BMIE Market 95658

Placer County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,894 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±757 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,241 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±229 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	6,285 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	2,589 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$126,581 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,658 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,771 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±660 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$837,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±52,585 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	23.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95658
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+50.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	6 (range 3–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.00) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	78 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95658. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.00, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.7	75	40%	+29.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.7	78	35%	+27.2
Market Momentum Score	79.8	80	25%	+19.9

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,894	63	40%	+25.2
Median household income (ACS)	126,581	92	40%	+36.9
Households (ACS)	2,241	63	20%	+12.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 78 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	35%	+28.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.2	72	25%	+17.9
Population (ACS)	5,894	63	20%	+12.6
Median household income (ACS)	126,581	92	20%	+18.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	20	77	50%	+38.7
10-year restaurant growth	50	82	30%	+24.7
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (16)

By cuisine

Coffee 2 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Dessert 1 · European 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Pizza 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Bar 5 · Café 2 · Coffee shop 2 · Dessert 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Other 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Quick service 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Champs Tavern	Bar		255 Taylor Rd	open
Daily Grind The Daily Grind	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	9430 Indian Hill Rd	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		681 Newcastle Rd	open
Dono Dal Cielo	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		5960 Wise Rd	open
Fork Fire Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other		9230 Cypress St	open
Fruit & Chocolate Workshop	Dessert	Dessert	457 Main St	open
Hillenbrand Farmhaus Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		5100 Virginiatown Rd	open
La Fornaretta Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	455 Main St	open
La Hacienda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Indian	550 Shady Oaks Ln	open
Lecavalier Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		9314 Chantry Hill Rd	open
Newcastle Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	505 Main St	open
North Fork Chai Co	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	661 Newcastle Rd	open
Pescatore Vineyard and Winery	Bar		7055 Ridge Rd	open
Raffine Chocolates	Dessert		661 Newcastle Rd Ste B	open
Rat-Trap Sandwich	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches		open
The Meltdown	Other	Sandwiches	681 Newcastle Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	5	5	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	6	6	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	7	6	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	5	4	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	6	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	3	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	4	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2001	2	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	5	4	3	1	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	5	5	2	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2007	5	5	3	1	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	6	6	3	3	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	5	5	3	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	4	4	2	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	8	8	5	3	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	7	7	5	2	—	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	6	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	8	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95658. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95663	1.8 mi	3	2023
95603	4.9 mi	112	2023
95650	5.0 mi	23	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.