BMIE Market 95949

Nevada County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	20,552 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,177 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	8,380 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±442 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	19,741 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	8,938 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$98,181 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±6,942 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	53.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,902 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±222 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$550,800 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,910 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	136.9 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 95949
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	7.6 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+21.4% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	-5.6% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+30.8% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 16–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.5 per year, r² 0.62) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	76 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	81 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	64 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 95949. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.5 restaurants per year, r² 0.62, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 76 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	81.1	81	40%	+32.4
Restaurant Opportunity Score	77.1	77	35%	+27.0
Market Momentum Score	64.3	64	25%	+16.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 81 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	20,552	82	40%	+32.7
Median household income (ACS)	98,181	80	40%	+31.9
Households (ACS)	8,380	82	20%	+16.4

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	35%	+25.0
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	8.3	79	25%	+19.8
Population (ACS)	20,552	82	20%	+16.4
Median household income (ACS)	98,181	80	20%	+16.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	21.4	78	50%	+39.2
10-year restaurant growth	30.8	71	30%	+21.4
20-year restaurant growth	-5.6	18	20%	+3.7

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (39)

By cuisine

American 7 · Bakery 5 · Coffee 5 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Dessert 3 · Pizza 3 · Asian 2 · BBQ 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Mexican 2 · Breakfast 1 · British / Irish pub food 1 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chinese 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Spanish / tapas 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 21 · Quick service 6 · Bakery 5 · Bar 4 · Dessert 4 · Café 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Casual dining 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Buffet 1 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aaburco Inc	Bakery	Bakery	17745 Atwater Ln	open
Afternoon Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	101 W McKnight Way Ste D	open
Arby's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	681 Freeman Ln	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	151 W Mcknight Way Ste C	open
Burger & Cream	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	736 Taylorville Rd #D	open
California Gold Kettle Corn	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	Doolittle Rd	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	729 Taylorville Rd	open
Casa Las Katarinas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10100 Alta Sierra Dr	open
Chandara Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	716-E Freeman Ln	open
Daily Donut	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	117 W McKnight Way	open
Dew Drop Inn	Bar		19729 Cerrito Rd	open
F & B Global Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		746 Taylorville Rd	open
Grass Valley Connection, Inc.	Restaurant (service type not stated)		729 Taylorville Rd	open
Gristmill Bakery And Deli	Bakery · Café	Bakery · Coffee	10042 Wolf Rd Ste E	open
IHOP	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	746 Taylorville Rd	open
India Oven	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	722 Freeman Ln L	open
Jamba Juice	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	650 Freeman Ln	open
Java Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)		15686 Johnson Pl	open
Jersey Mike's Subs Jersey Mike's Subs	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches · American	151 W McKnight Way	open
Krunchy Krystal’s	Dessert		10461 Carrington Ln	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	716 Freeman Ln	open
London's Best Fish & Chips	Restaurant (service type not stated)	British / Irish pub food · Seafood	151 W McKnight Way	open
Lyons Fare Bakery & Cafe	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	151 W McKnight Way	open
MAK's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	10128 Alta Sierra Dr	open
Mayas Authentic Mexican Food	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	716 Freeman Ln Ste f	open
Mountain Ranch Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		14364 McCourtney Rd	open
Naggiar Vineyards and Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		18261 Rosemary Ln	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	151 West McKnight Way	open
Peet's Coffee & Tea	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	692 Freeman Ln	open
Pine Street Burgers	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	736 Taylorville Rd	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
River Dog 4	Bar · Casual dining	Spanish / tapas	151 W McKnight Way Ste l	open
Royal Dragon Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Buffet	Chinese	101 W McKnight Way	open
Smoke Daddy BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	13483 Colfax Hwy	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	681 Freeman Ln	open
Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	111 W McKnight Way	open
Subway	Other	Sandwiches	716B Freeman Ln	open
The Tritel Sculpture Studios	Bar		19432 Richmar Ln	open
Trailblazer Craft Pizza & Brews	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	15690 Johnson Pl	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	15	15	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	16	16	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	12	12	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	14	12	5	6	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	15	13	7	5	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	16	13	8	5	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	17	15	8	5	2	2	NAICS1997
2002	18	16	7	5	4	2	NAICS1997
2003	20	18	6	7	5	2	NAICS2002
2004	18	15	6	6	3	3	NAICS2002
2005	20	18	8	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	23	20	9	8	3	2	NAICS2002
2007	18	16	8	5	3	1	NAICS2002
2008	16	15	7	5	3	1	NAICS2007
2009	16	14	5	5	4	1	NAICS2007
2010	17	15	6	5	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	14	13	5	4	4	1	NAICS2007
2012	15	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	15	13	7	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2014	13	11	5	4	2	1	NAICS2012
2015	13	11	4	5	2	1	NAICS2012
2016	17	15	5	7	3	1	NAICS2012
2017	15	13	4	7	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	15	14	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	15	4	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	14	13	4	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	16	15	6	8	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	17	16	7	8	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	17	7	9	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 95949. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.