BMIE Market 97119

Washington County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,233 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±719 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	1,884 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±251 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,420 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,697 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$115,515 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±16,315 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	46.0 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,433 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±448 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$629,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±47,465 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	94.4 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	3 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97119
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	6.8 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+50.0% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	4 (range 2–6) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, 0.0 per year, r² 0.10) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	61 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	65 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	37 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97119. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, 0.0 restaurants per year, r² 0.10, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.0	72	40%	+28.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	64.5	65	35%	+22.6
Market Momentum Score	36.9	37	25%	+9.2

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,233	61	40%	+24.5
Median household income (ACS)	115,515	89	40%	+35.5
Households (ACS)	1,884	60	20%	+12.0

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	5.7	89	25%	+22.3
Population (ACS)	5,233	61	20%	+12.2
Median household income (ACS)	115,515	89	20%	+17.8

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 37 (High confidence)

Component	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	28	20%	+5.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (19)

By cuisine

American 1 · Coffee 1 · Juice / smoothies 1

By type

Winery / distillery / taproom 15 · Bar 7 · Casual dining 3 · Café 1 · Coffee shop 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Quick service 1 · Restaurant (service type not stated) 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Ace Tavern	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		114 Front St	open
ADEA Wine Co	Winery / distillery / taproom		26421 Highway 47	open
Beacon Hill Winery & Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		22251 NE Laughlin Rd	open
Bednarik Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Quick service		9540 SW Lee Rd	open
Big Table Farms	Winery / distillery / taproom		26851 NW Williams Canyon Rd	open
Dauntless Wine Co	Winery / distillery / taproom		6505 SW Old Highway 47	open
Elk Cove Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		27751 NW Olson Rd	open
Failla Wines Oregon	Winery / distillery / taproom		9449 SW Old Highway 47	open
Harper Voit Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		22070 NE Ridge Rd	open
Kramer Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		26830 NW Olson Rd	open
La Dolce Vita Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		6505 SW Old Highway 47	open
Limited Addition Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		3440 NW Bridge Farmer Rd	open
Old 47 Estate	Winery / distillery / taproom		6505 SW Old Highway 47	open
Patton Valley Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		9449 SW Old Highway 47	open
Plum Hill Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		6505 SW Old Highway 47	open
Scoggins Creek Coffee	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	93 E Main St	open
Screamin' Chicken Diner	Casual dining	American	304 Front St	open
The Collaborative NW	Winery / distillery / taproom		3440 NW Bridge Farmer Rd	open
The One Horse Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		300 Front St	open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	3	2	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	2	1	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	2	—	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	2	—	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	3	1	—	—	1	2	NAICS1997
1999	3	1	—	—	1	2	NAICS1997
2000	4	1	—	—	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	2	1	—	—	1	1	NAICS1997
2002	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	5	3	1	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2004	4	2	—	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2005	6	4	—	2	2	2	NAICS2002
2006	4	2	—	1	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2002
2008	4	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2009	5	4	2	1	1	1	NAICS2007
2010	4	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2011	4	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2007
2012	5	4	2	—	2	1	NAICS2012
2013	5	3	2	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2014	6	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2015	6	4	3	—	1	1	NAICS2012
2016	4	3	2	—	1	—	NAICS2012
2017	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	5	4	3	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	4	3	—	—	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97119. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.