	open
Empire King	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	American	20651 W Valley Blvd	open
Frosty Frills Ice Creams & More	Dessert	Dessert	785 Tucker Rd Ste E	open
Garden Cafe Jake’s Steakhouse - Bronx	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	213 S Curry St	open
Gold Mountain	Bar		20601 W Valley Blvd	open
Gracian Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · American	860 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
Gramma's Pantry	Dessert · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Food truck	Dessert · Sandwiches	319 E J St	open
Grandma's House	Dessert		801 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Great Wall	Buffet	Chinese · Asian	807 Tucker Rd	open
Henry's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	550 Tucker Rd	open
Hungry Howie's Hungry Howie's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	675 Tucker Rd. Suite F	open
Ichiban Ichiban Restaurant Sushi and Japanese Cuisine.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	675 Tucker Rd	open
J's Hideaway Tehachapi	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	20700 South St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		801 Tucker Rd	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	1121 W Valley Blvd	open
Johnny's Take & Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	807 Tucker Rd Ste C	open
Judy Kent Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		19771 Highline Rd	open
Kasagiri Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	128 E F St #1711	open
Kelley's Cafe	Casual dining · Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Coffee	110 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Kight's Sweet Treats	Dessert	Dessert	102 S Robinson St	open
King of Siam Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	760 Tucker Rd #B	open
Kohnen's Country Bakery	Bakery · Café	Bakery · German / Eastern European · Coffee	125 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
La Bodega De Castillo	Bar		109 N Green St	open
Las Palmas Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	108 S Green St	open
LCB Tehachapi Local Craft Beer, Tehachapi	Brewery / taproom · Bar		365 Enterprise Way	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	815-A Tucker Rd	open
Lucky Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		1001 Canyon Dr E	open
Luna's Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	414 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Mango Haus Lounge	Bar		20601 W Valley Blvd	open
Maria's Tacos of Tehachapi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	107 S Mill St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	795 Tucker Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2000 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
McGuire's Pub and Game Room	Bar	British / Irish pub food		open
Midori Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	414 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Moessner Farms	Restaurant (service type not stated)		25101 Bear Valley Rd	open
Moondoe's Coffee At Woodward West	Coffee shop	Coffee	28400 Stallion Springs Dr	open
Mountain Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	120 S Mill St	open
Nikki Nelson Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		117 S Mill St	open
NYC Sub's and Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	785 Tucker Rd Ste C	open
Oak Tree Country Club	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	29500 N Lower Valley Rd	open
Old Towne Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	20430 Brian Way Ste 5	open
Old Towne Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		209 S Green St	open
Old West Brewing Co	Brewery / taproom		20601 W Valley Blvd	open
One Fine Day Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	117 E F St	open
P-Dubs Grille and Bar P-Dubs Brew Pub/Mountain Bowling	Casual dining · Bar	American	27725 Stallion Springs Dr	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	350 Tucker Road	open
Papa's House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Pizza · Burgers	27821 Stallion Springs Dr	open
Perfetto Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	209 S Green St	open
Petra Mediterranean Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Middle Eastern	200 S Green St	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)		785 Tucker Rd Ste C	open
pizzarami	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	160 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Prime Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	480 E Steuber Rd	open
Primo Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	118 E F St	open
Rancho De Los Viajeros Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		22701 CA-202	open
Ravens Nest	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	16334 Harris Rd	open
Red House BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	426 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
Red House BBQ Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	787 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	1100 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Savannah's Old Town Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		20717 South St	open
Sip and Chill	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies · Breakfast	785 Tucker Rd	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1040 Valley Boulevard	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	300 Tucker Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	775 Tucker Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1007 Voyager Dr	open
Steampunk Café & Grill	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Coffee	20324 W Valley Blvd	open
Stray Leaves Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		123 S Green St	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	2000 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service	Sandwiches	2000 East Tehachapi Blvd., Love's Travel Stop, #392	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1050 Capital Hills Pkwy	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1098 Valley Blvd	open
Taco Samich	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	211 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
Tacos El Superior	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	540 Tucker Rd	open
Taste of Siam Thai Restaurant Thai•Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	760 Tucker Rd	open
Tehachapi Academy Of Dramatic Arts	Restaurant (service type not stated)		301 S Green St # Studio	open
Tehachapi Mountain Brewing Co.	Casual dining · Brewery / taproom · Bar		20800 Santa Lucia St	open
Tehachapi Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	655 Tucker Rd	open
Tehachapi Wine and Cattle	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Italian	26877 Cummings Valley Rd	open
Tehachapi Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		22136 Bailey Rd	open
TehachaPie at Mill Street Kitchen	Bakery	Bakery	208 S Mill St	open
Thai Hachapi	Restaurant (service type not stated)		F Street	open
The Dog House Saloon	Bar		777 W Tehachapi Blvd Ste. C	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Mexican	847 Magellan St	open
The Ranch Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1001 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
The Wine & Cheese Cellar	Bar		695 Tucker Rd Ste C	open
TK Pizza & Pasta	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	640 W Tehachapi Blvd	open
Triassic Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		24627 Cummings Valley Rd	open
Village Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	410 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
Wendy's Wendy's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1668 E Tehachapi Blvd	open
Westlane Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		207 E H St	open
Big Papa's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	1001 W Tehachapi Blvd Ste C200	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	27	27	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	23	23	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	29	29	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	29	29	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	25	24	10	11	3	—	NAICS1997
1999	29	28	13	12	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	30	29	15	10	4	—	NAICS1997
2001	30	29	14	11	4	1	NAICS1997
2002	34	32	15	15	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	29	27	14	12	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	30	28	16	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	31	29	16	12	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	32	29	17	12	—	2	NAICS2002
2007	42	40	16	19	5	2	NAICS2002
2008	43	40	24	13	3	3	NAICS2007
2009	46	43	25	15	3	3	NAICS2007
2010	50	49	30	16	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	49	48	27	18	3	1	NAICS2007
2012	45	43	23	18	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	47	44	24	18	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	53	50	23	22	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	49	46	23	20	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	55	50	24	21	5	3	NAICS2012
2017	60	54	25	23	6	4	NAICS2017
2018	62	56	28	23	5	4	NAICS2017
2019	57	52	24	23	5	4	NAICS2017
2020	59	54	25	25	4	4	NAICS2017
2021	65	60	28	27	5	4	NAICS2017
2022	67	63	31	28	4	3	NAICS2022
2023	64	60	28	27	5	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93561. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
93581	3.2 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.