BMIE Market 95831

Sacramento County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	43,545 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2,055 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	19,059 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±806 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	41,321 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	19,186 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$100,751 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,199 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,982 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$642,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±13,312 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	7.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	52 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95831
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	10.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+15.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+48.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+44.4% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+23.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	55 (range 50–60) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.4 per year, r² 0.80) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	82 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	90 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95831. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.80, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 82 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	90.1	90	40%	+36.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	79.4	79	35%	+27.8
Market Momentum Score	72.8	73	25%	+18.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 90 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	43,545	95	40%	+38.1
Median household income (ACS)	100,751	81	40%	+32.6
Households (ACS)	19,059	97	20%	+19.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	48.6	80	35%	+27.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.9	65	25%	+16.2
Population (ACS)	43,545	95	20%	+19.1
Median household income (ACS)	100,751	81	20%	+16.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	15.6	74	50%	+36.8
10-year restaurant growth	48.6	80	30%	+23.9
20-year restaurant growth	44.4	61	20%	+12.1

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (83)

By cuisine

Asian 13 · Coffee 10 · Bakery 8 · Chinese 8 · Pizza 8 · Dessert 7 · American 6 · Italian 5 · Japanese 5 · Mexican 5 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Sushi 4 · Tea / bubble tea 4 · Burgers 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Hawaiian / Pacific 2 · Thai 2 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · French 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Korean 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Vietnamese 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 47 · Quick service 12 · Café 10 · Bakery 8 · Dessert 8 · Bar 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Juice, smoothie, tea 6 · Casual dining 4 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1 · Other 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A Taste Above	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7485 Rush River Dr Ste 700	open
ABC Bakery	Bakery	Bakery · Chinese · Asian	1309 Florin Rd F	open
Applesbyterri	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Dessert · Juice / smoothies	880 Green Moss Dr	open
Baan Noodle & Rice	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	1299 Florin Rd	open
Banzai Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	6409 Riverside Blvd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	6375 Riverside Blvd	open
BILAO	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7485 Rush River Dr	open
Block Craft Beer + Kitchen	Casual dining · Bar		7485 Rush River Dr Ste 650	open
Boba Meet Up	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	7485 Rush River Dr	open
Book Queens	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea	1026 Florin Rd PMB 329	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7225 Greenhaven Drive	open
Cacio	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	7600 Greenhaven Dr	open
Caffe Latte	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	7600 Greenhaven Dr	open
Carl’s Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · Sandwiches · American	1315 Florin Rd	open
Chopsticks Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6381 Riverside Blvd	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1028 Florin Rd	open
Corporate Way Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1561 Corporate Way	open
Device Brewing Co.	Brewery / taproom		7485 Rush River Dr	open
Dim Dim Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7485 Rush River Dr Ste 680	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	7385 Greenhaven Drive	open
Dumpling Yo!	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	1032 Florin Rd	open
Edokko II	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	358 Florin Rd	open
Felícita Wine Company	Winery / distillery / taproom		6446 Riverside Blvd	open
GK Mongolian BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1335 Florin Rd	open
Heavenly's Yogurt	Dessert	Dessert · Ice cream / frozen desserts	7600 Greenhaven Dr	open
Holiday Villa Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	7007 S Land Park Dr	open
Homeros Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7465 Rush River Dr Ste 840	open
Hop Junction	Casual dining · Bar		7600 Greenhaven Dr Ste 20	open
I Scream for Icing	Bakery	Bakery	4 Park River Oak Ct	open
Jimboy's Tacos Jimboy's Tacos	Quick service	Mexican	7215 Greenhaven Dr	open
Kaizen Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		6409 Riverside Blvd	open
