BMIE Market 95531

Del Norte County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	22,291 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±714 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,708 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±344 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	24,528 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	9,176 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$67,458 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,702 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	39.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,237 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±66 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$351,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,442 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	189.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	31 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95531
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	14.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+6.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-6.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-13.9% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	-27.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	25 (range 19–30) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, -0.6 per year, r² 0.35) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	67 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	47 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	41 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95531. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, -0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.35, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	66.6	67	40%	+26.7
Restaurant Opportunity Score	46.6	47	35%	+16.3
Market Momentum Score	41.1	41	25%	+10.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	22,291	83	40%	+33.3
Median household income (ACS)	67,458	43	40%	+17.2
Households (ACS)	7,708	81	20%	+16.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 47 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-6.1	20	35%	+7.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.9	57	25%	+14.2
Population (ACS)	22,291	83	20%	+16.6
Median household income (ACS)	67,458	43	20%	+8.6

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 41 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	6.9	64	50%	+31.9
10-year restaurant growth	-6.1	20	30%	+6.1
20-year restaurant growth	-13.9	16	20%	+3.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (76)

By cuisine

American 11 · Coffee 11 · Seafood 11 · Mexican 8 · Bakery 7 · Asian 6 · Pizza 6 · Latin American (other) 4 · Burgers 3 · Japanese 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Sandwiches 3 · BBQ 2 · Breakfast 2 · Italian 2 · Sushi 2 · Thai 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Dessert 1 · Greek 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 55 · Café 11 · Quick service 10 · Bar 8 · Coffee shop 8 · Bakery 7 · Casual dining 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Dessert 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alber Seafood Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	161 Starfish Way	open
Anayainc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1461 Northcrest Dr	open
Apple Peddler Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	308 Redwood Hwy, U.S. 101	open
Art's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	132 E Washington Blvd	open
Aztec Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	315 Highway 101 S	open
Boat House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Sushi · Japanese	150 Starfish Way	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1250 9th St	open
Caito Fisheries	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	20 Citizens Dock Rd	open
Captain Bruno Seafoods	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	350 Standard Veneer Rd	open
Cazadores	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1461 Northcrest Dr	open
CC Boba and Banh Mi	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Vietnamese · Asian	391 M St	open
CC Diner and Ice Cream	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	American · Ice cream / frozen desserts	1319 Northcrest Dr	open
Chart Room Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · American	130 Anchor Way	open
Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	895 L St	open
Continental Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	503 L St	open
Crescent City, CA (Crescent City) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	560 L St.	open
Crescent Seafood	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	170 Marine Way	open
Curry King Indian Restaurant-Crescent City Curry King Indian Restaurant Brookings	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	1481 Northcrest Dr	open
Doughlicious Costa Pizza	Food truck	Pizza	201 Citizens Dock Rd	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	560 L St.	open
Elise's Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1175 2nd St	open
Engine 101 Smokehouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1091 US Highway 101 N	open
Enoteca	Bar · Casual dining		960 3rd St	open
Far East Restaurant Far East Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian · American	1483 Northcrest Dr	open
Fisherman's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Seafood	700 US-101	open
FullHouse Bar & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2500 Howland Hill Rd	open
Garcia-mora Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 US Highway 101 N	open
Glen's Bakery Cookie Mobile	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	722 3rd St	open
Good Harvest Cafe	Café	Coffee · American	575 US-101	open
GoRudies	Café	Coffee	203 H St	open
Grilled Chic	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Japanese · Asian	1070 B US-101	open
High Note Winery Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		851 3rd St	open
Historic Hiouchi Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	2095 US Highway 199	open
ITZA PIZZA	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	155 I St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		1233 6th St	open
Java Hut	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	437 US Highway 101 N	open
Java Hut Express Java Espress	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	900 E Washington Blvd	open
Kin Khao Thai Eatery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1270 Front St	open
Lillie's Little Bakery	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert	Bakery · Juice / smoothies	3183 Lake Earl Dr	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	270 M St	open
Los Compadres Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	457 US-101	open
Marlo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Italian · Greek	383 M St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	380 M St	open
North Coast Ocean Sports & Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Cajun, Creole, Southern · Seafood	110 Anchor Way	open
North Garden Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	238 4th St	open
Papa Murphy's Take 'N' Bake Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	387 M Street A4 & A5	open
Paragon Coffeehouse	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	783 3rd St	open
Perlita's Authentic Mexican	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	297 US-101	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	875 Northcrest Drive Del Norte	open
Pizza King	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	205 Lighthouse Way	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Port O'Pints Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		1215 Northcrest Dr	open
Raliberto's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	523 M St	open
Rolling Sesame	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	201 Citizens Dock Rd	open
saint George reef lighthouse	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Salt & Rise	Bakery	Bakery	280 W Jefferson St	open
Sea West	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	6655 Lake Earl Dr	open
SeaFront Baking Company	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Bakery · Coffee	1348 Front St	open
SeaQuake Brewing	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		400 Front St	open
Seaquake Brewing 1	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		1225 Marshall St	open
Seaside Restaurant & Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	100 A St	open
Shooters Billards	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1091 US Highway 101 N	open
Smith River Brewing Company Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		400 Front St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	450 Us Highway 101 N (Cooper & Hwy 101, - Crescent Ci)	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	850 US Hwy 101 N	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	900 East Washington Blvd	open
Swell coffee bar	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1443 Northcrest Dr	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	370 M Street	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Sandwiches · Burgers	1225 5th St	open
THE NORRIS FAMILY KITCHEN	Restaurant (service type not stated)		632 M St	open
The Shop	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies	1339 Northcrest Dr	open
Torero's Mexican Restaurant & Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	400 US-101	open
Toyama Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	389 M St # 4118	open
Vita Cucina Bakery & Gourmet Foods	Bakery	Bakery	1270 Front St	open
Warrior Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	2021 Elk Ranch Rd	open
Sally's by the Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	1070 - B US-101	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	46	43	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1995	42	40	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	40	37	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	44	40	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	38	34	15	15	4	4	NAICS1997
1999	38	34	14	16	4	4	NAICS1997
2000	41	38	17	18	3	3	NAICS1997
2001	42	39	17	18	4	3	NAICS1997
2002	39	35	16	16	3	3	NAICS1997
2003	38	36	18	16	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	37	35	17	14	4	1	NAICS2002
2005	34	32	18	11	3	1	NAICS2002
2006	38	36	19	12	5	2	NAICS2002
2007	42	38	19	13	6	2	NAICS2002
2008	39	37	17	15	5	1	NAICS2007
2009	38	37	17	15	5	1	NAICS2007
2010	36	35	17	14	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	34	32	14	14	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	37	35	18	11	6	2	NAICS2012
2013	34	33	17	10	6	1	NAICS2012
2014	32	31	17	10	4	1	NAICS2012
2015	37	37	21	11	5	—	NAICS2012
2016	35	35	21	9	5	—	NAICS2012
2017	34	34	18	9	7	—	NAICS2017
2018	29	29	16	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2019	28	28	15	8	5	—	NAICS2017
2020	27	27	15	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	28	28	17	7	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	30	30	16	11	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	32	31	17	9	5	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95531. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95538	1.3 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.