BMIE Market 95682

El Dorado County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	30,065 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,596 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,546 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±475 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	29,114 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,841 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$122,436 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,094 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	45.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,829 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±141 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$722,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,310 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	89.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95682
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	16.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-17.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+33.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+15.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+20.9% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	68 (range 57–78) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.5 per year, r² 0.49) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	38 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95682. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.49, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	89.7	90	40%	+35.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.9	73	35%	+25.5
Market Momentum Score	37.7	38	25%	+9.4

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	30,065	89	40%	+35.6
Median household income (ACS)	122,436	91	40%	+36.5
Households (ACS)	11,546	88	20%	+17.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	35%	+25.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	17.3	45	25%	+11.2
Population (ACS)	30,065	89	20%	+17.8
Median household income (ACS)	122,436	91	20%	+18.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 38 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-17.5	14	50%	+7.1
10-year restaurant growth	33.3	73	30%	+22.0
20-year restaurant growth	15.6	43	20%	+8.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (112)

By cuisine

Coffee 15 · Pizza 13 · American 10 · Mexican 10 · Sandwiches 10 · Asian 9 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 5 · Breakfast 4 · Chinese 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Japanese 4 · Latin American (other) 4 · Sushi 4 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Seafood 3 · BBQ 2 · Chicken / wings 2 · European 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Juice / smoothies 2 · Steakhouse 2 · Thai 2 · German / Eastern European 1 · Indian 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 65 · Quick service 18 · Bar 14 · Café 13 · Coffee shop 13 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Specialty food shop 6 · Casual dining 5 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Delivery-focused 3 · Winery / distillery / taproom 3 · Fast casual 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Food truck 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Applebee's Applebee's Grill & Bar	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	3281 Coach Ln	open
Back Forty Texas BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	3977 Durock Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Quick service · Dessert · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3378 Coach Lane	open
Beach Hut Deli Beach Hut Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	3940 Cambridge Rd	open
Bite Me Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	2650 Cameron Park Dr Ste 110	open
Blacksheep Inn	Bar			open
Brickhouse Wood Fired Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2649 Cameron Park Dr	open
Burger Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	3000 Green Valley Rd Ste 17	open
Caffe Santoro	Café	Coffee	2531 Merrychase Dr	open
Cameron Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4085 Cameron Park Dr	open
Cameron Park - Coach Lane Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3370 Coach Lane	open
Cameron Park Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar	American	Coach Lane	open
Cameron Park Coffee and Deli	Coffee shop · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	3161 Cameron Park Dr #106	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	4065 Cameron Park Dr	open
Casa Bar	Bar	Mexican	3358 Fairway Dr	open
Cfg Strategies, Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4260 Mother Lode Dr Ste 4	open
Chevalier Winery	Bar		5720 French Creek Rd	open
China City Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	4100 Cameron Park Dr #114	open
China Taste	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	3950 Cambridge Rd Ste 6	open
Cielo Estate Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		3040 Ponderosa Rd	open
Crafthouse Culture	Bar		3300 Coach Ln	open
Crawford Busolo Enterprises	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4131 S Shingle Rd Ste 7	open
CT European Cafe and Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · European	4064 Mother Lode Dr	open
Delicia	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck	Mexican	4120 Sunset Ln	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3446 Coach Lane	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3000 Green Valley Road Ste 16	open
Donuts Delight	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert	2650 Cameron Park Dr	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4085 Cameron Park Dr	open
Farmer's Delicatessen and Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated)	German / Eastern European	3952 Cambridge Rd	open
Fast Wok	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Chinese	2650 Cameron Park Dr #120	open
Fernando's Costa Del Sol	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	2650 Cameron Park Dr #170	open
Foothill Beer Temple	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4200 Mother Lode Dr	open
Foxwood Coffeehouse	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	4068 Mother Lode Dr	open
Frank Vilt's Cakes	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	4100 Cameron Park Dr	open
Genesis Roasters	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4261 Sunset Lane, Suite 101	open
Gold Country Foods, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3932 Ponderosa Rd Ste 204	open
Gold Harvest Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · Breakfast	4021 Mother Lode Dr Deli Section	open
Gold Pan Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4131 S Shingle Rd Ste 10	open
Habit Burger & Grill Habit Burger & Grill	Quick service		3959 Cameron Park Drive	open
Heavenly Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	3950 Cambridge Rd	open
Hemalayas Indian Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	3420 Palmer Dr	open
It's A Grind Coffee House	Coffee shop	Coffee	3392 Coach Ln	open
Jamba Jamba	Juice, smoothie, tea · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	3008 Green Valley Rd F-2	open
Jimboy's Tacos Jimboy's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3431 Coach Ln	open
