BMIE Market 95602

Placer County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	19,701 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,416 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	7,597 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±467 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	17,509 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	7,496 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$97,466 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,309 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	51.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,864 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±88 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$688,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,694 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	49.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	13 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95602
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+8.3% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.2% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+62.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+62.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	16 (range 13–19) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.33) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	80 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	66 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95602. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.33, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	80.3	80	40%	+32.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	75.1	75	35%	+26.3
Market Momentum Score	65.6	66	25%	+16.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	19,701	81	40%	+32.5
Median household income (ACS)	97,466	79	40%	+31.7
Households (ACS)	7,597	81	20%	+16.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	35%	+21.5
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	6.6	86	25%	+21.5
Population (ACS)	19,701	81	20%	+16.2
Median household income (ACS)	97,466	79	20%	+15.9

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	8.3	66	50%	+32.8
10-year restaurant growth	18.2	62	30%	+18.5
20-year restaurant growth	62.5	72	20%	+14.4

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

Coffee 8 · American 5 · Mexican 5 · Bakery 4 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Pizza 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Bar 8 · Winery / distillery / taproom 8 · Café 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 4 · Casual dining 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Quick service 3 · Brewery / taproom 2 · Food truck 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Arrow's Acres Farmstand	Food truck		6125 Bella Vita Pl	open
Auburn, CA (Auburn 1) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3995 Grass Valley Hwy.	open
Beach Hut Deli Beach Hut Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4035 Grass Valley Hwy	open
Black Vette Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		4984 Bell Rd	open
Brittle by Paula Glass	Dessert		11876 Lakeshore N	open
Cafe Delicias	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3031 Grass Valley Hwy	open
California Distilled Spirits	Winery / distillery / taproom		12205 Locksley Ln #11	open
Combie Deli and Spirits	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	10536 Combie Rd	open
Continental Baking Company	Bakery	Bakery	10066 Streeter Rd	open
Darjeeling Gin	Winery / distillery / taproom		12205 Locksley Ln	open
Diggins Irish Pub	Bar	British / Irish pub food	3021 Grass Valley Hwy	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3995 Grass Valley Hwy	open
El Agave Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10007 Combie Rd	open
El Charro Mexican Market & Carniceria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other) · Mexican	3740 Grass Valley Hwy	open
Hula Buns Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	12856 Earhart Ave ste 102	open
Java Dream Coffee Roasters-Auburn	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10134 Woodridge Dr	open
Knee Deep Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		13395 New Airport Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	10021 Combie Rd	open
Lake of the Pines Sports Lounge	Bar		11684 Lakeshore N	open
Magnolia Pointe Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Mexican	11665 Lakeshore N	open
Mario's Early Toast Mario's Early Toast	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Breakfast · Coffee	10138 Woodridge Dr	open
Moonraker Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Bar		12970 Earhart Ave	open
Ohana Shave Ice	Food truck · Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	12856 Earhart Ave	open
PaZa Estate Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3357 Ayres Holmes Rd	open
RNB BBQ and Sausage	Casual dining · Bar	BBQ · American	4022 Grass Valley Hwy	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	10894 Combie Rd	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	10894 Combie Rd Ste 128	open
Sierra Knolls Bear River Wine Tasting	Winery / distillery / taproom		10024 Linnet Ln	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	10005 Combie Rd	open
Subway	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	10025 Combie Road, Cvs #03947s1b	open
Sunrise Cafe	Café	Coffee · Breakfast · American	10934 Combie Rd	open
Taco Tree	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	4029 G.V. Hwy, 4029 Grass Valley Hwy	open
Take Maru Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	4076 Grass Valley Hwy	open
The Dive	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	10934 Combie Rd	open
The Grind	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	10594 Combie Rd #2	open
The Ridge Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		2020 Golf Course Rd	open
Valiant Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	11905 Dry Creek Rd	open
Vian Estates Winery and Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		22406 Hidden Ranch Rd	open
Vina Castellano Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		4590 Bell Rd	open
Warren & Co. Sourdough	Bakery	Bakery	Cottage Baker North Auburn	open
Winding Way Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		5555 Winding Way	open
Wings Grill & Espresso Bar	Casual dining · Coffee shop · Café · Bar	Coffee	13595 New Airport Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	8	8	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	6	5	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	8	7	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	8	7	5	1	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	8	7	4	—	3	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	7	5	5	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	10	8	6	2	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	9	8	7	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	10	9	6	3	—	1	NAICS2002
2006	13	12	8	2	2	1	NAICS2002
2007	7	7	4	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	12	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2007
2009	13	12	6	4	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	14	13	6	4	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	12	7	3	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	16	14	6	4	4	1	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	4	4	3	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	10	2	5	3	2	NAICS2012
2015	13	10	2	5	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	6	6	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	14	12	4	5	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	4	4	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	14	4	7	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	16	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	13	4	5	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	14	13	4	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95602. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95722	3.9 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.