BMIE Market 96021

Tehama County, California · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	14,812 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±753 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,310 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	16,097 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,337 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$59,592 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±8,684 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	35.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$949 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±128 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$314,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±24,026 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	249.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	27 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 96021
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+68.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+80.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	26 (range 22–29) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.2 per year, r² 0.15) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	59 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	57 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 96021. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.2 restaurants per year, r² 0.15, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. California and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 1,558, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 59 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	57.2	57	40%	+22.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	51.3	51	35%	+18.0
Market Momentum Score	73.0	73	25%	+18.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	14,812	76	40%	+30.6
Median household income (ACS)	59,592	29	40%	+11.6
Households (ACS)	5,310	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 51 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	35%	+19.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	18.2	42	25%	+10.5
Population (ACS)	14,812	76	20%	+15.3
Median household income (ACS)	59,592	29	20%	+5.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	28.6	83	50%	+41.3
10-year restaurant growth	12.5	56	30%	+16.9
20-year restaurant growth	68.8	74	20%	+14.9

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (60)

By cuisine

Mexican 17 · American 11 · Latin American (other) 8 · Bakery 5 · Burgers 5 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Dessert 3 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 3 · Indian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Seafood 2 · Asian 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 37 · Quick service 15 · Bakery 5 · Café 5 · Casual dining 5 · Dessert 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Bar 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Food truck 3

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Aca En El Rancho	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	410 E Solano St	open
Amigos De Acapulco	Quick service	Mexican · Latin American (other)	3599 S 99W Corning, California 96021, S 99 W Hwy	open
Arby's	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	3524 Highway 99w	open
Asian Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Asian · American	908 Hwy 99 W	open
Bakers Pantry	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1942 Solano St #2831	open
Banda Burrito	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2120 South Avenue	open
Bartels Chuckwagon Bartels Giant Burger of Corning, CA	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Burgers · American	22355 Corning Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	888 Hwy 99 W	open
Carlitos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1728 Solano St	open
Casa Ramos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	636 Edith Ave	open
Chatas churros and Munchies inside Java Lanes	Restaurant (service type not stated)		710 4th St	open
Daisy's Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	3052, 1309 Solano St	open
Denny's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2120 South Avenue	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	669 Edith Ave	open
East Coast Foods	Casual dining · Bar	American · Mexican	2020 Solano St	open
East Coast Foods Group Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1315 Solano St Ste B	open
Edith Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	669 Edith Ave	open
El Chino Tacos El Chino Town	Food truck · Quick service	Mexican	1723 Solano St	open
El Taco Asado	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	1515 Hwy 99 W	open
Farm and Flour Homestead	Bakery	Bakery	1658 Inghram Rd	open
Fatburger & Buffalo's Express Fatburger	Quick service	Burgers · American	2655 Everett Freeman Way	open
Godfather's Pizza Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	2120 South Ave	open
Green doors tavern	Bar		HWy 99 W	open
Harvey's Hot Dogs	Quick service	Hot dogs · American	1920 Solano St	open
Hillside Poms - Naturally Grown Pomegranates	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1271 Capay Rd	open
House Of Brews	Café	Coffee	615 4th St	open
Indian Cuisine	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Vegetarian	3070 99W	open
Iron Skillet Iron Skillet	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2151 South Ave	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service		3098 99W	open
Jamba- Love’s Travel Stop	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	2120 South Ave	open
JCAIceCones	Dessert		1585 Fig St	open
Johnny Boy's Tacos	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2185 Solano St	open
Johnny Boys Taqueria & Pupuseria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1944 Solano St	open
Juice Bar Inc.	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bar	Juice / smoothies	1708 Solano St	open
La Plaza Authentic Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	903 Solano St	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	965 Hwy 99 W	open
Lomeli's	Restaurant (service type not stated)			open
Los Costenos Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Latin American (other) · American	1510 Solano St	open
Loves travel stop & Speedco Corning	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2120 South Ave	open
Marco's Pizza Marco's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	2116 Solano St	open
Mariscos El Kora de Nayarit \| Food Truck	Food truck	Seafood · Latin American (other)	3090 Hwy 99 W	open
Mariscos La Hacienda	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Seafood · Latin American (other)	1728 Solano St	open
McBrayer's Hometown Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	1081 Solano St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	3375 Sunrise Way	open
Nashs Olive Oil	Juice, smoothie, tea · Bakery	Juice / smoothies · Bakery	1210 Solano St	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	2011 Solano St	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Punjabi Indian restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Indian · American	3070 99W	open
Rancho Grande	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex · Latin American (other)	1995 Solano St	open
Rock & Brews	Restaurant (service type not stated)		2655 Everett Freeman Way	open
Round Table Pizza Round Table Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Pizza	680 Edith Ave	open
Six Two Eight	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Steakhouse	2655 Everett Freeman Way	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Café · Coffee shop · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	908 Hwy 99 W	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	951 Hwy 99 West, Suite 101	open
Sweet Swirls Cakes and Confections	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	711 4th St	open
Taco Bell	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	2189 Solano Street	open
TAQUERIA SANTA FE	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	3489 S 99 W Hwy	open
The Burger Den	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	2120 South Avenue	open
Tori's Tacos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1205 Hwy 99 W	open
Yaya's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	615 4th St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1995	19	15	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1996	19	16	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1997	20	17	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	24	20	10	8	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	23	20	10	8	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	22	19	11	7	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	11	8	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	22	19	8	10	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	19	16	7	9	—	3	NAICS2002
2004	21	18	7	10	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	18	16	6	9	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	15	13	4	7	2	2	NAICS2002
2007	17	15	5	8	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	19	17	7	8	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	20	18	7	9	2	1	NAICS2007
2010	21	20	8	9	3	1	NAICS2007
2011	21	20	7	11	2	1	NAICS2007
2012	24	23	10	11	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	26	24	12	11	1	2	NAICS2012
2014	24	22	10	11	1	2	NAICS2012
2015	25	24	12	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	25	24	12	11	1	1	NAICS2012
2017	26	25	12	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	22	21	9	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	23	22	11	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	22	22	10	10	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	24	24	11	11	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	26	26	11	12	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	28	27	12	9	6	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 96021. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.