BMIE Market 94503
Napa County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 21,841 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±124 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 6,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±270 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,681 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 6,064 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $121,088 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11,493 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,524 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±260 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $697,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,500 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 27.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94503 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +34.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +10.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +210.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +933.3% DERIVED: 2000 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 32 (range 26–38) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.38) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 78 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94503. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.38, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.9 | 85 | 40% | +33.9 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 67.8 | 68 | 35% | +23.7 |
| Market Momentum Score | 78.4 | 78 | 25% | +19.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 21,841 | 83 | 40% | +33.2 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 121,088 | 91 | 40% | +36.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 6,063 | 77 | 20% | +15.4 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 10.7 | 55 | 35% | +19.1 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 14.2 | 56 | 25% | +13.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 21,841 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 121,088 | 91 | 20% | +18.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 78 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 34.8 | 86 | 50% | +43.1 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 10.7 | 55 | 30% | +16.4 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 210 | 95 | 20% | +18.9 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (85)
By cuisine
Coffee 9 · Asian 8 · Pizza 8 · American 7 · Mexican 7 · Italian 6 · Bakery 5 · Hawaiian / Pacific 4 · Chinese 3 · Dessert 3 · Healthy / salads / bowls 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Indian 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · European 1 · Filipino 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Quick service 14 · Winery / distillery / taproom 13 · Bar 8 · Casual dining 8 · Café 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Other 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4KS | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 300 Boone Dr | open | |
| All Spice Indian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 100 W American Canyon Rd | open |
| American Canyon Mmp, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 410 Napa Junction Rd | open | |
| Barry Callebaut Barry Callebaut | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other | 1175 Commerce Blvd | open | |
| Bel-King Indian Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Indian · American | 5075 Main St | open |
| Bonito Poke | Juice, smoothie, tea | Juice / smoothies · Hawaiian / Pacific · Asian | 3419 Broadway St | open |
| Burgerim | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Other | 101 W American Canyon Rd Ste 512 | open | |
| Caffino | Café | Coffee | 3945 Broadway St | open |
| Chicken Guy Chicken Guy | Quick service | Chicken / wings · Sandwiches | 200 American Canyon Rd | open |
| Club Raices | Casual dining · Bar | Mexican | 100 W American Canyon Rd | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Dessert | 5055 Main St, Ste 100 | open |
| Country Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 101 W American Canyon Rd #512 | open |
| Crave | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Tea / bubble tea · Filipino · Coffee · Asian | 3419 Broadway St, Ste H-12 | open |
| Dunkin' Dunkin' | Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 410 Napa Junction Rd | open |
| Ehler Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | open | ||
| Forno Piombo | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 6401 Broadway St | open |
| Fuszn Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 23 Sirah Dr | open | |
| Gold Paradigm Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 101 W American Canyon Rd Ste 508 | open | |
| Grill at Eagle Vines | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Café · Bar | Coffee | 580 S Kelly Rd | open |
| Hilo Hawaiian BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · BBQ | 5075 Main St | open |
| Italianis Rest | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Italian | 2 Bella Ct | open |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 107 W American Canyon Rd | open | |
| Jackson Family Enterprise | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1200 Green Island Rd | open | |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 6050 Main St | open |
| Java Detour | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3939 Broadway St | open |
| Junction Brewery and Grill | Brewery / taproom | 110 W American Canyon Rd | open | |
| Kob's Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3466 Broadway | open |
| La Strada | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · European | 6240 CA-29 | open |
| Le Paris Artisan & Gourmet Cafe Le Paris Artisan & Gourmet Cafe | Café · Dessert · Bakery | Coffee · Dessert · Bakery | 3921 Broadway | open |
| Legend Napa Valley | Winery / distillery / taproom | 100 Napa Junction Rd | open | |
| Los Cantaros Taqueria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 3427 Broadway St | open |
| Luminado, Llc | Winery / distillery / taproom | 110 W American Canyon Rd | open | |
| McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sec Hwy 29 & Napa Junction Wm, #1651 | open | |
| Mezzetta | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 105 Mezzetta Ct | open |
