BMIE Market 95358

Stanislaus County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,469 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,741 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,273 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±460 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	31,668 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,228 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$76,924 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,322 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	32.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,594 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±98 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$431,900 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±12,440 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	116.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	20 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95358
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	4.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-4.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+25.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+185.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	23 (range 20–27) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.26) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	68 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95358. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.26, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 68 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.3	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.5	75	35%	+26.1
Market Momentum Score	48.1	48	25%	+12.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,469	89	40%	+35.7
Median household income (ACS)	76,924	58	40%	+23.2
Households (ACS)	8,273	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	35%	+23.6
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.6	86	25%	+21.5
Population (ACS)	30,469	89	20%	+17.8
Median household income (ACS)	76,924	58	20%	+11.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-4.8	23	50%	+11.5
10-year restaurant growth	25	67	30%	+20.2
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (67)

By cuisine

Mexican 33 · Latin American (other) 11 · American 5 · Burgers 4 · Chicken / wings 4 · Coffee 4 · Seafood 4 · Dessert 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Bakery 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Pizza 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Asian 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Japanese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 48 · Food truck 8 · Quick service 8 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Casual dining 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Bakery 2 · Bar 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arcelia Y Pedro Birria's	Quick service		1624 Stone Leaf Ct	open
Bimbo Bakeries USA Bimbo Bakeries USA	Bakery	Bakery	1749 Reliance St	open
Birrieria Garcia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1700 Crows Landing Rd	open
C&D Neveria y Fruteria	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	1661 Crows Landing Rd	open
California Healthy Harvest	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1573 Cummins Dr	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	118 E Whitmore Ave	open
Casa de Jefes	Food truck		1651 Crows Landing Rd	open
Chelys Kitchen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1940 Crows Landing Rd Ste 17	open
Chitos Birerria	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1623 Crows Landing Rd	open
CrepAris	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1647 Crows Landing Rd	open
Crows Landing Donuts & Deli	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Sandwiches · Bakery	1900 Crows Landing Rd	open
El Botanero	Bar		101 E Glenn Ave	open
El Campestre Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1511 Crows Landing Rd	open
El Pollo Feliz	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Chicken / wings	1616 Crows Landing Rd	open
Elite Food Truck Mfg	Food truck		300 Primo Way	open
Fiesta Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1517 Morgan Rd	open
Fresh Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	4955 Crows Landing Rd	open
Gaby's Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	1620 Crows Landing Rd	open
Gallo Label	Winery / distillery / taproom		2612 Crows Landing Rd	open
Gorditas El Sabor De Mi Pueblo Gorditas El Sabor De Mi Pueblo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3113 Crows Landing Rd	open
Guadalajara Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1601 Crows Landing Rd	open
Island Dairy	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		8937 W Grayson Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	6943 Maze Blvd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	4955 Crows Landing Road	open
La Cabana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	1777 Crows Landing Rd	open
La Gordita Feliz	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	3113 Crows Landing Rd	open
La Huacana Restaurant and Nightclub	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	101 E Glenn Ave	open
La Morena	Food truck		1627 Crows Landing Rd	open
La Perla Tapatia La Perla Tapatia	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2031 Crows Landing Rd	open
La Reina Michoacana	Dessert	Dessert · Mexican · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1940 Crows Landing Rd # 2	open
La suegritaa food truck	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3113 Crows Landing Rd	open
Las delicias de Apatzingan food truck	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1304 Pearson Ave	open
Las Delicias De Apatzingan"	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1940 Crows Landing Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	166 E Whitmore Ave	open
Lonchera Mariscos Colima	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other)	1715 Crows Landing Rd	open
Los Chachos Taco Truck	Food truck	Mexican	1705 Crows Landing Rd	open
Los Hermanos Pollos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Mexican	101 E Glenn Ave	open
Los Hermanos Pollos a las Brasas Lonchera	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1530 Crows Landing Rd	open
Lucerito de la Sierra de Michoacan	Dessert	Mexican · Dessert	2432 W Hatch Rd	open
Magnolia Southern Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	4937 Beckwith Rd	open
Mango Temptation	Dessert · Café	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Coffee	1606 Crows Landing Rd	open
Mariscos Colima	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	101 E Glenn Ave	open
Mariscos Los Huicholes	Food truck	Mexican · Seafood	& Garton Tractor, Crows Landing Rd, E Whitmore Ave	open
Mariscos Sinaloa Mariscos Espinoza Mexican Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood	1540 Crows Landing Rd	open
Martha's Tamales	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Mexican · Juice / smoothies	1645 Crows Landing Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1280 E Whitmore Ave	open
Pacific Agri Lands Inc	Winery / distillery / taproom		5206 Hammett Rd	open
Pink Pantherz ESPRESSO	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1940 Crows Landing Rd	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1620 Crows Landing Rd Ste J	open
ProductosPaLe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3113 Crows Landing Rd	open
R F MacDonald Company R.F. MacDonald Co.	Quick service		1549 Cummins Dr	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	166 E Whitmore Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	166 E Whitmore Ave Suite B	open
Tacos El Poly	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	521 Winmoore Way	open
Tacos la flamita	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	143 E Whitmore Ave	open
TACOS Mendoza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3113 Crows Landing Rd	open
Tacos Y Hamburguesas Zamudio	Food truck	Mexican · Burgers	3113 Crows Landing Rd	open
Tacos y Mariscos la Michoacana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	Crows Landing Rd	open
Tamales Sinaloa	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	930 N Carpenter Rd	open
Taquería Cocina Jimenez	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1527 Crows Landing Rd	open
taqueria el limon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1700 Crows Landing Rd	open
Taqueria Islas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1943 Crows Landing Rd	open
Tokyo Teriyaki House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	1769 Crows Landing Rd	open
Twin Rivers Saloon	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		7000 Maze Blvd	open
Vineyard 76	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	1280 E Whitmore Ave	open
Whole Latte Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	1820 Blue Gum Ave	open
Baker Walnut Inc	Bakery	Bakery	719 E Grayson Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	10	7	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	11	9	4	2	3	2	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	11	10	5	4	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	11	10	6	4	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	3	5	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	10	10	5	5	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2005	12	11	5	5	1	—	NAICS2002
2006	14	12	7	4	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	14	13	5	5	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	14	13	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	15	7	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	15	14	5	5	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	16	15	7	6	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	15	14	6	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	17	16	6	8	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	19	18	8	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2015	20	19	7	9	3	—	NAICS2012
2016	23	22	8	10	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	22	21	9	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	24	21	9	9	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	25	22	7	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	25	21	9	8	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	20	9	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	20	7	9	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	20	6	10	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95358. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.