BMIE Market 97133

Washington County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	5,416 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±612 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	2,104 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±277 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	4,000 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	1,658 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$133,167 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±21,017 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	41.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,624 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±661 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$680,000 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±48,436 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	76.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	6 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97133
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	15.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+0.0% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+200.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+500.0% DERIVED: 1996 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	7 (range 5–10) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.09) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	63 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	74 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	50 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97133. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.09, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	74.5	74	40%	+29.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.4	60	35%	+21.1
Market Momentum Score	49.9	50	25%	+12.5

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	5,416	62	40%	+24.7
Median household income (ACS)	133,167	94	40%	+37.4
Households (ACS)	2,104	62	20%	+12.3

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 60 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	35%	+12.3
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.1	68	25%	+17.0
Population (ACS)	5,416	62	20%	+12.4
Median household income (ACS)	133,167	94	20%	+18.7

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 50 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	0	42	50%	+20.9
10-year restaurant growth	0	35	30%	+10.5
20-year restaurant growth	200	93	20%	+18.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (25)

By cuisine

Coffee 7 · American 3 · Mexican 3 · Bakery 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Breakfast 1 · Burgers 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Dessert 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Italian 1 · Latin American (other) 1 · Pizza 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 11 · Coffee shop 6 · Café 5 · Bar 4 · Quick service 4 · Casual dining 3 · Bakery 2 · Dessert 2 · Specialty food shop 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abbey Creek Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		31441 NW Commercial St	open
Cornelius, OR (Baseline St) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1420 E. Baseline St.	open
Cuppa Yo Frozen Yogurt Cuppa Yo Hermiston	Other · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	30860 NW Pacific St Ste C	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1420 E. Baseline St.	open
Hits the Spot Cafe	Café	Coffee	10355 NW Glencoe Rd	open
King Torta King Torta	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	10190 NW Glencoe Rd	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches · Chicken / wings	9950 Northwest Glencoe Road	open
Krissys Koffee and Kones	Coffee shop · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee · Breakfast	10355 NW Glencoe Rd	open
La Loteria Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	10355 NW Glencoe Rd Unit D	open
Last Waterin' Hole	Bar		31594 NW Commercial St	open
Market Espresso	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	10005 NW Glencoe Rd	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	9975 NW Glencoe Rd	open
Ngo Investment Inc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10565 NW Glencoe Rd	open
Old Hich'en Post Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	American	10565 NW Glencoe Rd	open
Oregon Coffee Roaster Inc	Coffee shop	Coffee	31830 NW Commercial St	open
Shumaker Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		13615 NW Mason Hill Rd	open
Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	10175 NW Glencoe Rd	open
Summit Foods	Restaurant (service type not stated)		32155 NW Cottage St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	30810 NW Pacific St.	open
Teninty's Pizza and Subs	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10395 NW Glencoe Rd	open
The Flour Shed	Bakery	Bakery	31415 NW Lenox St	open
The Messiah Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		10355 NW Glencoe Rd	open
The Pie Guy	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	19441 NW Dairy Creek Rd	open
The Rogue Pub North Plains	Bar · Casual dining		31500 NW Commercial St	open
Threadbare Coffee Consulting	Coffee shop	Coffee		open

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1995	1	—	—	—	—	1	SIC1987
1996	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	3	1	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1998	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
1999	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2000	3	2	1	1	—	1	NAICS1997
2001	4	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2002	5	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS1997
2003	5	2	1	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	7	3	1	2	—	3	NAICS2002
2005	6	3	2	1	—	2	NAICS2002
2006	8	4	1	3	—	3	NAICS2002
2007	9	6	1	5	—	2	NAICS2002
2008	8	5	1	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2009	8	5	1	4	—	2	NAICS2007
2010	9	6	1	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2011	9	6	1	4	1	2	NAICS2007
2012	7	5	2	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2013	8	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2014	8	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2015	8	6	3	3	—	1	NAICS2012
2016	8	6	1	5	—	1	NAICS2012
2017	8	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2018	8	6	—	5	—	—	NAICS2017
2019	7	5	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2020	8	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2021	7	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2017
2022	9	8	—	6	—	—	NAICS2022
2023	8	6	—	4	—	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97133. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.