BMIE Market 97111

Yamhill County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	4,890 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±843 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,691 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±263 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	3,156 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,227 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$108,453 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,466 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	40.7 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,891 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±210 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$520,400 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±67,150 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	38.0 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97111
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.7 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+20.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 6–8) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.27) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	66 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	70 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	58 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97111. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.27, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 66 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	70	70	40%	+28.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	67.1	67	35%	+23.5
Market Momentum Score	58.4	58	25%	+14.6

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 70 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	4,890	60	40%	+24.0
Median household income (ACS)	108,453	86	40%	+34.3
Households (ACS)	1,691	58	20%	+11.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 67 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	35%	+22.1
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	12.3	63	25%	+15.8
Population (ACS)	4,890	60	20%	+12.0
Median household income (ACS)	108,453	86	20%	+17.2

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 58 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	20	63	30%	+18.9
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (79)

By cuisine

American 4 · Coffee 4 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 2 · Mexican 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · European 1 · French 1 · Italian 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Thai 1 · Vegan 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 48 · Bar 26 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 16 · Café 4 · Dessert 4 · Quick service 4 · Brewery / taproom 3 · Coffee shop 3 · Bakery 2 · Casual dining 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Food truck 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbey Wine Warehouse	Bakery	Bakery	9200 NE Abbey Rd	open
Abbott Claim	Winery / distillery / taproom		11011 NE Bayliss Rd	open
AgriVino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	10280 NE Oak Springs Farm Rd	open
Andrew Rich Wines	Bar		801 N Scott St	open
Angela Estate Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		11011 NE Bayliss Rd	open
Anne Amie Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		6580 NE Mineral Springs Rd	open
Barking Dog	Bar		258 N Kutch St Ste B	open
Barking Frog Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Brewery / taproom · Bar		128 W Main St.	open
Barrel 47	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	111 E Main St	open
Belle Pente	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		12470 NE Rowland Rd	open
Bit by a Fox Mobile Speakeasy	Bar		119 E Main St	open
Black Dog Vineyard & Winery Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		8085 NE Oak Springs Farm Rd	open
Bull Run Distillery Carlton Post	Winery / distillery / taproom		214 W Main St Suite B	open
Cana's Feast Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		750 W Lincoln St	open
Carlo & Julian Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1000 E Main St	open
Carlton & Coast Tavern	Bar		325 West Main Street	open
Carlton Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	245 W Main St	open
Carlton Coffee Company	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	203 W Main St Ste B	open
Carlton Corners	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	150 N Yamhill St	open
Carlton Hill Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		11511 NW Cummins Rd	open
Carlton Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Carlton Wine Corner	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		103 E Main St	open
Chris James Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		12000 NW Old Wagon Rd	open
Colene Clemons Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Common Grounds Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	305 W Main St	open
Craft Wine Co.	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		116 W Main St	open
Crowing Hen Brewery	Brewery / taproom · Bar		10282 NE Abbey Rd	open
Cuvee Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	French · European	214 W Main St	open
De Ponte	Winery / distillery / taproom		209 N Kutch St	open
Dominio IV Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		11570 NE Intervale Rd	open
Fir Crest Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		12401 NW Fir Crest Rd	open
Fire Mountain Brewery	Brewery / taproom		10800 Rex Brown Road	open
Flaneur Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		168 S Pine St	open
Folin Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		118 W Main St	open
From Another Udder	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	211 W Main St	open
Ghost Hill Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		9700 NE Oak Springs Farm Rd	open
Goatopia Gourmet Foods	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	320 W Monroe St	open
Grain Food Truck	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service		103 E Main St	open
Gypsy Dancer	Winery / distillery / taproom		143 E Main St	open
Hamacher Wines	Bar		801 N Scott St	open
Hayward	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	American	209 N Kutch St	open
Honest Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	217 E Main St	open
Huett Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		12000 NW Old Wagon Rd	open
Ikigai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	217 W Main St	open
K and M Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		128 W Main St	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Quick service		335 W Madison St	open
Laurel Ridge Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		13301 NE Kuehne Rd	open
Lavinea Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		250 N Kutch St	open
Lemelson Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		12020 NE Stag Hollow Rd	open
Lonesome Rock Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		18495 NW Meadow Lake Rd	open
Lucky Duck	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	105 W Main St	open
Lujon Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		13301 NE Kuehne Rd	open
Main Street Market & Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Café	Sandwiches · Coffee	208 Main St	open
Margarita's Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	314 N Kutch St	open
Marshall Davis Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		125 W Main St	open
Mayla Thai	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian		open
MonksGate Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		9500 NE Oak Springs Farm Rd	open
Noble Pig	Winery / distillery / taproom		203 W Main St	open
Park & Main	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches · American	211 W Main St	open
pike road wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		105 W Main St	open
Planet Oregon	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Project M Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		801 N Scott St	open
Résonance Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		12050 NW Meadow Lake Rd	open
Retour Wine Co.	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		803 N Scott St	open
Ribbon Ridge Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		801 N Scott St	open
Robin's Egg	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegan	103 E Main St	open
Seven of Hearts Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		217 W Main St	open
Siltstone	Winery / distillery / taproom		213 S Pine St	open
Soter Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		10880 NE Mineral Springs Rd	open
Stone Griffon Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		305 W Main St	open
Tendril Wine Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom		130 W Monroe St	open
Tequila Burrito Bar Carlton	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	111 Main St	open
The Carlton Winemakers Studio	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		801 N Scott St	open
The Horse Radish	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		119 W Main St	open
Troon Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		250 N Kutch St	open
Tyrus Evan Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		Main amd Pime	open
Visit Carlton	Winery / distillery / taproom			open
Willamette Valley Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		103 E Main St	open
Earth & Sea	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Steakhouse	209 N Kutch St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	2	2	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	3	3	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS1997
1999	2	1	1	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	4	1	1	—	—	3	NAICS1997
2001	3	—	—	—	—	3	NAICS1997
2002	5	2	1	—	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	4	2	1	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	4	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2002
2005	4	2	1	—	1	2	NAICS2002
2006	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2007	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	7	5	2	1	2	2	NAICS2007
2009	6	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2010	6	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	6	4	2	1	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2013	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	6	5	3	1	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	9	7	3	2	2	1	NAICS2012
2017	7	6	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	8	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	9	7	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	11	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	12	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	11	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97111. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
97127	4.9 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.