BMIE Market 95945

Nevada County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	27,470 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,049 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	12,001 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±471 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	25,199 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	12,405 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$65,989 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,438 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	49.5 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,452 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±146 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$539,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±40,645 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	61.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	67 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95945
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	23.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-2.9% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+8.1% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+17.5% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+8.1% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	76 (range 70–82) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.63) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	54 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95945. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.63, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 54 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	68.8	69	40%	+27.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	50.7	51	35%	+17.8
Market Momentum Score	36.8	37	25%	+9.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	27,470	87	40%	+34.8
Median household income (ACS)	65,989	40	40%	+16.2
Households (ACS)	12,001	89	20%	+17.8

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	8.1	52	35%	+18.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	24.4	28	25%	+6.9
Population (ACS)	27,470	87	20%	+17.4
Median household income (ACS)	65,989	40	20%	+8.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-2.9	24	50%	+12.3
10-year restaurant growth	8.1	52	30%	+15.7
20-year restaurant growth	17.5	44	20%	+8.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (130)

By cuisine

Coffee 20 · American 15 · Bakery 13 · Mexican 13 · Sandwiches 12 · Pizza 9 · Italian 7 · Breakfast 6 · Burgers 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Asian 5 · Dessert 4 · Healthy / salads / bowls 4 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Japanese 3 · Chicken / wings 2 · Chinese 2 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 2 · Sushi 2 · Vegetarian 2 · European 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Middle Eastern 1 · Noodles / ramen / pho 1 · Seafood 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 61 · Bar 21 · Quick service 21 · Café 19 · Bakery 13 · Casual dining 13 · Coffee shop 12 · Winery / distillery / taproom 9 · Specialty food shop 7 · Dessert 6 · Brewery / taproom 4 · Other 4 · Delivery-focused 1 · Fast casual 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
151 Union Square	Bar		151 Mill St	open
1849 Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar		468 Sutton Way	open
3 Kings Americana Bistro	Casual dining		841 Sutton Way	open
An Honest Pie	Food truck		665 S Auburn St	open
Aozora Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi	149 S Auburn St	open
Asian Garden Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Seafood · Asian	2074 Nevada City Hwy	open
Avanguardia Wines Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		163 Mill St	open
Backroom Steakhouse	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	15031 Colfax Hwy	open
Beach Hut Deli Beach Hut Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	522 Sutton Way	open
Bicycle Thief	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	122 E Main St	open
Brew Bakers Family Cafe	Café · Juice, smoothie, tea · Coffee shop	Coffee · Tea / bubble tea	154 Mill St	open
BrewBilt Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		110 Spring Hill Dr	open
Bubba's Bagels	Bakery	Bakery · Sandwiches	860 Sutton Way	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	1857 East Main Street	open
Cafe Rico	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	1110 E Main St	open
Café Tara Grass Valley	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Vegetarian	154 Mill St	open
Cake Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Coffee shop · Café	Bakery · Coffee	131 Mill St	open
Carolines Coffee Roasters	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	128 S Auburn St	open
Cedar Ridge Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		12719 Colfax Hwy Ste 3	open
Cesar's Quick Lunch	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Mexican	2042 Nevada City Hwy	open
Charlie's Cafe	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	145 S Auburn St # 6516	open
Christopher's Deli & Catering	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	206 W Main St	open
