BMIE Market 95367
Stanislaus County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020
Profile
| Population (current estimate) | 25,593 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±308 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
|---|---|
| Households | 7,847 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±379 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Population, 2010 Census count | 23,173 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Housing units | 7,271 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04 |
| Median household income | $87,487 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,012 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median age | 34.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median gross rent | $1,611 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±215 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Median home value | $464,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,487 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05 |
| Land area | 5.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020 |
| Restaurants | 53 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95367 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents | 13.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such |
| Restaurant growth, 5-year | +32.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 10-year | +60.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, 20-year | +130.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Restaurant growth, Longest on file | +278.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants |
| Projected restaurants, 2028 | 55 (range 48–62) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.68) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee |
| Projected population, 5 years ahead | Needs more ACS years on file |
| BMIE Market Score | 77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Consumer Market Score | 79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
| Market Momentum Score | 85 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why? |
Map
Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.Trends
Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.
Restaurants by year, with trend and projection
ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95367. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.68, confidence Medium.Growth index (first year on file = 100)
Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).Mix of the food-service market
Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents
Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages
Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.Why these scores?
Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.
BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Consumer Market Score | 78.8 | 79 | 40% | +31.5 |
| Restaurant Opportunity Score | 70.4 | 70 | 35% | +24.6 |
| Market Momentum Score | 85.3 | 85 | 25% | +21.3 |
Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Population (ACS) | 25,593 | 86 | 40% | +34.3 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 87,487 | 71 | 40% | +28.3 |
| Households (ACS) | 7,847 | 81 | 20% | +16.2 |
Restaurant Opportunity Score: 70 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60.6 | 86 | 35% | +30.2 |
| Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room) | 20.7 | 36 | 25% | +8.9 |
| Population (ACS) | 25,593 | 86 | 20% | +17.1 |
| Median household income (ACS) | 87,487 | 71 | 20% | +14.1 |
Market Momentum Score: 85 (High confidence)
| Component | Value | Rank | Weight | Adds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5-year restaurant growth | 32.5 | 84 | 50% | +42.0 |
| 10-year restaurant growth | 60.6 | 86 | 30% | +25.9 |
| 20-year restaurant growth | 130.4 | 87 | 20% | +17.4 |
A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.
Restaurants on file (93)
By cuisine
Mexican 15 · American 12 · Coffee 11 · Burgers 9 · Pizza 8 · Bakery 6 · Dessert 6 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Asian 5 · Sandwiches 5 · BBQ 4 · Chinese 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Italian 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Chicken / wings 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Breakfast 2 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Japanese 2 · Mediterranean 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · European 1 · Greek 1 · Indian 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Steakhouse 1
By type
Restaurant (service type not stated) 53 · Quick service 20 · Café 11 · Dessert 10 · Bar 9 · Casual dining 7 · Bakery 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Food truck 5 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Other 2 · Fast casual 1 · Specialty food shop 1
| Name | Type | Cuisine | Address | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108 Sports Lounge | Bar | 3119 Atchison St | open | |
| 8th St Bar-Grill and Resort | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 6242 8th St | open |
| A&w Restaurant | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2200 Patterson Rd | open |
| Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | American | 2449 Claribel Road | open |
| Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 6333 Oakdale Rd Suite E | open |
| Birrieria Zapotlanejo El Potrillo | Food truck | open | ||
| Black Sheep Kitchen & Cocktails | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar | 3319 Santa Fe St | open | |
| Boni's Bakery | Bakery | Bakery | 2761 Patterson Rd | open |
