BMIE Market 95135

Santa Clara County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,129 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,482 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,515 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±489 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	20,120 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,373 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$190,750 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,722 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.1 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$3,501 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,547,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±94,239 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	129.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95135
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-5.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+375.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	20 (range 18–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95135. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	88.2	88	40%	+35.3
Restaurant Opportunity Score	76.3	76	35%	+26.7
Market Momentum Score	38.9	39	25%	+9.7

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,129	82	40%	+32.6
Median household income (ACS)	190,750	99	40%	+39.5
Households (ACS)	7,515	80	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	35%	+21.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	9.4	74	25%	+18.6
Population (ACS)	20,129	82	20%	+16.3
Median household income (ACS)	190,750	99	20%	+19.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-5	23	50%	+11.3
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	30%	+18.6
20-year restaurant growth	18.8	45	20%	+9.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (33)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Asian 3 · Breakfast 3 · Indian 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Italian 2 · Pizza 2 · BBQ 1 · Burgers 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Mexican 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Thai 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 22 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 5 · Quick service 5 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Dessert 2 · Catering 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arome Cafe	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	4878 San Felipe Rd #110	open
Beach Hut Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	4878 San Felipe Rd #110	open
Cafe 86 - San Jose Cafe 86 - Chino Hills	Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	4055 Evergreen Village Square	open
Curry Bhavan	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	3327 San Felipe Rd	open
Curry Pizza House San Jose Evergreen Curry Pizza House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Pizza · American	4035 Evergreen Village Sq	open
Evergreen Breakfast	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Asian · American	2881 The Villages Pkwy	open
Evergreen Coffee Co	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4075 Evergreen Village Square #150	open
Foothill Lounge	Bar		3311 San Felipe Rd	open
Gorin Tennis Academy San Jose Evergreen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3095 Yerba Buena Rd	open
Honey Berry Evergreen	Dessert · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	4848 San Felipe Rd #170	open
Iguanas Burritozilla	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4848 San Felipe Rd Ste 130	open
Jamba Juice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	4848 San Felipe Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	3303 San Felipe Rd	open
L'amour Cafe	Café	Coffee	4868 San Felipe Rd	open
Le Boulanger Le Boulanger	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Sandwiches · Coffee	4898 San Felipe Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	4838 San Felipe Rd	open
Mojo’s Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4095 Evergreen Village Sq	open
Noura Indian Multi Cuisine Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	3309 San Felipe Rd	open
Panda Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	4898 San Felipe Rd Ste 140	open
Pasta Pomodoro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	4898 San Felipe Rd	open
Pizza My Heart Pizza My Heart - Santa Cruz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4898 San Felipe Rd	open
Rajjot Evergreen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Middle Eastern	3327 San Felipe Rd	open
RAMEN OSAKA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	4035 Evergreen Village Square	open
Sam's BBQ Diner	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	3309 San Felipe Rd	open
Sam's cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	2821 mission college blvd	open
Sophie's Mediterranean Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Mediterranean	4035 Evergreen Village Square #20	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4848 San Felipe Road Evergreen Shopping Center	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4075 Evergreen Village Square, Building C, Suite 130	open
Thai Street Food	Quick service	Thai · Asian		open
The Bistro Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		The Villages Pkwy	open
The Funny Farm Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4898 San Felipe Rd Ste 150	open
Village Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Breakfast	4075 Evergreen Village Square #120	open
Yoogool Yogurt Milk Tea	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4055 Evergreen Village Sq Ste 150	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	4	4	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	13	12	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	11	8	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	12	8	3	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	14	10	4	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	17	10	4	5	1	4	NAICS1997
2002	16	13	6	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	17	16	5	9	2	—	NAICS2002
2004	17	15	6	7	2	—	NAICS2002
2005	23	20	8	10	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	22	19	6	11	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	23	20	4	12	4	1	NAICS2002
2008	21	18	5	10	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	19	5	9	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	25	21	8	6	6	2	NAICS2007
2011	21	18	6	6	6	1	NAICS2007
2012	19	17	5	7	5	1	NAICS2012
2013	18	16	5	7	4	1	NAICS2012
2014	22	18	5	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	21	18	5	8	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	22	19	5	7	6	1	NAICS2012
2017	24	20	3	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	20	5	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	22	18	4	6	7	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	18	5	7	5	—	NAICS2017
2021	22	20	5	8	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	22	20	4	10	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	19	3	11	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95135. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.