Kings Hawaiian Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	1299 Florin Rd	open
L&L Hawaiian Barbecue	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · BBQ · Dessert	1030 Florin Rd	open
Le Croissant Factory	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	6413 Riverside Blvd	open
Lichine's Liquor and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	7107 S Land Park Dr	open
Little Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	7485 Rush River Dr Ste 700	open
Manley's Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	360 Florin Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	8940 Pocket Rd	open
Mcdonalds Of Sacramento	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7617 Alma Vista Way Ste C	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7465 Rush River Dr #100	open
New China	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	6363 Riverside Blvd	open
Ocean Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	7485 Rush River Dr Ste 680	open
Panda Garden Panda Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	1032 Florin Rd	open
Papa Murphy's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	7465 Rush River Drive	open
Peet's Coffee	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	7465 Rush River Dr	open
Pho Bac Hoa Viet	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vietnamese · Noodles / ramen / pho · Asian	7600 Greenhaven Dr Ste 9	open
Pizza Guys Pizza Guys - Pleasanton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7600 Greenhaven Dr	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Pocket Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6401 Riverside Blvd	open
Poke Station	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Healthy / salads / bowls	7600 Greenhaven Dr	open
QTea Boba	Juice, smoothie, tea	Tea / bubble tea · Korean	6385 Riverside Blvd	open
Rainbows End	Restaurant (service type not stated)		364 Florin Rd	open
Ramen House Tenjin	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	7485 Rush River Dr	open
Ravenous Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French	7600 Greenhaven Dr	open
Rawsome Ramen Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1032 Florin Rd	open
Rosalinda's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1299 Florin Rd	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1307 Florin Rd	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	398 Florin Rd	open
Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	982 Florin Rd	open
Sacramento Vegetable Garden Specialty	Restaurant (service type not stated)		944 Shore Breeze Dr	open
Sai Varee \| Thai Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	7485 Rush River Dr	open
Shari's Cafe and Pies	Café	Coffee	960 Florin Rd	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7600 Greenhaven Drive, Bldg B	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1042 Florin Rd Lake Crest Village	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	1339 Florin Rd	open
Sterling Castle	Food truck · Bar		7561 River Ranch Way	open
Subway Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other · Quick service	Sandwiches	7600 Greenhaven Dr Ste 304 Bldg B	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1036 Florin Rd	open
Sushi Q SUSHI Q Elk Grove	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1339 Florin Rd Ste 101	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	356 Florin Rd	open
Tea For U.	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	Lake Crest Village	open
The Trap	Bar · Casual dining		6125 Riverside Blvd	open
The Walnut Room Sacramento	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		7043 S Land Park Dr	open
Through the Looking Glass Cakes and Baking Studio	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	372 Florin Rd	open
Vientos Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7600 Greenhaven Dr	open
Villa Land Park	Restaurant (service type not stated)		966 43rd Ave	open
Vine & Velvet	Bar		7035 S Land Park Dr	open
Wan King International Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7007 S Land Park Dr	open
Wingstop Wingstop	Quick service	Chicken / wings · American	1052 Florin Road	open
Xy Food Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7485 Rush River Dr Ste 680	open
zpizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7600 Greenhaven Dr	open
Beijing Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7485 Rush River Dr Ste 680	closed
David Wong	Restaurant (service type not stated)		7420 Greenhaven Dr Ste 105	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	43	42	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	39	38	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	44	43	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	41	40	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	35	34	15	13	6	1	NAICS1997
1999	35	34	15	12	6	1	NAICS1997
2000	37	35	16	12	6	2	NAICS1997
2001	39	38	17	13	7	1	NAICS1997
2002	40	39	17	15	7	1	NAICS1997
2003	37	36	14	15	6	1	NAICS2002
2004	40	39	13	17	8	1	NAICS2002
2005	43	41	15	16	9	2	NAICS2002
2006	39	37	15	15	6	2	NAICS2002
2007	39	36	15	16	4	3	NAICS2002
2008	42	40	17	16	6	2	NAICS2007
2009	42	40	17	15	7	2	NAICS2007
2010	45	44	17	19	7	1	NAICS2007
2011	44	44	19	17	8	—	NAICS2007
2012	36	36	16	16	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	36	35	16	14	5	—	NAICS2012
2014	38	37	18	14	5	1	NAICS2012
2015	38	34	17	12	5	1	NAICS2012
2016	43	40	20	14	6	1	NAICS2012
2017	42	39	21	12	6	—	NAICS2017
2018	49	45	25	14	6	—	NAICS2017
2019	44	41	19	16	6	—	NAICS2017
2020	47	44	24	14	6	—	NAICS2017
2021	44	42	19	17	6	—	NAICS2017
2022	53	47	21	18	8	4	NAICS2022
2023	56	52	23	18	11	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95831. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95822	2.3 mi	79	2023
95832	3.8 mi	32	2023
95818	4.4 mi	83	2023
95823	5.0 mi	173	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.