BMIE Market 95453

Lake County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	11,741 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,027 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,587 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	11,256 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,533 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$71,419 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,009 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	42.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,264 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±274 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$403,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,619 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	87.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	29 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95453
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	17.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+3.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+38.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+61.1% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+31.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	33 (range 30–37) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.76) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	62 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	67 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95453. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.76, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 62 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.6	64	40%	+25.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	58.0	58	35%	+20.3
Market Momentum Score	67.1	67	25%	+16.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	11,741	73	40%	+29.2
Median household income (ACS)	71,419	49	40%	+19.7
Households (ACS)	4,587	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	38.1	76	35%	+26.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.7	27	25%	+6.8
Population (ACS)	11,741	73	20%	+14.6
Median household income (ACS)	71,419	49	20%	+9.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	3.6	60	50%	+29.9
10-year restaurant growth	38.1	76	30%	+22.9
20-year restaurant growth	61.1	71	20%	+14.3

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (77)

By cuisine

American 18 · Coffee 14 · Mexican 7 · Pizza 7 · Italian 6 · Asian 5 · Burgers 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Bakery 2 · Breakfast 2 · Chinese 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Japanese 1 · Korean 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Sushi 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 35 · Bar 18 · Café 12 · Quick service 12 · Casual dining 11 · Winery / distillery / taproom 11 · Coffee shop 10 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bakery 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Dessert 2 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ali's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	155 Park St	open
Andres Lounge	Bar		Main	open
Angel's Rock House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	1967 Big Valley Rd	open
Angelina's Bakery & Espresso	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	365 N Main St	open
Asian Dragon Chinese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	851 S Main St	open
Aztec Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1050 S Main St	open
Big Valley Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1129 Napo Way	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1142 Lakeport Blvd	open
Chalerm Thai Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1841 N High St	open
Charley's Clubhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		872 Lakeport Blvd	open
Chasewater Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Clearlake Club	Bar		210 N Main St	open
Diamond juicery	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	865 Bevins St	open
Don Angel Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		165 N Main St	open
Drinx Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		370 S Main St	open
Ferrigno's Italian Baked Goods	Bakery	Bakery · Italian	301 N Main St	open
Gaslight Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	135 N Main St	open
Grillagan's Island	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	1873 N High St	open
Harlowe's Lounge	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom		901 Bevins St	open
Hong Kong Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	353 S Main St	open
Howling Dog Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	2626 S Main St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		41 Soda Bay Rd	open
Jessie Walker, Realtor	Winery / distillery / taproom		601 North Forbes Street, Konocti Realty	open
Jimmy's Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Mediterranean	540 Lakeport Blvd	open
Jitter Bean	Café · Coffee shop · Casual dining	Coffee · American	1843 N High St	open
Jitter Bean	Coffee shop · Casual dining · Café	Coffee · American	2598 S Main St	open
Kaz Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		1435 Big Valley Rd	open
Kendall Jackson Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		700 Mathews Rd	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	1135 Lakeport Blvd	open
La Catrina Food Truck	Food truck	Mexican	52 Soda Bay Rd	open
La Fiesta Market	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	430 S Main St	open
Lakeport - Eleventh St Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	821 Eleventh St	open
Lakshmi Cuisine of India	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	185 N Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2019 S Main St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2755 Mission Rancheria Rd	open
Mazaar Restaurant (Downtown)	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	372 Avenue A	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1077 Lakeport Blvd	open
Medina's Watering Hole	Bar		Scotts Valley Rd	open
Mi Casita Arias	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		3320 Ackley Rd	open
Mike's Breakfast and lunch	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	350 N Main St	open
Mix Lakeport	Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop · Café	Juice / smoothies · Coffee	865 Bevins St	open
Mt Konocti Growers Inc	Winery / distillery / taproom		2550 Big Valley Rd	open
nutriblends	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	865 Bevins St	open
Old World Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Brewery / taproom	Pizza · Italian	175 N Main St	open
Olof Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		5615 Highland Springs Rd	open
Papa Murphy's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1377 S Main St	open
Park Place Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Italian	50 3rd St	open
Patti's Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Sky Park Dr	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Polka Dot Yogurt Shoppe Tutti Frutti	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	353 Lakeport Blvd	open
Pollywog Vineyard	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom		1205 Merritt Rd	open
Quiznos	Quick service		2570 S Main St	open
Red’s At The Skyroom	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	900 Sky Park Rd	open
Renee's Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1005 N Main St	open
Robledo Family Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		2040 Soda Bay Rd	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	821 Eleventh St	open
Santana's Cottage Cafe & Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · American · Coffee	1090 N Main St	open
Schweitzers Giants Game N Grill House	Bar · Casual dining		196 Grace Ln	open
Shoreline Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1235 S Main St	open
Sol Rouge Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		60 3rd St	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop	Coffee	1129 Soda Bay Rd	open
Stonefire Pizza Stonefire Pizza Co. - Lakeport	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	383 Lakeport Blvd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	979 11th St	open
Susie Q's Donuts & Espresso	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee shop · Café	Dessert · Coffee	501 S Main St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1285 Parallel Rd	open
Taqueria La Mexicana Taqueria La Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1303 S Main St	open
The Alley Grill Lakeport	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	1873 N High St	open
The Shannon Mercantile	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		4350 Thomas Dr	open
The Shop Coffee - Tea - Etc	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	1377B S Main St	open
TNT on the Lake Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	2599 Lakeshore Blvd	open
Tnt On The Lake Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	2599 Lakeshore Blvd	open
Unlimited Marine	Bar		795 Bevins St	open
Unofficial: The Lake House	Casual dining · Bar		Lakeshore Blvd	open
Wednesdays Unplugged	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	60 3rd St	open
Wholly Bowls & Rolls	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Korean · Vegetarian · Asian	1247 S Main St	open
Wine In The Willows	Bar		125 Park St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	1071 Eleventh St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	25	22	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	24	21	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	27	23	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	28	25	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	25	21	14	6	1	3	NAICS1997
1999	27	22	12	8	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	28	24	14	9	1	4	NAICS1997
2001	27	23	14	8	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	25	22	13	7	2	2	NAICS1997
2003	21	18	12	6	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	28	25	17	7	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	27	23	14	7	2	3	NAICS2002
2006	31	27	16	9	2	3	NAICS2002
2007	28	23	11	11	1	4	NAICS2002
2008	27	22	9	12	1	4	NAICS2007
2009	25	21	10	11	—	3	NAICS2007
2010	25	20	10	9	1	4	NAICS2007
2011	29	24	13	10	1	3	NAICS2007
2012	30	25	12	11	2	3	NAICS2012
2013	25	21	10	9	2	3	NAICS2012
2014	28	24	12	10	2	3	NAICS2012
2015	31	27	13	11	3	3	NAICS2012
2016	29	25	12	10	3	3	NAICS2012
2017	28	24	11	10	3	3	NAICS2017
2018	31	28	14	11	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	28	13	11	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	33	29	13	13	3	3	NAICS2017
2021	31	29	12	13	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	35	30	13	12	5	—	NAICS2022
2023	34	29	11	13	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95453. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95435	4.6 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.