BMIE Market 95330

San Joaquin County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	35,395 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±398 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,892 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±415 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,853 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,181 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$125,421 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,176 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	33.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,531 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±236 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$643,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,140 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	21.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	42 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95330
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+31.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+110.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+250.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+950.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	48 (range 45–52) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.8 per year, r² 0.93) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	88 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	89 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95330. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.8 restaurants per year, r² 0.93, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 88 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.2	90	40%	+36.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	86.0	86	35%	+30.1
Market Momentum Score	89.3	89	25%	+22.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	35,395	92	40%	+36.7
Median household income (ACS)	125,421	92	40%	+36.8
Households (ACS)	8,892	83	20%	+16.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 86 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	110	94	35%	+33.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.3
Population (ACS)	35,395	92	20%	+18.4
Median household income (ACS)	125,421	92	20%	+18.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 89 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	31.3	84	50%	+41.9
10-year restaurant growth	110	94	30%	+28.3
20-year restaurant growth	250	95	20%	+19.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (94)

By cuisine

American 15 · Mexican 11 · Pizza 9 · Asian 8 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Burgers 6 · Coffee 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Sandwiches 6 · Chicken / wings 4 · BBQ 3 · Chinese 3 · Filipino 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Indian 3 · Italian 3 · Japanese 3 · Sushi 3 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Breakfast 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Caribbean 1 · Korean 1 · Peruvian 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 50 · Quick service 23 · Dessert 11 · Bar 10 · Bakery 7 · Food truck 7 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Catering 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Other 2 · Delivery-focused 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Taste of the Islands	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Caribbean	18264 Dalton Dr	open
A&W Restaurants KFC	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Burgers · American	150 E Louise Ave	open
Amici Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	269 Louise Ave	open
Barbecue Nation	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	15338 S Harlan Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	15108 S Harlan Rd	open
Bella's Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	155 Lathrop Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	15119 Harlan Rd	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	200 E Louise Ave	open
Casa Pinoy	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Asian	16201 S Harlan Rd	open
Chicago's Pizza With A Twist - Lathrop, CA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Vegan	159 Lathrop Rd	open
Chick-fil-A	Quick service		16608 Golden Valley Pkwy	open
China Wok Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	15020 S Harlan Rd	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	16542 Golden Valley Pkwy	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	345 Roth Rd	open
Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	16722 Golden Valley Parkway, Pad C	open
Cork And Barrel	Bar		263 Louise Ave	open
Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Breakfast · American	14725 S Harlan Rd	open
Custom Charcuterie by Lydia	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	Garden Farms Ave	open
De Colores \| Méxican Restaurant & Bar	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	14725 S Harlan Rd	open
Deli Delicious	Other	Sandwiches	16607 S Harlan Rd	open
Dickey's Barbecue Pit	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Sandwiches	15338 S Harlan Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	16605 S Harlan Rd	open
Doña Tere Peruvian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Peruvian · Latin American (other)	16438 Cambridge Dr	open
Dosa-N-More	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Indian	Food Plaza, 16201 S Harlan Rd Suite A	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	15135 Old Harlan Rd	open
El Aguacate - Birrieria y taqueria	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Mexican	1051 River Islands Pkwy	open
El Cerrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	16855 Old Harlan Rd	open
El Don Cocina & Cantina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	16925 S Harlan Rd	open
Everest Tandoori & Curry	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	16201 S Harlan Rd	open
Fagundes Street Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	16201 S Harlan Rd # 23	open
Fireside Inn	Bar		854 Lathrop Rd	open
Flying Dogs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15106 S Harlan Rd	open
Ghirardelli Chocolate Outlet & Ice Cream Shop	Dessert	Dessert	11980 S Harlan Rd	open
Golden Bowl Restaurant Golden Bowl Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	249 E Louise Ave	open
GS Trucking	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13393 Talc St	open
Haven Acres Marina Bar & Grill	Bar	American	1691 Frewert Rd	open
