BMIE Market 95919

Yuba County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	1,172 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±596 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	516 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±217 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	1,378 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	714 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	Data source not yet connected
Median age	37.9 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$817 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$344,600 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±35,827 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	26.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2020 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2020 detail (NAICS2017) · by USPS ZIP 95919
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	Not yet derived
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2002 → 2007, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	-50.0% DERIVED: 1997 → 2007, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2025	3 (range 2–4) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 1996–2020 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.66) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	28 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	36 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	19 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?
Market Momentum Score	28 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence Medium · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95919. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 1996–2020, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.66, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 28 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	35.6	36	40%	+14.2
Restaurant Opportunity Score	18.8	19	35%	+6.6
Market Momentum Score	27.8	28	25%	+7.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 36 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	1,172	35	40%	+23.2
Households (ACS)	516	37	20%	+12.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 19 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	35%	+2.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	25.6	26	25%	+8.0
Population (ACS)	1,172	35	20%	+8.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 28 (Medium confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+26.1
10-year restaurant growth	-50	5	30%	+1.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (4)

By cuisine

Coffee 2 · American 1 · Bakery 1

By type

Café 2 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 2 · Bakery 1 · Casual dining 1 · Coffee shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Brownsville Station Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Coffee · American	8570 La Porte Rd	open
Hughes House of Marmalade	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9086 La Porte Rd	open
Hughes Vintage Cakes	Bakery	Bakery	9086 La Porte Rd	open
Mountains Top Coffee Shop	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	16911 Willow Glen Rd	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
2001	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2002	1	1	—	1	—	—	NAICS1997
2003	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2004	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	1	1	1	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2010	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	1	—	—	—	—	—	NAICS2012
2018	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	3	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95919. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
95972	3.9 mi	1	1994

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.