BMIE Market 95130
Santa Clara County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 13,511 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,174 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 4,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±292 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 13,911 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 5,175 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $159,556 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±44,434 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 38.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $2,370 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±125 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $1,839,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±85,087 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 1.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 11 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95130 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 10.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | -15.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | -26.7% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +37.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +37.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 8 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.78) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 84 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 22 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95130. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.78, confidence High.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 83.5 | 84 | 40% | +33.4 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 58.1 | 58 | 35% | +20.3 |
| Market Momentum Score | 22.3 | 22 | 25% | +5.6 |
Consumer Market Score: 84 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 13,511 | 75 | 40% | +30.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 159,556 | 97 | 40% | +38.8 |
| Households (ACS) | 4,750 | 74 | 20% | +14.7 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | -26.7 | 11 | 35% | +3.7 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 8.1 | 80 | 25% | +19.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 13,511 | 75 | 20% | +15.0 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 159,556 | 97 | 20% | +19.4 |
Market Momentum Score: 22 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | -15.4 | 15 | 50% | +7.6 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | -26.7 | 11 | 30% | +3.2 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 37.5 | 57 | 20% | +11.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (19)
By cuisine
Chinese 3 · Sandwiches 3 · American 2 · Asian 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · Bakery 1 · BBQ 1 · Breakfast 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Coffee 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Mexican 1 · Seafood 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Quick service 4 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Bakery 1 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 575 Miishien | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 840 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Baskin-Robbins | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 840 El Paseo De Saratoga | open |
| California Fish Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 1200 El Paseo de Saratoga, Ste 100 | open |
| Checkers Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 4157 Hamilton Ave #1555 | open |
| Fire Wings | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 1010 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Fish On Sportfishing "Sara Bella" | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Seafood | 2024 Mayfield Ave | open |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Quick service | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 1030 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Le Boulanger | Other | Sandwiches | 1390 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Little Lou's BBQ | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · BBQ | Winchester Blvd | open |
| Mimi's Cafe | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 1200 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Noah's NY Bagels Noah's Bagels | Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop | Bakery · Sandwiches | 1340 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 1320 El Paseo De Saratoga | open |
| Peet's Coffee Peet's Coffee | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 1330 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Pizza My Heart Pizza My Heart - Santa Cruz | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 850 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Pupuseria La Chalateca | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Latin American (other) | 4161 Hamilton Ave | open |
| Red Robin Gourmet Burgers And Brews | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 1000 El Paseo de Saratoga | open | |
| The Melt | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American | 1410 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Togo's Sandwiches TOGO'S Sandwiches | Other · Specialty food shop · Quick service | Sandwiches | 1020 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
| Wagyu Master Sukiyaki House | San Jose | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Chinese | 1410 El Paseo de Saratoga | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 4 | 4 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 8 | 8 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 10 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 14 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 9 | 7 | — | 3 | 4 | 1 | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 9 | 8 | — | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 11 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 11 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 13 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 6 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 16 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 16 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 18 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 19 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 18 | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | — | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 15 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 16 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 14 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 14 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 13 | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | — | NAICS2022 |