Hot Tender Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	16201 S Harlan Rd	open
In N Out Burger In-N-Out Merchandise	Quick service	American · Burgers	18240 S Harlan Rd	open
In-N-Out Burger In-N-Out Burger	Quick service	Burgers · American	16514 Golden Valley Parkway	open
Islander Coffee Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	1401 River Islands Pkwy	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		100 E Louise Ave	open
Jamba Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Juice / smoothies	16460 Golden Vly Pkwy Suite C	open
Kapambites	Food truck	Filipino · Asian	16201 S Harlan Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		16460 Golden Valley Parkway	open
Kryspy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	15600 S Harlan Rd	open
La Costa De Acapulco	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	16444 Cambridge Dr	open
La Hacienda Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	15158 S Harlan Rd	open
La Piedad Taco Truck	Food truck · Bar		15151 S Harlan Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15344 S Harlan Rd	open
Mark & Terry’s Poolside Tiki Bar & Lounge	Casual dining · Bar			open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	300 East Louise Avenue	open
Mikasa Japanese Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	15138 S Harlan Rd	open
Milan's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	15030 S Harlan Rd	open
Miranda Catering Sabor Michoacan	Food truck · Catering	Mexican	1357 E Louise Ave	open
Mossdale Marina	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	73 Stewart Rd	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	229 E Louise Ave	open
MX Donuts	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	15126 S Harlan Rd	open
Nana Bears Mini Donuts	Bakery · Food truck · Dessert	Dessert	16201 S Harlan Rd	open
Numark Transportation	Restaurant (service type not stated)		17690 Shideler Pkwy	open
Nur’s Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Catering	Korean	644 Sunrise Pl	open
Padella Italiana Di Mario	Food truck	Italian	16201 S Harlan Rd	open
Panda Express	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	15099 Old Harlan Rd	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15124 S Harlan Rd	open
Pizza Hut Express Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	16858 Golden Vly Pkwy	open
Popeyes Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen	Quick service	Chicken / wings · Cajun, Creole, Southern	16837 s. Harlan Road	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	209 Louise Ave	open
Rasoi	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	15338 S Harlan Rd	open
Rising Bloom Sweet Treats	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1819 Plumas Dr	open
Rita's Italian Ice Mango Crazy	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Spanish / tapas	16609 South Harlan Road	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	15124 S Harlan Rd	open
Royal Pizza Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	159 Lathrop Rd	open
Siena Italian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	16925 S Harlan Rd	open
Sip&Spice	Dessert		18008 Golden Valley Pkwy	open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	15107 Old Harlan Road	open
Spring Water	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	217 Louise Ave	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	16538 Golden Valley Parkway	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	15010 S Harlan Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	15328 S Harlan Road	open
Sushi Depot	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	1864 Plumas Dr	open
T4 Tea For	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	15346 S Harlan Rd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	16905 S Harlan Rd	open
Tacos La Bahia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	15151 S Harlan Rd	open
The Blessed Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Filipino · Asian	151 Lathrop Rd	open
The Boathouse at River Islands	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	980 Lakeside Dr	open
The Churro Spot	Food truck		16201 S Harlan Rd	open
The Hangar Socialhouse	Casual dining · Bar		950 S Manthey Rd	open
The Meltdown	Restaurant (service type not stated)		16851 Harlan Rd	open
TOGO'S Sandwiches TOGO'S Sandwiches	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	15600 S Harlan Rd	open
Tx Nightclub	Bar		16925 S Harlan Rd Ste 103	open
Vallarta Company, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		245 Louise Ave	open
Vallarta Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	245 E Louise Ave	open
Dongsilogs	Food truck		16201 S Harlan Rd	closed
Flavor Fusion	Food truck		16201 S Harlan Rd	closed
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	444 Mossdale Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	9	8	2	5	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	11	10	3	6	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	12	11	4	7	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	13	12	4	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	14	13	8	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	13	12	6	5	1	1	NAICS2002
2004	15	13	7	5	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	13	12	5	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	16	15	6	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	15	14	4	8	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	15	4	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	16	4	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	20	20	7	10	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	21	21	5	13	3	—	NAICS2012
2013	20	20	5	13	2	—	NAICS2012
2014	24	23	7	14	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	27	26	8	16	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	28	27	10	15	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	30	30	11	17	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	32	32	11	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	30	10	17	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	34	33	12	19	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	34	33	9	22	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	38	37	10	23	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	44	42	13	24	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95330. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95231	4.4 mi	3	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.