BMIE Market 94536

Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	70,619 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,208 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	25,205 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±716 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	68,790 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	25,068 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$167,662 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,967 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,853 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±57 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,287,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±45,237 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	14.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	71 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94536
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+7.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+24.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+61.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+47.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	76 (range 70–82) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.3 per year, r² 0.70) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	84 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	99 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94536. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.70, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 84 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	98.6	99	40%	+39.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.7	81	35%	+28.2
Market Momentum Score	66.5	67	25%	+16.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 99 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	70,619	99	40%	+39.7
Median household income (ACS)	167,662	98	40%	+39.0
Households (ACS)	25,205	99	20%	+19.9

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	24.6	67	35%	+23.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.1	72	25%	+18.0
Population (ACS)	70,619	99	20%	+19.9
Median household income (ACS)	167,662	98	20%	+19.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	7.6	65	50%	+32.3
10-year restaurant growth	24.6	67	30%	+20.0
20-year restaurant growth	61.4	71	20%	+14.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (126)

By cuisine

American 20 · Asian 18 · Coffee 17 · Mexican 11 · Pizza 10 · Tea / bubble tea 9 · Bakery 8 · Burgers 8 · Chinese 8 · Dessert 8 · Indian 8 · Halal / kosher 6 · Italian 6 · Middle Eastern 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 5 · Sandwiches 5 · Latin American (other) 4 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Filipino 2 · Japanese 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Korean 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Sushi 2 · European 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Seafood 1 · Southeast Asian (other) 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 79 · Café 16 · Quick service 15 · Juice, smoothie, tea 10 · Casual dining 9 · Dessert 9 · Bakery 8 · Bar 8 · Food truck 8 · Coffee shop 5 · Delivery-focused 2 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
99 Tea House	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	3623 Thornton Ave	open
A Sack of Potatoes	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Asian · Coffee	37100 Fremont Blvd	open
Adobolicious	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Asian	4812 Thornton Ave	open
Afghan Awasana Kabob House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Halal / kosher	37012 Towers Way	open
Amaya’s Food Truck	Food truck	Latin American (other)	4343 Peralta Blvd	open
Arteaga's Taco Truck	Food truck		37531 Dusterberry Way	open
Ashley Wong Sweets, LLC	Bakery	Bakery	37825 Niles Blvd	open
ATS Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37767 Fremont Blvd	open
Baskin-Robbins Taco Bell	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Sandwiches · Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Dessert · Bakery · American	Skymaster Dr	open
Baskin-Robbins TOGO'S Sandwiches	Quick service · Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts	35670 Fremont Blvd	open
Big Foot Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3619 Thornton Ave	open
Billy Roy’s Burger Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3909 Thornton Ave	open
BingBing	Delivery-focused	Asian	36400 Fremont Blvd	open
Bismillah Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Halal / kosher	37415 Fremont Blvd	open
Boba Boost	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Tea / bubble tea	37120 Fremont Blvd Unit l	open
Bronco Billy's Pizza Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	37651 Niles Blvd #2947	open
Bun Appetit Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	37120 Fremont Blvd	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	37000 Fremont	open
Chop Stick Chinese Restaurant 2	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Halal / kosher	36456 Fremont Blvd	open
Club Adcock	Bar		38780 Adcock Dr	open
Club de armida en fremont	Café	Coffee	4299 Peralta Blvd	open
Conquer Industries	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37400 Niles Blvd	open