Joe's Coffee & Deli	Coffee shop · Quick service · Specialty food shop · Café	Coffee · Sandwiches	2531 Merrychase Dr	open
Just Tasty Things	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	2533 Merrychase Dr	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · Sandwiches	3959 Cameron Park Drive	open
Klaff Family Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		123 Goat Way	open
Kobe Sushi & Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3300 Coach Ln	open
Los Amigos	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4120 Sunset Ln	open
Los Pinos \| Mexican Los Pinos	Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3420 Palmer Dr	open
Lulu's Wings & Tenders	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3952 Cambridge Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3356 Coach Ln	open
Menchie's Menchie's	Dessert · Bar	Dessert	3008 Green Valley Road, Unit F-1, Cameron Park, CA	open
Mikasa Asian Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3000 Green Valley Rd	open
Milano Pizza Cameron Park Location	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3958 Cambridge Rd	open
Miss P's Train Station	Casual dining · Café · Coffee shop	American · Coffee	4274 Mother Lode Dr	open
Moirae Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom		2650 Cameron Park Dr #370	open
Mom & Pop Chicken Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings · American	3000 Green Valley Rd #17	open
Mongolian BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	3300 Coach Ln	open
Moonraker Millhouse	Brewery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar		3501 Robin Ln	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	2650 Cameron Park Dr	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	4131 S Shingle Rd Ste 13	open
New Wave Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		3485 Covello Cir	open
Nook Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3300 Coach Ln	open
Original Mels Development Co. Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3222 Royal Dr Ste B	open
Papa Gianni's Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	3450 Palmer Dr	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Delivery-focused · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	3440 Palmer Drive	open
Peak Nutrition	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	3392 Coach Ln #102b	open
Peet's Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	3510 Palmer Dr	open
Pizza Factory Pizza Factory, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	3421 Coach Ln	open
Pizza Guys	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Fast casual	Pizza · Healthy / salads / bowls	3317 Coach Ln	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
R Squared Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Coffee	3300 Coach Ln	open
Rey Mimosa Breakfast and Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · American	3300 Coach Ln Ste D8	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2650 Cameron Park Dr	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused	Pizza	3370 Coach Ln	open
S &amp B Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2635 Cambridge Rd	open
Seiiki Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		5541 French Creek Rd	open
Shanghai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood	3440 Palmer Dr Ste 8	open
Sierra Smokehouse BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	2533 Merrychase Dr #400	open
Sizzler	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Steakhouse	4085 Cameron Park Dr	open
Slingshots	Bar		3300 Coach Ln b1	open
Snooty Frog	Casual dining · Bar	Steakhouse · Seafood	3300 Coach Ln E3	open
Sourdough & Co Sourdough & Co. Modesto H Street	Specialty food shop · Quick service · Fast casual	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	3317 Coach Ln #100	open
Squeelers	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4011 Mother Lode Dr	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	3004 Green Valley Road Green Valley Station	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	3291 Coach Ln	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	3317 Coach Ln #200	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3490 Palmer Drive Suite 3A	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	4017 Mother Lode Dr	open
Sugar Lillie Bakery	Dessert	Dessert	4175 Business Dr	open
Sweet P Enterprises Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2570 Greenwood Ln Ste C	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3382 Coach Ln	open
Taco Del Mar	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3275 Coach Ln	open
Taquería Tepa Burritos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3440 Palmer Dr	open
Thai House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3181 Cameron Park Dr	open
Thai Rice Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	3300 Coach Ln	open
The Airport Saloon	Bar		3181 Cameron Park Dr #108	open
The Breakroom	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	4131 S Shingle Rd Ste 7	open
The Crazy Gringo Taco Wagon Salsa Co.	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3300 Coach Ln	open
Tres Calaveras	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3300 Coach Ln	open
Urban Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	4013 Mother Lode Dr	open
Wally's Pizza Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	4079 Cameron Park Dr	open
Wild Bill's Cheesesteaks	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3326 Coach Ln	open
Wisegal Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4241 Mother Lode Dr	open
Yuki Sushi Bar \| Japanese	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3470 Palmer Dr #1	open
Yummy Dumplings	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	3950 Cambridge Rd #6	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	3380 Coach Ln	open
Netillo’s Takos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	3326 Coach Ln	closed
Nook Cafe	Café	Coffee	3490 Palmer Dr	closed
Yummy D Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3950 Cambridge Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	47	43	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	42	38	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	44	40	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	45	41	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	45	43	20	18	5	2	NAICS1997
1999	44	41	20	17	4	3	NAICS1997
2000	47	44	21	18	5	3	NAICS1997
2001	40	37	20	13	4	3	NAICS1997
2002	45	44	23	15	6	1	NAICS1997
2003	46	45	21	17	7	1	NAICS2002
2004	49	47	23	17	7	2	NAICS2002
2005	56	54	27	21	6	2	NAICS2002
2006	55	52	22	23	7	3	NAICS2002
2007	63	59	25	23	10	3	NAICS2002
2008	54	49	22	17	9	3	NAICS2007
2009	58	55	30	17	7	3	NAICS2007
2010	52	49	28	14	7	3	NAICS2007
2011	48	44	24	13	6	3	NAICS2007
2012	44	40	20	14	5	2	NAICS2012
2013	43	39	20	15	4	3	NAICS2012
2014	48	44	21	18	5	2	NAICS2012
2015	52	47	24	17	6	2	NAICS2012
2016	55	50	25	19	6	2	NAICS2012
2017	61	56	26	22	8	—	NAICS2017
2018	67	63	25	25	13	—	NAICS2017
2019	61	57	21	23	13	—	NAICS2017
2020	59	55	23	23	9	—	NAICS2017
2021	60	55	25	20	10	—	NAICS2017
2022	65	60	29	22	9	—	NAICS2022
2023	58	52	26	19	7	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95682. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.