BMIE Market 95612

Yolo County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,865 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±474 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	486 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±112 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,239 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	502 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$104,063 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,624 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.6 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,050 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,751 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$1,023,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±157,337 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	63.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	Not published for this ZIP 2021 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2021 detail (NAICS2017) · by USPS ZIP 95612
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2011 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2006 → 2016, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2021	1 (range 1–1) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2005–2016 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 1.00) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	58 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	39 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95612. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2005–2016, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 1.00, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	58.0	58	40%	+23.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.3	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	39.2	39	25%	+9.8

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,865	43	40%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	104,063	83	40%	+33.4
Households (ACS)	486	36	20%	+7.2

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.4	90	25%	+22.6
Population (ACS)	1,865	43	20%	+8.7
Median household income (ACS)	104,063	83	20%	+16.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 39 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+26.1
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+13.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (42)

By cuisine

American 4 · Mexican 3 · BBQ 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Coffee 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 32 · Bar 13 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 8 · Food truck 4 · Casual dining 2 · Catering 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Batia Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		35265 Willow Ave	open
BBQ Proper and Tap Room	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	36510 Riverview Dr	open
Bogle Family Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		37783 County Road 144	open
Bogle Vineyard Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		37690 Jefferson Blvd	open
Bogle Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		49762 Hamilton Rd	open
Bogle Vineyards & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		37783 County Road 144	open
Bonitata Boutique Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave	open
Bump City Wine Co.	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		35265 Willow Ave	open
Candie's Kitchen Food Truck & Catering	Food truck · Catering	Cajun, Creole, Southern	35265 Willow Ave	open
Carvalho Family Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		the Old Welding Shop, OLD SUGAR MILL In, 35265 Willow Ave Suite 603	open
Chuy’s Taqueria Food Truck, Clarksburg.	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	52945 Netherlands Ave	open
Clarksburg Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave, Ste 101	open
Country Roads Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave	open
Dinky Diner	Food truck	American	36339-36343 S River Rd	open
Draconis	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		35265 Willow Ave, Ste 102A	open
Due Vigne Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave	open
Elevation Ten Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		35265 Willow Ave	open
Heringer Estates	Winery / distillery / taproom		37375 Netherlands Rd	open
Heringer Estates	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		35265 Willow Ave	open
Husicks By Forester	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	36510 Riverview Dr	open
Julietta Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		51221 Clarksburg Rd	open
Kirchhoff Family Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave	open
Lambeth Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		33912 S River Rd	open
Mariscos Las Playitas	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood		open
Merlo Family Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave	open
Miner's Leap Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		54250 S River Rd	open
Perry Creek Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		35265 Willow Ave	open
Pylman Vineyards, INC.	Winery / distillery / taproom		39500 S River Rd	open
Reamer Farms	Winery / distillery / taproom		33939 Jefferson Blvd	open
Rendez-Vous Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		35265 Willow Ave ste 206	open
River Grove Winery	Bar		52183 Clarksburg Rd	open
Séka Hills	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave	open
Shorty's La Amistad Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	36046 Jefferson Blvd	open
Silt Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		50870 Babel Slough Rd	open
South River Grind	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	36339 S River Rd	open
Tacos Doña Misa	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	52945 Netherlands Ave	open
The Wine Cheese & Bread Faire	Winery / distillery / taproom	American	35269 Willow Ave	open
Three Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave	open
Tiffany Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		53953 S River Rd	open
Todd Taylor	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave #204	open
Vino De Oro Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		35265 Willow Ave	open
Wilson Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		50878 Babel Slough Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1997	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2002	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2009	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2021	3	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95612. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95639	4.8 mi	1	2016

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.