Dakshin Cafe Dakshin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	488 Mowry Ave	open
Datang Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		35041 Fremont Blvd	open
De Afghanan Kabob House De Afghanan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	37405 Fremont Blvd	open
DeAfghanan Cuisine De Afghanan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Asian	37395 Fremont Blvd	open
Devout Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	37323 Niles Blvd	open
Dino's Family Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Breakfast	36930 Fremont Blvd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	38487 Fremont Blvd #251	open
Dosa Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	3625 Thornton Ave	open
Dream Hookah Lounge	Bar		37381 Fremont Blvd	open
East Bay Cafe Depot	Café	Coffee · Asian · American	37260 Fremont Blvd	open
El Halal Amigos	Food truck	Halal / kosher · Mexican	4050 Alder Ave	open
El Patio Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37311 Fremont Blvd	open
El Patio Original	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	37311 Fremont Blvd	open
Elmore’s American Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated)		CA-238, Fremont, CA 94536, United States	open
Falafel Corner	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Halal / kosher · Burgers	4342 Thornton Ave	open
Federicos Grill	Casual dining · Bar	Italian · American	37804 Niles Blvd	open
Florence Bar	Bar		37349 Niles Blvd	open
Food Truck Mafia	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		allover the bay	open
Fortune Cookie Chinese Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	38509 Fremont Blvd	open
Francis Donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	4374 Thornton Ave	open
Fremont Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37012 Towers Way	open
G.G. Skewers 金门一串	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3625 Thornton Ave	open
Gangnam Tofu House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	3619 Thornton Ave	open
H.g. Pizza Restaurant, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37480 Fremont Blvd	open
Himalayan Bite Indo-Chinese Cuisine & Chaat	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	4378 Thornton Ave	open
Honey'z Cake Nation	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	Essanay Pl	open
I-Tea Fremont Blvd	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Chinese · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	37120 Fremont Blvd Suite I	open
Illegal Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	37463 Fremont Blvd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		36848 Fremont Blvd	open
Joe's Corner	Casual dining · Bar	Sandwiches	37713 Niles Blvd	open
Johnny's Lounge	Bar		3714 Peralta Blvd	open
K D Financial	Restaurant (service type not stated)		37161 Niles Blvd	open
Kiya Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	36488 Fremont Blvd	open
Kung Fu Dim Sum	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4370 Thornton Ave	open
Kyain Kyain	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southeast Asian (other) · Asian	3649 Thornton Ave	open
L&L Hawaiian Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3686 Ramblewood Pl	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4376 Thornton Ave	open
Madhuram	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	36472 Fremont Blvd	open
Maharlika Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Asian · American	3671 Thornton Ave	open
Maiwand Kabob Fremont	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	37012 Towers Way	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	4318 Thornton Ave	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	38860 Fremont Blvd	open
Mi Lindo Sinaloa	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	4796 Thornton Ave	open
Minerva's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	37463 Fremont Blvd	open
Mountain Mikes Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	35760 Fremont Blvd	open
Mr Taco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3930 Decoto Rd	open
Mughal Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	4812 Thornton Ave # A	open
MW Chinese Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	36659 Fremont Blvd	open
Naga's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	36472 Fremont Blvd	open
Nature's Organic Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	37597 Niles Blvd	open
Nayong Filipino	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3355 Country Dr	open
Niles Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	38003 Mission Blvd Ste a	open
Niles Ice Cream Sweets and Eats	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	37699 Niles Blvd	open
Niles Street Eats	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		37385 Niles Blvd	open
Nutri Shop Renacer	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	37411 Joseph St	open
Ofelias Taqueria Truck	Food truck	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3909 Thornton Ave	open
Ox 9 Lanzhou Hand Pulled Noodles	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	36456 Fremont Blvd	open
Pacific Fish Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	36472 Fremont Blvd	open