Cirino's At Main Street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	213 W Main St	open
Cirino's Bloody Mary Mix	Bar		213 W Main St	open
Coco's Candy and Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	2072 Nevada City Hwy	open
Cold Stone Creamery	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	113 Neal St	open
Comedor	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Latin American (other)	1237 E Main St	open
Cork 49	Bar		142 Mill St	open
Corvus Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Healthy / salads / bowls · Dessert	154 Mill St	open
Cousin Jack's Pasties	Bakery	Bakery	100 S Auburn St	open
Culture Shock Yogurt	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	851 Sutton Way	open
Diego's	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	217 Colfax Ave	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	113 Neal Street	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2094 Nevada City Hwy	open
El Favorito Taqueria El Favorito Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	574 Sutton Way	open
El Favorito Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	550 Mill St	open
El Milagro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	760 S Auburn St	open
Fable Coffee	Café	Coffee	167 Mill St	open
Finns Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	155 Glasson Way	open
Flour Garden Bakery	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bakery	Bakery	999 Sutton Way	open
Flour Garden Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	109 Neal St	open
Food Joy Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		102 Richardson St Frnt	open
Frank's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	122 E Main St	open
Gary's Place	Bar		158 Mill St	open
Gold Rush Cookie Company	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	104 E Main St	open
Gold Vibe Kombuchary	Brewery / taproom · Bar		12615 Charles Dr	open
Grass Valley Brewing Company	Brewery / taproom · Bar		141 E Main St	open
Grass Valley Pasty Co	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · American	100 S Auburn St	open
Gyro Stabilized Systems	Quick service		11990 Charles Dr	open
Happy Apple Kitchen	Casual dining	American · Burgers	18532 Colfax Hwy	open
Humpty Dumpty Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American · Breakfast	1711 E Main St	open
Iron Door Speakeasy	Bar · Casual dining		211 W Main St	open
J@ck's Internet Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	115 S Church St	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Sandwiches · Burgers	1801 E Main St	open
Jimboy's Tacos Jimboy's Tacos	Quick service	Mexican	1937 Nevada City Hwy	open
Kaido Japanese Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	207 W Main St	open
Kane's Family Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	120 E Main St	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	1983 Nevada City Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	105 W Empire St	open
La Gastronomica	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · European	104 E Main St	open
Lamppost Pizza Lamppost Pizza - Huntington Beach South	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	137 Olympia Park Rd	open
Lazy Dog Chocolateria	Dessert	Dessert	111 Mill St	open
Lucchesi Vineyards & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		117 Mill Street, 19698 View Forever Ln and	open
Lucchesi Vineyards & Winery Mill St Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom		128 Mill St	open
Lumberjacks Restaurant Lumberjacks Restaurant - Yuba City	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Burgers	2075 Nevada City Hwy	open
Madi's Mexicali Stop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	840 E Main St	open
Main St Cafe	Café	Coffee	213 W Main St	open
Margarita's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	988 Plaza Dr	open
Maria's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	226 E Main St	open
Marshall's Pasties	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Bakery · Sandwiches	203 Mill St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	11954 Nevada City Hwy	open
MeZe Eatery Grass Valley	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Middle Eastern · Mediterranean · Healthy / salads / bowls	106 Mill St	open
Montoliva Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		15629 Mt Olive Rd	open
Mountain Grubs Sandwich Shop	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	12537 Loma Rica Dr	open
Mountain Mike's Pizza Mountain Mike's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	151 W McKnight Way	open
Nevada Club	Bar		108 W Main St	open
New West Wine Bar & Bottle Shop	Bar		126 Mill St	open
Old Town Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Mexican · Coffee · American	110 Mill St	open
Panda Express Panda Express México	Quick service	Chinese · Asian	688 Sutton Way	open
Panificio	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery · Pizza	15631 Lower Colfax Rd	open
Panoy Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	442 Colfax Ave	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	12048 Nevada City Highway	open
