BMIE Market 97503

Jackson County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	13,938 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,434 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	4,585 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±532 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	10,528 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	4,058 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$70,263 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±9,480 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	36.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,212 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±429 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$327,500 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±19,396 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	81.7 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	19 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97503
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	12.4 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+18.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+90.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+72.7% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 16–20) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.1 per year, r² 0.13) · 80% range · confidence Low · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	65 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	64 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	61 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	73 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97503. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.1 restaurants per year, r² 0.13, confidence Low.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 65 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	63.7	64	40%	+25.5
Restaurant Opportunity Score	60.7	61	35%	+21.3
Market Momentum Score	72.5	73	25%	+18.1

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 64 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	13,938	75	40%	+30.2
Median household income (ACS)	70,263	47	40%	+18.9
Households (ACS)	4,585	73	20%	+14.6

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 61 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	35%	+21.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	13.6	58	25%	+14.5
Population (ACS)	13,938	75	20%	+15.1
Median household income (ACS)	70,263	47	20%	+9.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	18.8	76	50%	+38.2
10-year restaurant growth	18.8	62	30%	+18.6
20-year restaurant growth	90	79	20%	+15.8

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (45)

By cuisine

Mexican 10 · American 7 · Coffee 7 · Latin American (other) 4 · Pizza 4 · Bakery 3 · Burgers 3 · Italian 2 · Sandwiches 2 · Asian 1 · BBQ 1 · Chicken / wings 1 · Chinese 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 1 · Japanese 1 · Juice / smoothies 1 · Seafood 1 · Sushi 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 27 · Quick service 11 · Coffee shop 7 · Café 6 · Food truck 6 · Casual dining 5 · Bakery 3 · Bar 3 · Specialty food shop 2 · Catering 1 · Dessert 1 · Juice, smoothie, tea 1 · Winery / distillery / taproom 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abby's Legendary Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7480 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Amy's Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	441 W Antelope Rd	open
Anytime Tacos	Food truck	Mexican	8340 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Apple Peddler Restaurant	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	7405 Crater Lake Hwy, OR-62	open
Bad Ass Coffee	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Coffee	8181 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Birrieria Gutierrez	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	2047 Ave G	open
Bobbio's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	7581 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	7251 OR-62	open
Casa Latina Carnicería	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7570 OR-62	open
Culichi Snack Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		8056 Isabella Way	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	7635 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	8380 Crater Lake Hwy.	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	7251 Crater Lake Hwy.	open
El Pescador Mariscos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Seafood · Mexican · Latin American (other)	1385 Antelope Rd	open
Iron Horse BBQ Inc.	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	BBQ	1316 Ave G	open
Island Grindz Bento	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	8181 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Jack in the Box	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Burgers	2383 Avenue A	open
Jan's Grill & Chill	Food truck · Catering · Casual dining · Bar		1385 Antelope Rd	open
KFC	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	7310 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Kriselle Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		12956 Modoc Rd	open
La Duranguense	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican		open
La Duranguense Tacos Y Mas	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7130 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Las Golosas	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Casual dining	American	1385 Antelope Rd	open
Lil' Pantry White City Lil' Pantry	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	7600 OR-62	open
Ling's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese	2265 Antelope Rd	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service	Pizza · Italian	8336 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Lomeli de Fusion	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck		1790 Avenue G	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	7421 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Mi Pobre Casita Tacos	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)		3030 Village Cir	open
Morning Meadow Farm Stand	Bakery	Bakery	15505 Meadows Rd	open
Papa Murphy's Papa Murphy's - Jefferson City	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	7413 OR-62	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Rogue Meats Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)		4865 Highway 234	open
Sammy's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	4865 OR-234	open
Scrumptious Bakery & Cafe	Bakery	Bakery	1720 Antelope Rd	open
Senor Sam's	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7625 OR-62	open
Starbucks Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café · Bakery	Coffee · Bakery	7340 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Specialty food shop	Sandwiches	7584 OR-62	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	7511 Crater Lake Hwy	open
Tacos La Morena	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	7640 Crater Lake Hwy	open
The Human Bean The Human Bean	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	2100 Leigh Way	open
Umi Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	7310 Crater Lake Hwy	open
White City, OR (VA 8380 Crater Lake Hwy) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	8380 Crater Lake Hwy.	open
White City, OR (White City) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	7251 Crater Lake Hwy.	open
City Grinders	Other	Sandwiches	4865 Highway 234	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	11	11	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1995	10	10	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1996	9	9	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1997	13	13	—	—	—	—	SIC1987
1998	13	13	4	8	1	—	NAICS1997
1999	13	13	3	9	1	—	NAICS1997
2000	13	13	3	9	1	—	NAICS1997
2001	13	13	3	9	1	—	NAICS1997
2002	11	10	2	7	1	—	NAICS1997
2003	11	10	3	6	1	—	NAICS2002
2004	12	10	3	7	—	1	NAICS2002
2005	13	11	3	7	1	1	NAICS2002
2006	14	13	3	8	2	—	NAICS2002
2007	13	12	4	7	1	—	NAICS2002
2008	17	16	4	8	4	—	NAICS2007
2009	16	15	3	7	5	—	NAICS2007
2010	13	13	3	7	3	—	NAICS2007
2011	15	14	5	6	3	—	NAICS2007
2012	16	16	4	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2013	16	16	4	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2014	16	16	4	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2015	18	18	5	9	4	—	NAICS2012
2016	17	17	5	8	4	—	NAICS2012
2017	16	16	4	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2018	16	16	4	8	4	—	NAICS2017
2019	16	16	3	9	4	—	NAICS2017
2020	17	17	3	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2021	17	17	3	10	4	—	NAICS2017
2022	16	16	3	10	3	—	NAICS2022
2023	19	19	3	12	4	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97503. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.