Papa John's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	36488 Fremont Blvd	open
Papillon Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	37296 Mission Blvd	open
Pav Bhaji Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	37100 Fremont Blvd Suit A	open
Peri Peri Grill House	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3625 Thornton Ave	open
Pizza Guys Pizza Guys - Pleasanton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3691 Thornton Ave	open
Poki Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Asian	36440 Fremont Blvd	open
Q Q Noodle	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3625 Thornton Ave	open
R&B Tea - Fremont	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	37120 Fremont Blvd	open
Ramen Instant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	36488 Fremont Blvd	open
Rapid Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	37120 Fremont Blvd	open
Remembering Lucia's Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	700 Mowry Ave	open
Renegade by Devout Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	37324 Fremont Blvd	open
Rice Junky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Asian	38487 Fremont Blvd #247	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	37480 Fremont Blvd	open
Royal Tea USA	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	38509 Fremont Blvd	open
Salang Pass	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	37462 Fremont Blvd	open
Satomi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3655 Thornton Ave	open
Shakers Pizza Shakers Pizza Express London Ky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4075 Thornton Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	35674 Fremont Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4380 Thornton Ave	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	488 Mowry Ave	open
Suju's Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	3602 Thornton Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	37236 Fremont Blvd	open
Taco Negris	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	37726 Niles Blvd	open
Tacos Fiesta Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	37011 Fremont Blvd	open
Tacos Sin Fronteras	Food truck	Mexican	4695 Thornton Ave	open
Tandoori Pizza Tandoori pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Indian · Asian	35760 Fremont Blvd	open
Taqueria El Chavito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3850 Peralta Blvd	open
Tea For Fremont	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	36400 Fremont Blvd	open
Tea-Rek’z	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Breakfast · Coffee · American	37390 Niles Blvd	open
The Burger Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	4050 Alder Ave	open
The Depot	Coffee shop	Coffee	37260 Fremont Blvd	open
The Mojo Lounge	Bar		3714 Peralta Blvd	open
The Nile Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	121 I St	open
The Vine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	37533 Niles Blvd	open
Tomsdepot	Restaurant (service type not stated)		991 Mowry Ave	open
Tyme For Tea and Co	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	37501 Niles Blvd	open
Uncle Chong	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	36659 Fremont Blvd	open
Wienerschnitzel Wienerschnitzel	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	37119 Fremont Blvd	open
YeeShaans Grubb	Quick service	Burgers · Halal / kosher	4342 Thornton Ave A	open
Yogurt Delight	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	4378 Thornton Ave	open
Yuk Wah Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	37418 Fremont Blvd	open
Zim Zim Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · American	3601 Springfield Cmn	open
A&w Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chicken / wings	37123 Fremont Blvd	closed
Casa Robles Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		494 Mowry Ave	closed
Mama's Papas	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3700 Thornton Ave	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	59	48	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1995	47	36	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1996	54	43	—	—	—	11	SIC1987
1997	56	46	—	—	—	10	SIC1987
1998	51	43	20	16	7	8	NAICS1997
1999	54	43	17	19	7	8	NAICS1997
2000	57	49	16	24	8	5	NAICS1997
2001	57	48	22	20	5	6	NAICS1997
2002	50	43	20	19	4	3	NAICS1997
2003	52	44	19	20	5	4	NAICS2002
2004	64	60	27	26	6	2	NAICS2002
2005	68	61	27	25	8	4	NAICS2002
2006	66	60	30	21	7	3	NAICS2002
2007	66	62	35	23	4	2	NAICS2002
2008	64	59	31	23	5	3	NAICS2007
2009	59	55	28	22	5	3	NAICS2007
2010	54	50	22	23	5	3	NAICS2007
2011	59	54	25	23	6	3	NAICS2007
2012	60	55	25	25	5	3	NAICS2012
2013	61	57	26	25	6	3	NAICS2012
2014	64	57	26	25	6	4	NAICS2012
2015	62	57	24	25	8	3	NAICS2012
2016	65	58	25	25	8	3	NAICS2012
2017	71	63	27	24	12	4	NAICS2017
2018	73	66	25	28	13	3	NAICS2017
2019	74	69	26	29	14	—	NAICS2017
2020	67	61	23	25	13	—	NAICS2017
2021	70	63	24	24	15	—	NAICS2017
2022	74	68	28	25	15	—	NAICS2022
2023	79	71	28	28	15	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 94536. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
94538	5.0 mi	239	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.