BMIE Market 94508
Napa County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 3,495 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±411 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 1,034 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±161 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 3,661 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 1,213 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $116,667 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±27,321 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 32.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±11 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,605 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±318 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $775,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±130,189 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 16.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | Not published for this ZIP 2019 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2019 detail (NAICS2017) · by USPS ZIP 94508 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | Not yet derived |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -50.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2008, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +0.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2007, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2013 | 2 (range 0–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1994–2008 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 16 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94508. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1994–2008, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 67.6 | 68 | 40% | +27.0 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 65.5 | 65 | 35% | +22.9 |
| Market Momentum Score | 15.6 | 16 | 25% | +3.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 3,495 | 55 | 40% | +21.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,667 | 89 | 40% | +35.7 |
| Households (ACS) | 1,034 | 50 | 20% | +10.0 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 35% | +12.3 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 2.9 | 98 | 25% | +24.4 |
| Population (ACS) | 3,495 | 55 | 20% | +11.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 116,667 | 89 | 20% | +17.8 |
Market Momentum Score: 16 (Medium confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -50 | 4 | 50% | +2.5 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 0 | 35 | 30% | +13.1 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (37)
By cuisine
Sandwiches 1
By type
Winery / distillery / taproom 36 · Bar 11 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 5 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13th Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 150 White Cottage Rd S | open | |
| Adamus | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | 501 White Cottage Rd N | open | |
| Almacerro | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1181 Las Posadas Rd | open | |
| Arkenstone Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 335 West Ln | open | |
| Black Sears Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2615 Summit Lake Dr | open | |
| Bravante Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 300 Stone Ridge Rd | open | |
| CADE Estate Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 360 Howell Mountain Rd S | open | |
| Cade Winery On Howell Mt | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 360 Howell Mountain Rd S | open | |
| Capiaux Cellars | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1000 Bell Canyon Rd | open | |
| Cardinale Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1102 Las Posadas Rd | open | |
| Cimarossa | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1185 Friesen Dr | open | |
| Clark-Claudon Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 305 Brookside Dr | open | |
| Component Wine Company | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 753 Linda Falls Ter | open | |
| Dunn Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 805 White Cottage Rd N | open | |
| Haber Family Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 345 Pine Breeze Dr | open | |
| Howell Mountain Deli | Winery / distillery / taproom · Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 15 Angwin Plz | open |
| Howell Mountain Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 150 Olive Ave | open | |
| Jaffe Family Wines | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 300 Stone Ridge Rd | open | |
| Juicy Rebound | Winery / distillery / taproom | 5 Angwin Plz # 946 | open | |
| Kristodd Vineyard | Winery / distillery / taproom | 700 Bell Canyon Rd | open | |
| La Jota Vineyard Co | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1102 Las Posadas Rd | open | |
| Ladera Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 150 White Cottage Rd S | open | |
| Lail Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 320 Stone Ridge Rd | open | |
| Lamborn Family Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 1984 Summit Lake Dr | open | |
| Memento Mori Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 355 West Ln | open | |
| Neal Family Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 716 Liparita Ave | open | |
| Outpost Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2075 Summit Lake Dr | open | |
| Progeny Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1150 Friesen Dr | open | |
| Rahn Estate | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1575 Deer Park Rd | open | |
| Red Cap | Winery / distillery / taproom | 891 Ponderosa Dr | open | |
| Red Thread Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2000 Summit Lake Dr #9778 | open | |
| Robert Craig Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom | 2475 Summit Lake Dr | open | |
| Robert Foley Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1300 Summit Lake Dr | open | |
| Sparrow Lane | Winery / distillery / taproom | 1445 Summit Lake Dr | open | |
| Spence Vineyards | Winery / distillery / taproom | 994 White Cottage Rd N | open | |
| Summit Lake Vineyards & Winery | Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar | 2000 Summit Lake Dr | open | |
| Treebottom Wines | Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1750 Howell Mountain Rd | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 2002 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 2 | 2 | 2 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 1 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 2 | 1 | 1 | — | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 2 | — | — | — | — | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 1 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2018 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 3 | — | — | — | — | — | NAICS2017 |