BMIE Market 97502

Jackson County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	29,067 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,414 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	11,434 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±606 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	27,694 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	11,316 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$83,488 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7,900 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.3 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±2 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,335 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±122 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$403,300 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,868 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	82.1 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	43 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97502
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	11.2 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+26.5% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+48.3% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+72.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+186.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 42–49) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +1.1 per year, r² 0.83) · 80% range · confidence High · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	77 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	79 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97502. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +1.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.83, confidence High.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 77 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	79.5	79	40%	+31.8
Restaurant Opportunity Score	72.2	72	35%	+25.3
Market Momentum Score	79.8	80	25%	+20.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 79 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	29,067	88	40%	+35.3
Median household income (ACS)	83,488	66	40%	+26.5
Households (ACS)	11,434	88	20%	+17.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	48.3	80	35%	+27.9
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	14.8	53	25%	+13.4
Population (ACS)	29,067	88	20%	+17.7
Median household income (ACS)	83,488	66	20%	+13.3

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	26.5	82	50%	+40.9
10-year restaurant growth	48.3	80	30%	+23.9
20-year restaurant growth	72	75	20%	+15.0

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (102)

By cuisine

Coffee 22 · American 14 · Mexican 14 · Pizza 7 · Dessert 6 · Asian 5 · Bakery 5 · Breakfast 4 · Sandwiches 4 · Burgers 3 · Hawaiian / Pacific 3 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 3 · Italian 3 · Latin American (other) 3 · BBQ 2 · Chinese 2 · Japanese 2 · Tea / bubble tea 2 · Thai 2 · Cajun, Creole, Southern 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Filipino 1 · Indian 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Southwestern / Tex-Mex 1 · Sushi 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 51 · Café 18 · Coffee shop 17 · Quick service 17 · Bar 16 · Casual dining 11 · Winery / distillery / taproom 9 · Dessert 8 · Bakery 6 · Food truck 5 · Specialty food shop 3 · Delivery-focused 2 · Juice, smoothie, tea 2 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
A-1 Market 12	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	507 S Front St	open
Abby's Legendary Pizza Abby's Legendary Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	825 E Pine St	open
Ahuva Bagel Company	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Breakfast	1205 Plaza Blvd Ste C	open
Aryon's Open Door Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	4510 Table Rock Rd	open
Big Town Hero	Other	Sandwiches	1205 Plaza Blvd	open
Bobbio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	312 Oak St	open
Boca De Tomates, Puerto Vallarta	Quick service	Mexican		open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	101 Peninger Rd	open
CakeBar + Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	117 E Pine St	open
Caprice Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		970 Old Stage Rd	open
Central Point , OR (4 Corners ) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	4990 Table Rock Rd.	open
Central Point , OR (North Pac) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	832 S. Front St.	open
Central Point Perk & Bakeshop	Coffee shop	Coffee	117 E Pine St	open
Cinnabon Cinnabon	Bakery · Dessert · Café	Bakery · Dessert · Coffee	1600 E Pine St	open
Clarkson Properties Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1205 Plaza Blvd	open
Comal Bar and Grill Comal Bar and Grill Medford	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	1350 Plaza Blvd Ste I	open
Coquette Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	245 N Front St	open
Corinne's Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee	1370 Plaza Blvd	open
Corner Club	Bar		51 E Pine St	open
Crackin' and Stackin' Crackin & Stackin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	217 E Pine St	open
Crater Cafe	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · American	Sweet' A also, home of The Jackalope Shoppe, 327 E Pine St	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	280 S Front St	open
Diamond Motion	Restaurant (service type not stated)		3314 Buena Vista Avenue	open
Diner 62	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	6781 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	30 Freeman Ct	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	832 S Front St	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4990 Table Rock Rd.	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1065 E Pine St	open
D’s Deli	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		9625 Old Stage Rd	open
El Poblano Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	131 N Front St	open
El Sabor De Oaxaca	Food truck	Mexican	1125 E Pine St	open
Ferment & Fire	Brewery / taproom · Casual dining · Bar	Pizza	410 S Front St	open
Flaco's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Delivery-focused		6463 Table Rock Rd	open
Freddie Lee’s Seafood Smorgasbord	Food truck		1510 E Pine St	open
Hawaiian Hut	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	1333 Plaza Blvd	open
Human Bean	Coffee shop	Coffee	1104 E Vilas Rd	open
Hummingbird Estate	Winery / distillery / taproom		1677 Old Stage Rd	open
JAXON Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		331 E Pine St	open
Jville Tavern	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		6555 Foley Ln	open
