BMIE Market 97027

Clackamas County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	12,347 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±284 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	5,198 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±267 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	12,131 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	5,020 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$94,375 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±14,157 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	44.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,745 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±50 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$484,200 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±25,044 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	2.5 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	17 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97027
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	9.1 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+54.6% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+30.8% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+13.3% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	19 (range 15–23) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.3 per year, r² 0.20) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	57 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97027. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.3 restaurants per year, r² 0.20, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	75.3	75	40%	+30.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74.3	74	35%	+26.0
Market Momentum Score	56.9	57	25%	+14.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	12,347	74	40%	+29.5
Median household income (ACS)	94,375	77	40%	+30.8
Households (ACS)	5,198	75	20%	+15.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	54.6	85	35%	+29.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.8	57	25%	+14.3
Population (ACS)	12,347	74	20%	+14.8
Median household income (ACS)	94,375	77	20%	+15.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 57 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	54.6	85	30%	+25.5
20-year restaurant growth	30.8	52	20%	+10.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

Coffee 6 · American 5 · Pizza 5 · Asian 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Italian 2 · Japanese 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Burgers 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Mexican 1 · Thai 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Bar 6 · Casual dining 6 · Coffee shop 6 · Quick service 5 · Café 4 · Dessert 3 · Bakery 2 · Food truck 2 · Buffet 1 · Catering 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
88 Seoul Food	Food truck		19800 McLoughlin Blvd	open
A Triplet Production Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		18515 Webster Rd	open
Arlington Taphouse & Food Carts	Casual dining · Bar		140 W Arlington St	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	19510 McLoughlin Blvd	open
Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	20180 McLoughlin Blvd	open
Chris Cakes Northwest	Bakery · Catering	Bakery	6711 Glen Echo Ave	open
Crossroads Coffee Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	250 Princeton Ave	open
Figaro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	18911 Portland Ave	open
Gaffer's Pub	Bar · Casual dining		18515 Webster Rd	open
Gladstone Card Room	Bar · Casual dining	American	420 Portland Ave	open
Gladstone Schools Food Pantry	Buffet		6460 Glen Echo Ave	open
Gladstone's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	439 Portland Ave	open
Gladstones Eat Drink Sports	Casual dining · Bar		270 Portland Ave	open
Go Java	Restaurant (service type not stated)		135 E Hereford St	open
Happyrock Coffee Co.	Coffee shop	Coffee	465 Portland Ave	open
Heavenly Donuts Heavenly Donuts	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	19500 McLoughlin Blvd	open
High Rocks Restaurant and Lounge	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	915 E Arlington St	open
KB Teriyaki Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	19660 McLoughlin Blvd	open
Kenbu Thai street	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	140 W Arlington St	open
Lee's Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Asian	480 Portland Ave	open
Masala Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian · Asian	150 W Arlington St	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	820 E Berkeley St	open
Menehune Murph's Shave Ice	Dessert	Hawaiian / Pacific · Ice cream / frozen desserts	430 Portland Ave	open
Pizza Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	19640 McLoughlin Blvd	open
Portland Ave Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	439 Portland Ave	open
Roadrunner Pizza Roadrunner Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	6005 Duniway Ave	open
Stanley's Corner	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	19905 McLoughlin Blvd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	95 82nd Dr	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	240 Princeton Ave	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	19516 McLoughlin Blvd	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	19795 McLoughlin Blvd	open
Tēbo's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	19120 McLoughlin Blvd	open
The Brew	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Coffee shop	Coffee	465 Portland Ave	open
The Mac Express	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		870 E Berkeley St	open
Tiger Fruit	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	125 E Dartmouth St	open
Two Girls Catering & Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		125 E Dartmouth St	open
Vogies Bar	Bar · Casual dining		464 Portland Ave	open
Zombie Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	135 E Hereford St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	16	15	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	14	13	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	15	14	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	15	12	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	17	14	7	5	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	16	13	6	5	2	3	NAICS1997
2000	17	13	5	6	2	4	NAICS1997
2001	18	14	5	7	2	4	NAICS1997
2002	18	15	4	7	4	3	NAICS1997
2003	15	13	5	6	2	2	NAICS2002
2004	21	18	6	9	3	3	NAICS2002
2005	18	16	7	6	3	2	NAICS2002
2006	18	15	7	5	3	3	NAICS2002
2007	19	16	9	4	3	3	NAICS2002
2008	17	15	9	3	3	2	NAICS2007
2009	18	15	10	3	2	3	NAICS2007
2010	14	11	8	1	2	3	NAICS2007
2011	12	10	7	1	2	2	NAICS2007
2012	12	10	7	2	1	2	NAICS2012
2013	14	11	6	3	2	2	NAICS2012
2014	18	15	6	4	4	2	NAICS2012
2015	16	14	6	4	3	2	NAICS2012
2016	19	16	7	4	4	2	NAICS2012
2017	21	18	8	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	20	17	8	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	20	17	8	5	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	18	15	8	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	19	16	9	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	18	14	9	3	—	3	NAICS2022
2023	22	17	8	5	4	3	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97027. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
97267	1.8 mi	50	2023
97015	3.6 mi	88	2023
97222	3.9 mi	52	2023
97068	4.4 mi	53	2023
97034	4.8 mi	40	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.