BMIE Market 94555

Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	37,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,568 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,847 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	34,143 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,096 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$219,938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,689 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,275 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±80 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,376,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,850 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	13.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	34 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94555
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+41.7% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+100.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	34 (range 30–39) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.28) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	83 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	95 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94555. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.28, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 83 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	94.7	95	40%	+37.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	82.4	82	35%	+28.8
Market Momentum Score	66.9	67	25%	+16.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 95 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	37,501	93	40%	+37.2
Median household income (ACS)	219,938	99	40%	+39.7
Households (ACS)	11,847	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	35%	+25.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.1	76	25%	+19.0
Population (ACS)	37,501	93	20%	+18.6
Median household income (ACS)	219,938	99	20%	+19.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.7	67	50%	+33.6
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	30%	+21.4
20-year restaurant growth	41.7	59	20%	+11.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (54)

By cuisine

Asian 12 · Chinese 12 · Indian 9 · Pizza 6 · Coffee 4 · Middle Eastern 4 · Bakery 3 · Japanese 3 · Burgers 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Noodles / ramen / pho 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Sushi 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Vietnamese 2 · American 1 · Filipino 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 42 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 3 · Café 3 · Dessert 3 · Coffee shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Bar 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Balaji Mess Balaji Mess	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	4918 Paseo Padre Pkwy	open
Balkh Bakery & Deli	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches · Middle Eastern	32730 Alvarado Blvd	open
Bing's Dumpling	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	34360 Fremont Blvd	open
Boba Queen	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Asian	34420 Fremont Blvd	open
Bombay Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Indian	4922 Paseo Padre Pkwy	open
Bombay Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	49222 Paseo Parkway	open
Bunbao	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	34755 Ardenwood Blvd	open
Calcutta Chaat and Bakery (Fremont)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	4906 Paseo Padre Pkwy	open
Chatpatta Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	34751 Ardenwood Blvd #3654	open
China Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3880 Lake Arrowhead Ave	open
ChongQing Xiao Mian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	34420 Fremont Blvd	open
El Mex-Cal Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Burgers · Mexican	34169 Fremont Blvd	open
Fortune Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	34123 Fremont Blvd	open
Fresh Donuts & Bagels	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	34113 Fremont Blvd	open
Golden India	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	4918 Paseo Padre Pkwy	open
Ichiro Japanese Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)		34133 Fremont Blvd	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		34701 Ardenwood Blvd	open
Kabul Icy Treats Cafe شیریخ و‌ژاله	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Middle Eastern	32740 Alvarado Blvd	open
King Of Thai Noodles House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	34787 Ardenwood Blvd	open
Little Latte Bar	Coffee shop	Coffee	3069 Nightingale Pl	open
Manila Turo Turo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Asian	3900 Lake Arrowhead Ave	open
Mary's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	34370 Fremont Blvd	open
Masala Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	4918 Paseo Padre Pkwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3990 Decoto Rd	open
Me & Ed's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3900 Decoto Rd	open
Mezza's Pizza & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	34145 Fremont Blvd	open
Milk & Honey Cafe	Café	Chinese · Coffee · Asian	34265 Fremont Blvd	open
Milk & Honey Rstrnt In	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		34250 Whitehead Ln	open
Mioki Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3924 Decoto Rd	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3900 Decoto Rd	open
Muslim Eastern House Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		34420 Fremont Blvd	open
New Penang Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	34137 Fremont boulevard	open
One Piece Lamian	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	34123 Fremont Blvd	open
Peacock Indian Cuisine at Ardenwood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Middle Eastern · Asian	4918 Paseo Padre Pkwy	open
Phin Cafe - Fremont Blvd \| Fremont Phin Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Vietnamese	34460 Fremont Blvd Ste D	open
Pho 99	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	34400 Fremont Blvd Ste b	open
Pho Long Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		34360 Fremont Blvd	open
Ping's Bistro Fremont	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	34145 Fremont Blvd	open
Pizza Italia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	34765 Ardenwood Blvd	open
Poki Poke	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Sushi · Seafood · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls	34460 Fremont Blvd	open
Rameshwaram Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Rameshwaram Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Coffee	3876 Decoto Rd	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4922 Paseo Padre Pkwy	open
S&L Kitchen and Hookah Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Saattvik Indian Dhaba	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Vegetarian	34115 Fremont Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	34115 Fremont Blvd	open
Sweet Orchid	Dessert	Dessert	34460 Fremont Blvd Ste D	open
Taiwan Porridge - Fremont	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	34137 Fremont Blvd	open
WADAYA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	34460 Fremont Blvd	open
Wienerschnitzel Wienerschnitzel	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	34480 Fremont Blvd	open
Yifang Taiwan Fruit Tea Fremont	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	34133 Fremont Blvd	open
Yum's Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4906 Paseo Padre Pkwy	open
Zam Zam Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	3876 Decoto Rd	open
重慶小麵	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	34440 Fremont Blvd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	17	17	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	19	18	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	15	12	4	6	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	17	15	7	5	2	—	NAICS1997
2000	21	17	10	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2001	20	15	7	6	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	24	18	13	3	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	29	24	9	11	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	33	27	10	14	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	28	22	6	13	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	35	31	10	17	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	39	34	11	17	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	36	31	11	15	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	34	29	12	14	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	32	28	12	12	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	29	26	12	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	30	26	14	10	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	28	26	13	12	1	—	NAICS2012
2014	28	28	13	14	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	34	33	17	14	2	—	NAICS2012
2016	28	28	13	12	3	—	NAICS2012
2017	35	33	14	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	34	31	14	11	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	37	32	13	13	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	32	28	9	12	7	—	NAICS2017
2021	33	30	8	13	7	—	NAICS2017
2022	34	32	7	16	7	—	NAICS2022
2023	35	34	10	17	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 94555. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
94587	3.2 mi	124	2023
94560	4.7 mi	148	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.