KFC KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	250 Penninger Road	open
Kona Bento	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific · Japanese · Asian	4510 Table Rock Rd	open
Las Palmas Mexican Jacksonville Oregon	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Southwestern / Tex-Mex	State Highway 99	open
Ledger David Cellars Tasting Room	Winery / distillery / taproom		245 N Front St	open
Lil Pantry Lil' Pantry	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	5017 Table Rock Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1205 Plaza Blvd	open
Local Vines Wine Bar	Bar		900 N Haskell St Ste A	open
Lou's Loafs	Bakery	Bakery	1254 N 3rd St	open
Ma's Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	212 E Pine St	open
Mai Thai Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Asian	34 N Front St	open
Mary Jane's Bento	Food truck	Filipino · Hawaiian / Pacific	15 W Vilas Rd	open
Mary's BBQ Place LLC	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	841 E Pine St	open
Mazatlan Grill Mazatlan Grill Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining · Bar	Mexican · Latin American (other)	98 Freeman Rd Ste F	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	43 S 9th St	open
Medford, OR (Cp) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1065 E. Pine St.	open
Mellelo Coffee Roasters Office	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	30 S 3rd St	open
Mochi Donut House	Bakery · Juice, smoothie, tea · Dessert · Café	Dessert · Tea / bubble tea · Coffee	507 S Front St #5	open
Mon Desir	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4615 Hamrick Rd	open
Muchas Gracias	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1104 E Vilas Rd	open
New Port Distilling	Winery / distillery / taproom		201 Bateman Dr Suite 23	open
Outsider Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	536 E Pine St	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	129 East Pine Street	open
Patti's Kitchen	Quick service	Cajun, Creole, Southern · American	175 N 2nd St	open
Pizza Hut Pizza Hut	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	507 S. Front Jackson	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Purple Parrot	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	227 E Pine St	open
Roys Pioneer Club	Casual dining · Bar		217 E Pine St	open
Ryan Rose Wine	Winery / distillery / taproom		251 E Pine St	open
Schmizza Pub and Grub PIZZA SCHMIZZA	Bar · Casual dining		1350 Plaza Blvd	open
Señor Sam's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	131 N Front St	open
Shari's Cafe and Pies	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · Coffee · American	210 Peninger St	open
Songbird Acre	Bakery · Coffee shop	Bakery · Coffee · Breakfast		open
Sonic Drive In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	1760 East Pine Street	open
Southern Oregon Viticulture	Winery / distillery / taproom		569 Hanley Rd	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1360 Plaza Blvd	open
Steak & Smash	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	410 S Front St	open
Sugar Rush	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Dessert	1733 Jessica Circle	open
Sweet Tea Express Sweet Tea Express	Juice, smoothie, tea	Burgers · Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies	1710 E Pine St	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1600 E Pine St	open
Taco Delite	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6407 Table Rock Rd	open
Tacos El Metate	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	5100 Crater Lake Ave	open
Tacos Lolos y mÃ¡s	Food truck	Mexican	49 W Vilas Rd	open
Tamale Factory Tamale Factory	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	754 Hopkins Rd	open
Tandoori Flames	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Indian	210 Peninger Rd	open
Taqueria Los Aguilar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	6407 Table Rock Rd	open
Thai Garden	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai · Chinese · Asian	43 N 3rd St	open
The Flying Pig BBQ and Catering	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	159 Woodbury Ct	open
The Human Bean The Human Bean	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	113 E Pine St	open
The Human Bean The Human Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	4601 Biddle Rd	open
The Palms Cafe	Café · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee · American	501 S Front St	open
The Point Franchise	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar		311 E Pine St	open
The Point Pub & Grill	Casual dining · Bar		311 E Pine St	open
The Punch House	Winery / distillery / taproom		9115 Blackwell Rd	open
Tony's Italian Kitchen Tony's Italian Kitchen Food Truck	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Italian · American	9329 Table Rock Rd	open
Touvelle Lodge	Bar	American	9367 Table Rock Rd	open
Travelers Ice Cream	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert	970 Old Stage Rd	open
Triple Tree Restaurant	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4999 OR-234	open
Twin Creeks Ice Cream	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	900 N Haskell St	open
Whiskey River	Café · Bar	Coffee	6463 Table Rock Rd	open
Winemakers Depot	Bar · Winery / distillery / taproom · Restaurant (service type not stated)		4810 Table Rock Rd Ste 104	open
Yellow Basket Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)		163 S Front St	open
Zen Zen Sushi and Teriyaki	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	223 E Pine St	open
Lillie Belle Farms Artisan Chocolates	Dessert	Dessert	211 N Front St	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	20	15	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1995	24	17	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1996	23	18	—	—	—	5	SIC1987
1997	25	21	—	—	—	4	SIC1987
1998	24	19	12	7	—	4	NAICS1997
1999	21	17	10	6	1	3	NAICS1997
2000	21	18	11	7	—	2	NAICS1997
2001	23	20	11	9	—	1	NAICS1997
2002	27	19	9	10	—	5	NAICS1997
2003	33	25	9	15	1	5	NAICS2002
2004	37	28	9	15	4	5	NAICS2002
2005	33	25	8	16	1	5	NAICS2002
2006	37	27	7	16	4	7	NAICS2002
2007	35	26	6	17	3	7	NAICS2002
2008	39	30	9	15	6	6	NAICS2007
2009	41	32	9	15	8	7	NAICS2007
2010	39	31	10	16	5	6	NAICS2007
2011	35	28	8	15	5	5	NAICS2007
2012	37	30	9	15	6	5	NAICS2012
2013	37	29	10	13	6	5	NAICS2012
2014	36	30	12	12	6	3	NAICS2012
2015	41	34	12	14	8	4	NAICS2012
2016	41	31	9	15	7	5	NAICS2012
2017	40	33	11	15	7	3	NAICS2017
2018	42	34	12	14	8	3	NAICS2017
2019	45	38	14	15	9	3	NAICS2017
2020	40	35	14	14	7	3	NAICS2017
2021	43	37	14	14	9	3	NAICS2017
2022	48	38	13	16	9	4	NAICS2022
2023	51	43	13	19	11	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97502. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.