| Bruin Bistro | Café | Coffee | 6200 Claus Rd | open |
| Burger King Burger King | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2572 Patterson Rd | open |
| Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr. | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2773 Patterson Rd | open |
| China Kitchen | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese | 2119 Patterson Rd | open |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 2207 Claribel Rd Ste A A | open |
| Cold Stone Creamery Cold Stone Creamery | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert | 2213 Claribel Rd | open |
| Cool Hand Luke's Steakhouse Cool Hand Lukes - Santa Maria | Casual dining · Bar | Steakhouse · American | 2505 Patterson Rd | open |
| Crumbl - Riverbank | Dessert | Dessert | 2207 Claribel Rd Ste D | open |
| Daily Dose Bistro | Café | Coffee | 3310 Santa Fe St | open |
| DC Donuts | Bakery · Dessert · Café | Dessert · Coffee · Bakery | 2761 Patterson Rd | open |
| Del Rio Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 3300 Atchison St | open | |
| Dickey's Barbecue Pit | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ | 2207 Claribel Rd Ste D | open |
| Domino's Domino's Pizza | Quick service · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2119 Patterson Rd | open |
| Don Francisco | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 6625 2nd St | open |
| donfilisgrill | Food truck | 2906 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2300 Patterson Rd (Patterson & Oakdale) | open |
| Earth Blessings | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Sandwiches | Patterson Road, Riverbank | open |
| El Jacalito Mexican Food | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex | 3203 Atchison St | open |
| El Pollo Loco El Pollo Loco | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chicken / wings | 2315 Claribel Rd | open |
| El Ranchito Restaurant El Ranchito Restaurante | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 3048 Atchison St | open |
| El Rosal | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2542 Patterson Rd Ste D | open |
| Farmer Boys Farmer Boys | Restaurant (service type not stated) | American · Burgers | 2453 Claribel Rd | open |
| Five Guys Five Guys | Quick service | Burgers · American | 2199 Claribel Rd. | open |
| Get Toasted | Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Coffee · Breakfast | 3308 Santa Fe St | open |
| Golden Chopstix Golden Chopstix | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Asian · Chinese | 2232 Patterson Rd | open |
| Grand Asia | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining | Asian · American | 6333 Oakdale Rd | open |
| Habit Burger & Grill Habit Burger & Grill | Quick service | 2348 Patterson Rd. | open | |
| Jack in the Box | Quick service | 2246 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Jamba Jamba | Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2251 Claribel Rd | open |
| Kinfolks Flatstone Grill | Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar | Burgers | 3306 Santa Fe St | open |
| Krispy Kreme | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2251 Claribel Rd Ste A | open | |
| L&L Hawaiian Barbecue L&L Hawaiian BBQ - Vancouver | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · Hawaiian / Pacific | 2447 Claribel Rd #A | open |
| L'Gusto Cucina Italiana | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Italian · Mediterranean | 3543 Atchison St | open |
| La Parrilla Mexican Restaurant and Bar La Parrilla Mexican Restaurant & Bar | Bar | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2251 Claribel Rd | open |
| La Salsa Fresh Mexican Grill | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza · BBQ | 3543 Atchison St | open |
| Lee's Old School Barbeque | Restaurant (service type not stated) | BBQ · American | 5913 Stanislaus St | open |
| Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2230 Patterson Rd | open |
| Los Canelitos Taqueria | Food truck | Mexican | 6505 Callander Ave | open |
| Los Magueyes Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 2761 Patterson Rd | open |
| Lucky House Restaurant | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Chinese · Asian | 2730 Patterson Rd | open |
| McDonald's McDonald's | Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 6411 Oakdale Rd | open |
| Menchie's Menchie's | Dessert · Bar | Dessert | 2231 Claribel Road, Suite 1A, Riverbank, CA | open |
| Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 6333 Oakdale Rd | open |
| Next Level Nutrition | Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee | 2220 Patterson Rd | open |
| Nick The Greek Nick The Greek | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Greek · Mediterranean · European | 2251 Claribel Rd #1 | open |
| Nifty's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Breakfast | 3203 Atchison St | open |
| Oaxacan Tamales | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2761 Patterson Rd Ste 130 | open | |
| Paletalandia | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts | 2761 Patterson Rd | open |
| Paleteria Neveria La Flor de Michoacan | Dessert | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Mexican | 2761 Patterson Rd | open |
| Palo Santo Cafe | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 6333 Oakdale Rd Ste i | open |
| Panaderia La Esperanza | Bakery | Bakery | 3216 Atchison St | open |
| Panaderia Velasco | Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Bakery | 2761 Patterson Rd | open |
| Panda Express | Quick service | Chinese · Asian | 2207 Claribel Rd | open |