Paulette's Country Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	875 Sutton Way	open
Pepe's Café	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Breakfast	110 Mill St	open
Pete's Pizza & Tap House	Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	114 W Main St	open
Pine Street Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	1249 E Main St	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Port of Subs	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	873 Sutton Way	open
Ports Of Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)		13310 Nevada City Ave	open
Quiznos	Other	Sandwiches	841 Sutton Way	open
ramen on main street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Noodles / ramen / pho	106 E Main St	open
Rick's Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	303 Washington St	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	686 Sutton Way	open
Sergio's Caffe	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Italian · Coffee	154 Mill St	open
Sierra Mountain Coffee	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	671 Maltman Dr	open
Sierra Starr Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		124 W Main St	open
Sierra Starr Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		11179 Gibson Dr	open
Smith Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		142 Mill St	open
Soulful Kitchen Grass Valley	Quick service	Healthy / salads / bowls · Vegetarian	13469 Colfax Hwy	open
Sourdough & Co Sourdough & Co. Modesto H Street	Specialty food shop · Fast casual · Quick service	Sandwiches · Healthy / salads / bowls	121 Neal St	open
South Pine Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	102 Richardson St	open
Spark's Subsational Subs	Other	Sandwiches	150 S Auburn St Ste A	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	2096 Nevada City Hwy	open
Summer Thyme's	Café	Coffee		open
Summer Thyme's Bakery & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	231 Colfax Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	109 Olympia Park Rd	open
Tao Te Cafe Tea House & Event Space	Bar		151 Mill St	open
Taqueria Arandas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1924 Nevada City Hwy	open
Taqueria El Gaban Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1041 Sutton Way	open
Taste of Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	204 W Main St	open
The Owl Tavern	Bar · Casual dining		134 Mill St	open
Thirsty Barrel Taphouse & Grille	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		116 Neal St	open
Tofanelli's Gold Country Bistro	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · American	302 W Main St	open
Tofs Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		302 W Main St	open
Tuscany Gardens Pizzeria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Pizza	491 Sutton Way	open
Uncle Sonny's	Bar		13475 Colfax Hwy	open
Warehouse Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		12537 Loma Rica Dr	open
Warmth Studios	Restaurant (service type not stated)		900 Golden Gate Ter Ste D	open
Wendy's	Quick service		875 Sutton Way	open
Westar Compliance	Winery / distillery / taproom		230 Colfax Ave	open
What's Up Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	1110 E Main St	open
Wild Eye Pub	Bar · Casual dining		535 Mill St	open
Wyld Tiger Sourdough	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Bakery	217 W Main St	open
ZENSHI Handcrafted Sushi Zenshi Sushi	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Japanese · Coffee · Sushi · Asian	867 Sutton Way	open
☕ Wildflower Coffee ☕	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	700 Sutton Way	open
Big A Root Beer	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	810 E Main St	closed
Degroots Desserts	Bakery	Bakery	13321 Grass Valley Ave Ste 1	closed
King Richard's Pasties	Dessert	Dessert	217 Colfax Ave	closed
One11 Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)		141 E Main St	closed
Villa Venezia Ristorante	Restaurant (service type not stated)		124 Bank St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	66	62	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	58	55	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	68	63	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	72	67	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1998	66	61	32	25	4	4	NAICS1997
1999	64	57	32	22	3	4	NAICS1997
2000	59	52	29	20	3	4	NAICS1997
2001	57	50	28	17	5	4	NAICS1997
2002	61	53	29	18	6	4	NAICS1997
2003	68	57	32	20	5	6	NAICS2002
2004	70	60	34	23	3	6	NAICS2002
2005	68	59	31	22	6	5	NAICS2002
2006	65	55	27	21	7	5	NAICS2002
2007	69	59	26	25	8	5	NAICS2002
2008	66	59	25	24	10	4	NAICS2007
2009	67	59	28	22	9	5	NAICS2007
2010	66	59	29	20	10	4	NAICS2007
2011	67	59	29	21	9	4	NAICS2007
2012	70	64	29	27	8	3	NAICS2012
2013	71	62	27	27	8	3	NAICS2012
2014	66	57	27	24	6	2	NAICS2012
2015	68	60	30	24	6	2	NAICS2012
2016	69	60	30	24	6	3	NAICS2012
2017	72	65	31	26	8	3	NAICS2017
2018	75	69	35	25	9	—	NAICS2017
2019	72	66	33	23	10	—	NAICS2017
2020	77	71	33	26	11	—	NAICS2017
2021	74	69	29	27	12	—	NAICS2017
2022	73	68	26	29	12	—	NAICS2022
2023	73	67	25	27	14	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95945. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.