BMIE Market 93737

Fresno County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	7,279 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,067 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±298 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	Data source not yet connected
Housing units	Data source not yet connected
Median household income	$127,279 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,849 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,263 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,336 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$525,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67,277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	9.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 93737
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2016 → 2021, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2012 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+200.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2022, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2027	3 (range 0–5) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2011–2022 (8 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.64) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	86 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	98 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 93737. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2011–2022, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.64, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.7	76	40%	+30.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	89.4	89	35%	+31.3
Market Momentum Score	98.4	98	25%	+24.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	7,279	66	40%	+26.4
Median household income (ACS)	127,279	92	40%	+37.0
Households (ACS)	2,088	62	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	35%	+34.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	4.1	95	25%	+23.6
Population (ACS)	7,279	66	20%	+13.2
Median household income (ACS)	127,279	92	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 98 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	200	99	50%	+61.9
10-year restaurant growth	200	97	30%	+36.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (7)

By cuisine

Mexican 2 · Asian 1 · Burgers 1 · Sandwiches 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 4 · Food truck 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Black Crowe Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		7565 E Belmont Ave	open
Cuquita Mexican Food	Food truck		7064 E Belmont Ave	open
El Super Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	7064 E Belmont Ave	open
Malee's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	7064 E Belmont Ave	open
Pepes At The Fair	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7064 E Belmont Ave	open
Sno Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	8036 E Olive Ave	open
SUBWAY	Other	Sandwiches	7064 E Belmont Ave	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2011	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	—	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	2	2	—	1	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2020	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	5	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	6	3	—	3	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 93737. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
93727	2.8 mi	89	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.