| Panera Bread Panera Bread | Bakery · Fast casual | Bakery · Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2231 Claribel Rd | open |
| Papa Murphy's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza | 2542 Patterson Rd | open |
| Patty Dutch Bros. Coffee | Coffee shop · Café | Coffee | 2300 Patterson Rd | open |
| Perko's Cafe Perko's café Citrus Height | Casual dining | American | 2120 Patterson Rd | open |
| Pizza Plus | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Pizza · Italian | 3327 Santa Fe St | open |
| Poke Bowl Poke Bowl McHenry | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Healthy / salads / bowls | 2329 Claribel Rd | open |
| Raising Cane's Chicken Fingers | Quick service | 2029 Claribel Rd | open | |
| Ramen 101 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Japanese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian | 2441 Claribel Rd | open |
| Randhawa &sons Inc | Restaurant (service type not stated) | 2226 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Red Robin Gourmet Burgers | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers · American | 2367 Claribel Rd | open |
| Riverbank - Claribel Rd. Farmer Boys | Quick service | 2453 Claribel Rd. | open | |
| Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused | Pizza | 2441 Claribel Rd | open |
| Sazon Por Tradicion Taqueria San Jose | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Italian | 3220 Atchison St | open |
| SNOWHITE DRIVE IN | Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Ice cream / frozen desserts · Burgers | 3442 Atchison St | open |
| Starbucks Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2213 Claribel Road Crossroads Regional Center | open |
| Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks | Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café | Coffee | 2252 Patterson Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2226 Patterson Rd | open |
| Subway | Other | Sandwiches | 2441 Claribel Rd Ste 1 | open |
| Taco Bell Taco Bell | Quick service | Mexican | 2421 Patterson Rd | open |
| Taco Fiesta & Catering | Food truck | Mexican | 6505 Callander Ave | open |
| Tacos El Guero 209 | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 23659 Santa Fe Rd | open |
| Tacos La Hidalguense | Food truck | 2782 Patterson Rd | open | |
| Taqueria Los Compadres | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 6333 Oakdale Rd Ste. J | open |
| Taqueria San Jose Taqueria San Jose | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican · Latin American (other) | 2238 Patterson Rd | open |
| The Nutrition Zone | Juice, smoothie, tea · Café | Juice / smoothies · Coffee · Healthy / salads / bowls | 3200 Sierra St | open |
| Togo's TOGO'S Sandwiches | Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Sandwiches | 2401 Claribel Rd Ste F | open |
| Tortilleria Los Vaqueros | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Mexican | 3325 Atchison St | open |
| Valley Donuts | Bakery · Dessert | Dessert · Bakery | 2119 Patterson Rd #7 | open |
| Wendy's | Restaurant (service type not stated) | Burgers | 1815 Claribel Rd | open |
| White Carpet Bar & Lounge | Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) | Indian | 3319 Santa Fe St | open |
| Wingstop Wingstop | Quick service | Chicken / wings · American | 2251 Claribel Rd Ste B | open |
| Woods Pizzeria | Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service | Pizza | open |
Restaurant establishments over time
| Year | All food service | Restaurants | Full-service | Limited-service | Snack & beverage | Bars | Industry codes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1994 | 18 | 14 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1995 | 13 | 10 | — | — | — | 3 | SIC1987 |
| 1996 | 16 | 12 | — | — | — | 4 | SIC1987 |
| 1997 | 17 | 17 | — | — | — | — | SIC1987 |
| 1998 | 19 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 1999 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2000 | 17 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2001 | 20 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2002 | 19 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 3 | — | NAICS1997 |
| 2003 | 23 | 23 | 7 | 13 | 3 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2004 | 22 | 22 | 5 | 14 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2005 | 25 | 25 | 8 | 15 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2006 | 26 | 26 | 11 | 13 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2007 | 30 | 28 | 9 | 17 | 2 | — | NAICS2002 |
| 2008 | 31 | 31 | 11 | 17 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2009 | 32 | 31 | 10 | 17 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2010 | 30 | 30 | 12 | 14 | 4 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2011 | 27 | 27 | 10 | 14 | 3 | — | NAICS2007 |
| 2012 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2013 | 35 | 33 | 14 | 16 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2014 | 36 | 34 | 14 | 17 | 3 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2015 | 39 | 37 | 15 | 20 | 2 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2016 | 45 | 43 | 16 | 23 | 4 | 2 | NAICS2012 |
| 2017 | 45 | 43 | 17 | 20 | 6 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2018 | 42 | 40 | 15 | 21 | 4 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2019 | 42 | 39 | 14 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2020 | 46 | 40 | 15 | 23 | — | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2021 | 46 | 41 | 14 | 22 | 5 | — | NAICS2017 |
| 2022 | 54 | 48 | 16 | 24 | 8 | — | NAICS2022 |
| 2023 | 58 | 53 | 19 | 25 | 9 | — | NAICS2022 |