BMIE Market 95618

Yolo County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	26,267 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,328 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	9,831 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±473 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,281 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	10,257 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$115,591 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±10,841 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	31.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$2,268 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±107 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$867,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±32,916 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	32.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	23 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95618
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	5.9 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-8.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+35.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+2,200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+2,200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	29 (range 23–35) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.30) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	87 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	81 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	53 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95618. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.30, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	87.0	87	40%	+34.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	80.5	81	35%	+28.2
Market Momentum Score	52.6	53	25%	+13.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 87 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	26,267	86	40%	+34.5
Median household income (ACS)	115,591	89	40%	+35.5
Households (ACS)	9,831	85	20%	+17.1

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	35.3	75	35%	+26.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.8	77	25%	+19.3
Population (ACS)	26,267	86	20%	+17.2
Median household income (ACS)	115,591	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-8	20	50%	+10.1
10-year restaurant growth	35.3	75	30%	+22.5
20-year restaurant growth	2,200	100	20%	+20.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (56)

By cuisine

Asian 6 · Chinese 6 · Coffee 6 · Pizza 6 · Bakery 4 · Japanese 4 · Mexican 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Sushi 3 · American 2 · Breakfast 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 9 · Coffee shop 5 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Bar 3 · Specialty food shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Dessert 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Grill + Bar	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		1753 Research Park Dr	open
Beach Hut Deli Beach Hut Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	4515 Fermi Pl	open
C. C. Cooper &#x26 Sons Insurance Agency, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		215 Madson Pl	open
California Brewing Company, Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2001 2nd St	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	1701 Cowell Blvd	open
Cindy's Restaurant/Kow Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	4823 Chiles Rd	open
Coming Soon - Chipotle Mexican Grill Chipotle	Quick service		4823 Chiles Rd	open
Common Grounds Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	2171 Cowell Blvd	open
Coyote Bar And Kitchen Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1784 Picasso Ave Ste B	open
Del Taco	Quick service		1649 Research Park Dr	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	4120 Chiles Rd Unit B	open
Dos Coyotes Border Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1784 Picasso Ave	open
Dos Coyotes Border Cafe Dos Coyotes San Ramon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	2191 Cowell Blvd	open
Estelle Bakery & Pâtisserie	Bakery	Bakery	2710 5th St	open
Four Seasons Gourmet Chinese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1601 Research Park Dr	open
Gml Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2151 Cowell Blvd Ste C	open
H & Z Brand Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2880 5th St Ste 125	open
Hong Kong Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian · Chinese	2151 Cowell Blvd Ste c	open
Huku Japanese Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	417 Mace Blvd	open
IHOP IHOP	Casual dining	Breakfast · American	1745 Cowell Blvd	open
Konditorei Austrian Pastry	Café	Coffee	2710 5th St	open
Lamppost Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	27483 Oakside Dr	open
Marble Slab Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	2191 Cowell Blvd	open
Moshi Moshi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	2120 Cowell Blvd #143	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4615 Cowell Blvd	open
Mr. Pickle's Sandwich Shop	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	2191 Cowell Blvd	open
Nami Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	2880 5th St #105	open
Noppagow Inc Dba Kow Thai/ Cindys Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4823 Chiles Rd	open
Pardon My Cheesesteak	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1745 Cowell Blvd	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2151 Cowell Blvd Ste A	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4551 2nd St #110	open
Senders Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		26891 Caddy Ct	open
Sourdough Bread Company Sourdough Bread Company Roseville	Bakery · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Bakery	2880 5th St Ste 100	open
Stand Up Kabob	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern	5100 Chiles Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1649 Research Blvd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop · Café	Pizza · Coffee	4601 2nd St	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	403 Mace Blvd	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	4748 Chiles Rd	open
Sudwerk Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		2001 2nd St	open
Summit Restaurant Investment, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		417 Mace Blvd Ste H	open
Sundstrom Hill Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		2744 Del Rio Pl Ste 130	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	4811 Chiles Road	open
Taqueria Guadalajara Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	417 Mace Blvd	open
Tasty Gourmet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2880 5th St Ste 125	open
Tenderfix By Noah Schnapp	Quick service		1745 Cowell Blvd	open
The Chicken Hawkers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	417 Mace Blvd Ste I	open
Tian Shun Ju	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2151 Cowell Blvd Ste C	open
Village Bakery (wholesale Only)	Bakery	Bakery	2828 Spafford St	open
Well Season \| Davis	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1753 Research Park Dr	open
Wing-time Buffalo Wing Sauces	Restaurant (service type not stated)		606 Pena Dr	open
Wok of Flame	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	417 Mace Blvd	open
Yang Kee Dumpling	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	2151 Cowell Blvd	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi	2121 Cowell Blvd	open
토정삼계탕 직산관	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	충청남도 천안시 서북구 직산읍 봉주로 70	open
Colmax	Café	Coffee	1784 Picasso Ave	closed
Rominger West Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		4602 2nd St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	9	9	7	—	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	4	—	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	8	8	6	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	9	9	7	1	1	—	NAICS2007
2009	10	10	7	1	2	—	NAICS2007
2010	16	16	11	2	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	10	9	8	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	13	12	8	3	1	—	NAICS2012
2013	17	17	11	3	3	—	NAICS2012
2014	18	18	12	5	1	—	NAICS2012
2015	24	23	14	8	1	—	NAICS2012
2016	23	22	12	8	2	—	NAICS2012
2017	25	24	14	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	26	25	13	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	31	30	16	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	28	27	14	12	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	26	23	12	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	23	12	9	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	27	23	9	10	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95618. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.