BMIE Market 94703
Alameda County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 20,934 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,365 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 8,662 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 19,846 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 9,468 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $109,881 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,705 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 37.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,240 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±144 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,359,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±77,790 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 15 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 94703 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -21.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +15.4% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +7.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +200.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 19 (range 13–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.05) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 31 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 94703. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.05, confidence Low.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 84.0 | 84 | 40% | +33.6 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 75.3 | 75 | 35% | +26.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 31.5 | 31 | 25% | +7.9 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 20,934 | 82 | 40% | +32.9 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 109,881 | 86 | 40% | +34.6 |
| Households (ACS) | 8,662 | 83 | 20% | +16.6 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 59 | 35% | +20.6 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 7.2 | 84 | 25% | +20.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 20,934 | 82 | 20% | +16.4 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 109,881 | 86 | 20% | +17.3 |
Market Momentum Score: 31 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -21.1 | 12 | 50% | +6.2 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 15.4 | 59 | 30% | +17.7 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 7.1 | 38 | 20% | +7.6 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (58)
By cuisine
Coffee 11 · Asian 7 · Dessert 5 · American 3 · Bakery 3 · Breakfast 3 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 3 · Chinese 3 · Pizza 3 · African 2 · Italian 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Seafood 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegetarian 1 · Vietnamese 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Café 9 · Coffee shop 7 · Bar 5 · Dessert 5 · Bakery 4 · Quick service 3 · Food truck 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Casual dining 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ada Cafe | Café · Coffee shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 3075 Adeline St | open |
| Alchemy Collective Cafe And Roaster | Café | Coffee | 1741 Alcatraz Ave | open |
| Alchemy Cooperative Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1741 Alcatraz Ave Ste A | open | |
| Bake Sum Pastries | Dessert | Dessert | 1615 University Ave | open |
| Ben Ben Hot Pot | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1585 University Ave | open |
| Cafe Leila | Café | Coffee | 2840 California St | open |
| Chen's Garden | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 1818 Alcatraz Ave | open |
| Crixa Cakes | Bakery | Bakery | 2748 Adeline St | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 3264 Adeline Street | open |
| Donut Farm | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Breakfast | 3278 Adeline St | open |
| Easy Creole | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 1761 Alcatraz Ave | open |
| El Tiny Cafe | Coffee shop | Coffee | 3219 Adeline St | open |
| Everest Restaurant Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1585 University Ave | open | |
| Flacos | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Vegetarian · Latin American (other) | 3031 Adeline St | open |
| Giin Thai Canteen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Thai | 3278 Adeline Street @ Alcatraz | open |
| Haley McNicoll's Celtic-American Eatery | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1607 63rd St | open | |
| Himalayan Flavors | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | 1585 University Ave | open |
| Hoi Polloi Brewing Taproom and Beat Lounge | Brewery / taproom · Bar | 1763 Alcatraz Ave | open | |
| Jaffa Coffee Roasters | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 1701 University Ave | open |
| Jollibee | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian | open | |
| La Bayou | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3278 Adeline St | open |
| La Parrillada Feliz food truck Mexicana | Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1894 University Ave | open |
| Lagosia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 1725 University Ave | open |
| Lemat Ethiopian Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | African | 3212 Adeline St | open |
| Martin Luther King House | Quick service | 2942 Martin Luther King Jr Way | open | |
| Maya Café & Taqueria | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Coffee · Sandwiches | 1704 University Ave | open |
| Melomelo Kava Bar | Bar | 1701 University Ave | open | |
| Milyar Coffee | Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Coffee · Juice / smoothies | 3300 Adeline St | open |
| Next Door | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Cajun, Creole, Southern | 3290 Adeline St | open |
| Nick's | Bar | 3218 Adeline St | open | |
| North Beach Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 1598 University Ave | open |
| Nunu's Desserts | Dessert | Dessert | 1900 Ashby Ave | open |
| Ohlone Herbal Center | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1654 University Ave | open | |
| Phở Me Now | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Vietnamese | 1725 University Ave | open |
| Poki Time | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1812 University Ave Ste A | open |
| Pomegranate Mediterrean Cuisine | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mediterranean | 1585 University Ave | open |
| Portable Pastries & Potage | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 1616 Channing Way | open |
| Presotea Berkeley | Juice, smoothie, tea | Tea / bubble tea · Asian | 1812-B University Ave | open |
| Rasa Caffe Llc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3140 Martin Luther King Jr Way | open | |
| Rhetoric Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2711 McGee Ave | open |
| Roses on Adeline | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3218 Adeline St | open | |
| Sweet Adeline Bakeshop | Bakery · Dessert | Bakery · Dessert | 3350 Adeline St | open |
| Thai Temple Brunch | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Thai · Asian | 1911 Russell St | open |
| The Bread Project | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1615 University Ave | open | |
| The Everest Momo | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck | Chinese | 1500 University Ave | open |
| The Fat Fish | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood · British / Irish pub food | 3221 Adeline St | open |
| TNT Cafe | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2611 Grant St | open | |
| Townie | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1799 University Avenue | open |
| University Cafe Nation's Giant Hamburgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · Breakfast · American | 1800 University Ave | open |
| Vault Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 3250 Adeline St | open |
| Venezia | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian | 1799 University Ave | open |
| West Coast Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 1706 University Ave | open |
| Xio's Fire Grill Barbecue | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 1937 Ashby Ave | open |
| Yeti Sports Bar and Restaurant | Bar · Casual dining | 3290 Adeline St | open | |
| Zing Cafe | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop | Coffee | 3051 Adeline St | open |
| All Day Kitchens | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1812 University Ave Ste A | closed | |
| China Live Signatures | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert | Dessert · Chinese | 1812 University Ave Ste A | closed |
| Spoonrocket, Inc. | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery | Bakery | 1725 University Ave | closed |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 5 | 5 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 6 | 5 | — | — | — | 1 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 10 | 10 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 14 | 12 | — | — | — | 2 | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 15 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 15 | 11 | 4 | — | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 16 | 13 | 8 | 5 | — | 2 | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 18 | 16 | 6 | 10 | — | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 16 | 14 | 5 | 9 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 16 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 13 | 13 | 5 | 8 | — | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 13 | 12 | 5 | 7 | — | 1 | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 16 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 18 | 17 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 17 | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 17 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 19 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 15 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 18 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 20 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 23 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 25 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 3 | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 21 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 20 | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 19 | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 19 | 18 | 5 | 9 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 16 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 15 | 15 | 6 | 7 | — | — | NAICS2022 |