BMIE Market 97009

Clackamas County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	8,336 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±812 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	3,073 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±304 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	7,762 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	3,030 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$106,650 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±22,095 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	48.4 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,252 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±921 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$647,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±72,642 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	30.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	14 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97009
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	19.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+16.7% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+27.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+75.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+55.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	15 (range 12–18) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.4 per year, r² 0.71) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	71 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97009. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.4 restaurants per year, r² 0.71, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 71 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.6	75	40%	+29.9
Restaurant Opportunity Score	66.4	66	35%	+23.3
Market Momentum Score	73.2	73	25%	+18.3

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	8,336	68	40%	+27.2
Median household income (ACS)	106,650	85	40%	+34.0
Households (ACS)	3,073	67	20%	+13.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	35%	+24.2
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	16.8	47	25%	+11.7
Population (ACS)	8,336	68	20%	+13.6
Median household income (ACS)	106,650	85	20%	+17.0

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	16.7	75	50%	+37.3
10-year restaurant growth	27.3	69	30%	+20.8
20-year restaurant growth	75	76	20%	+15.2

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (28)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 4 · Bakery 4 · Breakfast 3 · Mexican 2 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 14 · Bar 7 · Coffee shop 6 · Bakery 4 · Café 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Casual dining 3 · Food truck 3 · Dessert 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Backroads Pub & Grub Backroads	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	13230 SE Orient Dr	open
Boring Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		29300 SE Haley Rd	open
Bright Side Coffee Co.	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast		open
Captured By Porches Brewing	Brewery / taproom		29300 SE Haley Rd	open
Cat's Moon Independent Coffee Roaster	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	30265 SE Highway 212	open
Cc Sit & Sip	Restaurant (service type not stated)		31263 SE Highway 26	open
Chester's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		31293 US-26	open
Country Coffee Country Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	28320 SE Hwy 212	open
Frosted Sugar Bakeshop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	10990 SE 362nd Ave	open
Jeff's Expresso Depot	Coffee shop	Coffee	28425 SE Highway 212	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	15585 Se Orient Dr.	open
La Cocina OAXACA	Restaurant (service type not stated)		28425 SE Highway 212	open
LA LA Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		29300 SE Haley Rd	open
Leaderboard Lounge	Bar		27195 SE Kelso Rd	open
Los Venados Mexican Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	31255 SE US-26	open
Nebesky	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	28425 SE Highway 212	open
Nuts On Sports Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · American	31265 SE Compton Rd	open
Oregon Blues	Bakery	Bakery	9751 SE Telford Rd	open
Red Apple Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	28300 SE Highway 212	open
Rom’s Gyro Grill	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean	28425 SE Hwy 212	open
Small Town Grind	Coffee shop	Coffee	Orient Dr.	open
Stone Cottage Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	8603 SE 282nd Ave	open
Taqueria El Jalicience	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	28190 SE Hwy 212	open
The Bake Stand	Bakery · Food truck	Bakery	13860 SE Frank Ave	open
The Grind Coffee House Boring	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	28425 SE Hwy 212	open
The Mashed Burger	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers · American	28425 SE Hwy 212	open
The Not So Boring Bar & Grill	Bar		28014 SE Wally Rd	open
Timber Pub & Grub	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		28052 SE Highway 212	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	9	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	11	8	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1996	13	9	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1997	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	10	8	3	3	2	2	NAICS1997
1999	11	9	5	3	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	10	8	3	4	1	2	NAICS1997
2001	8	7	3	3	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	9	8	3	3	2	1	NAICS1997
2003	8	8	5	2	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	11	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2002
2005	14	14	7	5	2	—	NAICS2002
2006	12	12	7	3	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	14	12	7	3	2	2	NAICS2002
2008	13	11	7	2	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	14	12	6	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2010	16	15	8	3	4	1	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	6	2	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	13	11	6	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	13	11	5	4	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	13	9	6	2	1	3	NAICS2012
2015	12	10	5	4	1	2	NAICS2012
2016	13	9	4	3	2	3	NAICS2012
2017	13	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2018	14	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2019	13	12	6	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2020	12	11	5	3	3	—	NAICS2017
2021	14	13	6	3	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	15	14	6	—	6	—	NAICS2022
2023	15	14	6	4	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97009. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
97080	4.7 mi	32	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.