BMIE Market 95425

Sonoma County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	10,978 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±613 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,309 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,841 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,544 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$119,092 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,096 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,424 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$653,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,194 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	192.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95425
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+9.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-4.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+15.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+64.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	22 (range 20–24) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	49 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	48 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95425. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.3	79	40%	+31.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	48.7	49	35%	+17.0
Market Momentum Score	48.5	48	25%	+12.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	10,978	72	40%	+28.9
Median household income (ACS)	119,092	90	40%	+36.0
Households (ACS)	4,309	72	20%	+14.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 49 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-4.2	21	35%	+7.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	21.0	35	25%	+8.7
Population (ACS)	10,978	72	20%	+14.4
Median household income (ACS)	119,092	90	20%	+18.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 48 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	9.5	67	50%	+33.5
10-year restaurant growth	-4.2	21	30%	+6.4
20-year restaurant growth	15	42	20%	+8.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (72)

By cuisine

Mexican 6 · American 4 · Bakery 4 · Coffee 4 · Italian 3 · Pizza 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Dessert 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Sushi 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 29 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Bar 16 · Quick service 8 · Bakery 4 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Café 3 · Casual dining 3 · Dessert 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
101 Thai Way	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1198 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Aztec Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1165 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Bakery El Palomo	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	122 E 1st St	open
Bear Republic Brewing	Brewery / taproom		26972 Asti Rd	open
Bear Republic Brewing Company Inc.	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		110 Sandholm Ln	open
Blue Rock Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		Alexander Valley	open
Byrd Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		115 Broad St	open
Cloverdale 4th of July Community BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	207 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Colibrí Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		26607 River Rd	open
E & J Gallo Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		26150 Asti Rd	open
El Milagro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	485 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
El Molcajete	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1129 S Cloverdale Blvd G	open
Finnella Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		130 Commercial St	open
Flavia’s	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	512 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Flavor Fiesta	Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1123 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Fritz Underground Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		24691 Dutcher Creek Rd	open
Hamburger Ranch and BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	31195 N Redwood Hwy	open
Happy donuts	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop	Dessert · Coffee · Bakery	1117 #C S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Harold's Dante Hotel	Bar		133 Railroad Ave	open
Icaria Creek Winery	Bar		27750 Asti Rd	open
J. Rickards Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		24505 Chianti Rd	open
Kelley & Young Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		119 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1194 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
La Hacienda Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		134 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
La Tequila Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Mexican	134 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Linde Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		24400 Geyserville Ave	open
Long Gamma	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		25500 River Rd	open
Mary's Pizza Shack	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1143 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	1149 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
MoE's Eagles Nest Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	113 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1143 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
North Coast Wine Co.	Winery / distillery / taproom		24625 Chianti Rd	open
Papa's Pizza Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	105 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Pastori Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		23189 Geyserville Ave	open
Peay Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		207 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Peay Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		227 Treadway Dr	open
Pendleton Estate Vineyards & Winery	Bar		35100 Highway 128	open
Piacere Ristorante Italiano	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	504 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Pick's Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		117 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Pine Mountain Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		25475 Cloverdale Peak Rd	open
Plank Coffee Cloverdale	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	227 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Railroad Station Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		236 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Ramazzotti Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		70 Industrial Dr	open
Reynoso Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		25500 River Rd	open
Rockin' A Adventure Café	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1313 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Route 128 Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		22130 Highway 128	open
Ruth McGowan's Brewpub	Brewery / taproom		131 E 1st St	open
Sawmill Saloon	Bar		240 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Seven Arches Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		1255 Hiatt Rd	open
SkyPine Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		31955 Pine Mountain Rd	open
Souverain	Winery / distillery / taproom		26150 Asti Post Office Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1198 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1117 B S Cloverdale Blvd.	open
Taco Bell	Quick service		1194 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1194 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Tain Yuen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Vietnamese · Sushi · Japanese	421 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Tellez Family Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		31920 Pine Mountain Rd	open
Thai Spice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1123 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
The Beet Restaurant & Wine Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		116 E 1st St	open
The Federalist Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
The Trading Post	Bakery	Bakery	102 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Valdez Family Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		129 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Vino Di Amore	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		105 N Cloverdale Blvd	open
Wattle Creek Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		25510 River Rd	open
West Coast Sourdough West Coast Sourdough	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Bakery	Sandwiches · Bakery	421 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Whistler Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		24691 Dutcher Creek Rd	open
William Gordon Winery & William Gregory Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		27800 River Rd	open
Wolf House Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Bar		131 E 1st St	open
Woodhawk Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		2045 Woodhawk Ln	open
Zini's Diner	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	796 S Cloverdale Blvd	open
Cloverdale Ale Company	Brewery / taproom		131 E 1st St	closed
Valdez Family Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		595 Santana Dr Ste D	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	17	14	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	14	11	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	17	15	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	16	15	6	7	2	1	NAICS1997
1999	13	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS1997
2000	19	18	8	6	4	1	NAICS1997
2001	20	19	9	7	3	1	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	8	7	1	1	NAICS1997
2003	21	20	11	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2004	21	20	10	7	3	1	NAICS2002
2005	21	20	11	6	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	21	20	11	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	22	21	12	7	2	1	NAICS2002
2008	24	23	14	7	2	1	NAICS2007
2009	22	21	14	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	22	21	14	4	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	20	19	12	5	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	23	21	13	6	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	25	24	15	8	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	23	21	13	7	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	24	21	12	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	25	22	13	7	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	27	23	14	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	25	21	13	6	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	24	20	11	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	26	22	10	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	25	22	10	9	3	—	NAICS2017
2022	24	22	10	7	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	25	23	9	9	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95425. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.