| Mi Zacatecas Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 100 W American Canyon Rd #K4 | open |
| Miocene Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 100 Napa Junction Rd | open | |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Buffet · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 410 Napa Junction Rd #106 | open |
| One ten restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 110 W American Canyon Rd | open | |
| P Industries | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 101 W American Canyon Rd Ste 508 | open | |
| Panda Express Panda Express México | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 5075 Main Street SUITE #120 SUITE #120 | open |
| Papa Murphy's | Take 'N' Bake Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 101 W American Canyon Rd, Suite 504 | open |
| Parry's & Pizzeria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 234 W American Canyon Rd | open |
| Parry's and Pizzeria Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 234 American Canyon Rd | open |
| Peking Express | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 101 W American Canyon Rd | open |
| Pho Huong Viet | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 5201 Sonoma Blvd #37 | open |
| Pieology Pizzeria Santa Rosa | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Vegan | 2280 Mendocino Ave Ste B-3 | open |
| Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's | Quick service | open | ||
| Quiznos | Quick service | 101 W American Canyon Rd | open | |
| Ristorante Pasta D'oro | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Italian · American | 410 Napa Junction Rd #102 | open |
| Roberto's Bakery & Coffee | Bakery | Bakery | 101 Antonina Ave | open |
| Romi's Ramen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Noodles / ramen / pho | 410 Napa Junction Rd # 102 | open |
| Roots Run Deep Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1 Kirkland Ranch Rd | open | |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 5055 Main St #106 | open |
| Round Table Pizza 5055 Main St Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 5055 Main Street # 106 | open |
| Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 6055 Main Street | open |
| South Kelly Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 101 S Kelly Rd | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Café · Coffee shop · Bakery | Coffee · Bakery | 101 W American Canyon Rd American Canyon Marketplace | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6050 Main Street, Napa Junction Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 5055 Main St Ste 100 | open |
| Subway Subway | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | 3417 Broadway Ste J-6 | open |
| Sutter Home Winery Inc | Winery / distillery / taproom | 303 Green Island Rd | open | |
| Sweet smiles tea | Café · Bar | Coffee | 101 W American Canyon Rd | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 408 Napa Junction Rd. | open |
| Taconhambre | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 4225 Broadway St | open |
| Tacos Michoacan | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3945 Broadway St | open |
| Tanks for Wine.com | Brewery / taproom | Orion Warehousing Services, 677 Hanna Dr | open | |
| Taqueria Rosita 2 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3427 Broadway St | open | |
| Thai Kitchen Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 3425 Broadway | open |
| The Asian Wok & Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 110 W American Canyon Rd | open |
| The Birria Spot at Canyon Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Mexican · American | 3845 Broadway | open |
| The California Wine Club | Winery / distillery / taproom | 255 Lombard Rd | open | |
| The Hess Collection Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1166 Commerce Blvd | open | |
| The Tea Room | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 110 Mezzetta Ct Ste A | open | |
| The View Bar & Grill | Casual dining · Bar | American | 2555 Jameson Canyon Rd | open |
| Tower Road Winery Co-Op | Winery / distillery / taproom | 241 Tower Rd | open | |
| U.S. Wine | Winery / distillery / taproom | open | ||
| Uncle Sharkii Poke Bar UNCLE SHARKII POKE BAR | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Seafood · Healthy / salads / bowls | 7011 Main St | open |
| VA Filtration | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 110 Dodd Ct | open | |
| Wallaby Yogurt Company | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 110 Mezzetta Ct | open | |
| Walmart Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 7011 Main St | open |
| WineDirect | Winery / distillery / taproom | 450 Green Island Rd | open | |
| Wingsingh - Ac, Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 5075 Main St Ste 124b | open | |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 5075 Main St Ste 124 B | open |
| ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Sushi · Healthy / salads / bowls · Hawaiian / Pacific | 103 American Canyon Rd | open |
| Purple Wine + Spirits | Winery / distillery / taproom | 205 Jim Oswalt Way | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2000 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 14 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 16 | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 15 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 24 | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 27 | 25 | 8 | 11 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 26 | 24 | 9 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 21 | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 25 | 25 | 11 | 9 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 28 | 27 | 10 | 13 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 28 | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 20 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 22 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 24 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 24 | 22 | 7 | 9 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 25 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 26 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 25 | 23 | 7 | 12 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 30 | 28 | 10 | 12 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 32 | 30 | 9 | 16 | 5 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 34 | 31 | 9 | 15 | 7 | — | NAICS2022 |