BMIE Market 97114

Yamhill County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,013 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±546 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,591 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±185 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,762 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,733 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$84,228 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,864 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	38.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,378 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±183 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$462,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±28,683 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	59.6 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	5 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97114
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	-28.6% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+150.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+400.0% DERIVED: 1995 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	5 (range 2–9) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.0 per year, r² 0.01) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	53 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	56 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	33 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97114. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.01, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 53 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	62.5	63	40%	+25.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	55.9	56	35%	+19.6
Market Momentum Score	32.9	33	25%	+8.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,013	60	40%	+24.2
Median household income (ACS)	84,228	67	40%	+26.9
Households (ACS)	1,591	57	20%	+11.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 56 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.0	72	25%	+18.1
Population (ACS)	5,013	60	20%	+12.1
Median household income (ACS)	84,228	67	20%	+13.4

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 33 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	-28.6	9	50%	+4.6
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	150	89	20%	+17.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 5 · Mexican 3 · Coffee 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 26 · Bar 14 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 7 · Coffee shop 2 · Quick service 2 · Café 1 · Casual dining 1 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Alumbra Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		12655 SE Stringtown Rd	open
Archery Summit	Winery / distillery / taproom		18599 NE Archery Summit Rd	open
Balanza Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		5805 NE Dixon Ln	open
Branch Point Distillery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		15800 NE McDougall Rd	open
Camino	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast · Mexican	312 Ferry St	open
Corollary Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		6451 NE Hilltop Ln	open
Dayton Deli	Restaurant (service type not stated)		715 Ferry St	open
De Ponte Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		17545 NE Archery Summit Rd	open
Domaine Drouhin Oregon	Winery / distillery / taproom		6750 NE Breyman Orchards Rd	open
Domaine Serene Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6555 NE Hilltop Ln	open
Domaine Willamette	Winery / distillery / taproom		19255 N Hwy 99W	open
Durant Vineyards Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		5430 NE Breyman Orchards Rd	open
Events de Broglie	Winery / distillery / taproom		6475 NE Hilltop Ln	open
Eyrie Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom	American	4900 NE Breyman Orchards Rd	open
Grand Island Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	18050 SE Wallace Rd	open
Guillen Family Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6250 NE Hilltop Ln	open
Hauer of the Dauen Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		16425 SE Webfoot Rd	open
Joel Palmer House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	600 Ferry St	open
Juanita's Cafe y Neveria	Café · Dessert · Coffee shop	Coffee · Ice cream / frozen desserts	401 Ferry St	open
Loam	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	306 Ferry St	open
Methven Family Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		11400 SE Westland Ln	open
Pirates Den	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · Sandwiches	715 Ferry St	open
RAW Cider Company	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		17530 NE McDougall Rd	open
Remy Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		17495 NE McDougall Rd	open
Resonance Tasting Salon	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		17205 NE Archery Summit Rd	open
Satyr Fire	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		304b Ferry St	open
Seufert Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		303 Main St #1B	open
Siltstone Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		12251 SE Dayton Byp	open
Sokol Blosser Winery Sokol Blosser Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		5000 NE Sokol Blosser Ln	open
Stoller Family Estate Yelp	Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		15151 NE Stoller Rd	open
Stoller Wine Farm House	Winery / distillery / taproom		1520 NE Stoller Rd	open
Surferdave's Movie Lounge	Bar		405 7th St	open
Tacos El Vaquero 2	Quick service	Mexican	4270 NE Blanchard Ln	open
Taqueria la Herradura	Catering	Mexican	216 Ferry St	open
The Barlow Room	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	306 Ferry St	open
The By-Pass Bar & Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	400 Ferry St	open
White Rose Estate Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		6250 NE Hilltop Ln	open
Winter's Hill Estate	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6451 NE Hilltop Ln	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1995	1	1	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1997	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1998	5	3	1	1	1	1	NAICS1997
1999	5	3	1	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2000	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2001	5	3	1	1	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	4	3	3	—	—	1	NAICS1997
2003	3	2	2	—	—	1	NAICS2002
2004	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2005	2	2	2	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2006	3	3	3	—	—	—	NAICS2002
2007	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2002
2008	3	3	2	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2009	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2010	4	4	3	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2011	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2007
2012	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2013	5	5	4	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2014	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2015	6	6	5	1	—	—	NAICS2012
2016	5	4	4	—	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	5	5	5	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	7	7	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	9	9	6	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	6	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	4	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	5	3	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97114. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

ZCTA	Distance	Restaurants	Year
97127	4.4 mi	4	2023

Distance is centroid to centroid (Census Gazetteer). Restaurants: latest ZBP year on file for that ZIP.