BMIE Market 97524

Jackson County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	15,078 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±861 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	6,160 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±552 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	14,459 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	6,115 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$82,933 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±4,113 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	43.8 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±7 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,280 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±378 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$433,100 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±23,060 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	359.3 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	16 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97524
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.3 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+23.1% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+45.5% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+100.0% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+128.6% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	18 (range 15–21) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.6 per year, r² 0.67) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	75 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	72 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	74 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	80 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97524. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.6 restaurants per year, r² 0.67, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 75 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.4	72	40%	+29.0
Restaurant Opportunity Score	73.6	74	35%	+25.8
Market Momentum Score	79.9	80	25%	+20.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	15,078	77	40%	+30.7
Median household income (ACS)	82,933	66	40%	+26.2
Households (ACS)	6,160	77	20%	+15.5

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 74 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	45.5	79	35%	+27.7
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	10.6	70	25%	+17.5
Population (ACS)	15,078	77	20%	+15.4
Median household income (ACS)	82,933	66	20%	+13.1

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 80 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	23.1	79	50%	+39.7
10-year restaurant growth	45.5	79	30%	+23.7
20-year restaurant growth	100	82	20%	+16.5

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (38)

By cuisine

American 5 · Coffee 5 · Pizza 5 · Bakery 4 · Burgers 3 · Italian 3 · Juice / smoothies 3 · Mexican 3 · Sandwiches 3 · Breakfast 2 · Dessert 2 · Latin American (other) 2 · Asian 1 · Chinese 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Hot dogs 1 · Japanese 1 · Tea / bubble tea 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 23 · Casual dining 7 · Bar 5 · Café 5 · Quick service 5 · Bakery 4 · Coffee shop 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 3 · Dessert 2 · Winery / distillery / taproom 2 · Delivery-focused 1 · Food truck 1 · Specialty food shop 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abby's Legendary Pizza Abby's Legendary Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	11200 Crater Lake Highway, 11200 OR-62	open
Barbwire Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	172 W Main St	open
Bayer Family Estate Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		11663 Agate Rd	open
Bessy's Cafe	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	10586 OR-62	open
Black Rock Coffee Bar Black Rock Coffee Bar	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	112 W Linn Rd	open
Bobablastic Bobablastic	Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Tea / bubble tea · Juice / smoothies · Coffee	186 Napa St	open
Carl's Jr. Carl's Jr.	Quick service	Burgers · American	78 W Linn Rd	open
Chunnas Sushi	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese	10810 OR-62	open
Cocos Tacos Taqueria	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	336 N Royal Ave	open
COMAL BAR AND GRILL #3 (EAGLE POINT) Comal Bar and Grill Medford	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Mexican	10510 OR-62	open
Crackin' & Stackin' Crackin & Stackin	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Breakfast · American	177 Alta Vista Rd	open
Crater lake coffee	Café · Coffee shop	Coffee · Breakfast	10810 OR-62	open
Dallas' Sourdough Co.	Bakery	Bakery	1996 Highway 234	open
Diamond B RANCH	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian	17990 Highway 62	open
Domaine St. Laurent	Winery / distillery / taproom		3660 Brophy Rd	open
Domino's Domino's Pizza	Quick service · Delivery-focused	Pizza	10586 Highway 62	open
Eagle Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies · Healthy / salads / bowls	10586 OR-62 suite D	open
Ed's Oasis	Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)		299 Old Hwy 62	open
Figaro's Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	11264 OR-62	open
Figaro's Pizza Take & Bake Mobile - Eagle Point	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	10810 OR-62	open
Freddie's Diner and The Main Event	Casual dining · Bar · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	120 W Main St	open
Juan's El Caporal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	7851 14420 OR-62	open
Jus' Dawgs	Food truck · Casual dining	Hot dogs · American	17 S Buchanan Ave	open
Main Street Coffee House	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	115 W Main St	open
My Little Bbq	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1532 S Shasta Ave	open
New Chan's Palace	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chinese · Asian	162 W Main St	open
Pekara Bakery	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	155 Alta Vista Rd # E	open
Pizza Schmizza Pub & Grub PIZZA SCHMIZZA	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	Pizza	10522 Highway 62	open
Purple Parrot	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	11264 Highway 62	open
Redwood Bakery	Bakery	Bakery	816 S Shasta Ave	open
Sensational Sweets	Bakery · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	155 Alta Vista Rd	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11264 Hwy 62	open
Subway	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	11500 Hannon Rd	open
Talon Grill	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	100 Eagle Point Dr	open
The Chicken Shanty	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)		11232 OR-62	open
The Curb	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Burgers	186 Napa St	open
Willie's Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		14760 OR-62	open
Agate Ridge Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1098 Nick Young Rd	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1995	9	7	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1996	10	8	—	—	—	2	SIC1987
1997	9	6	—	—	—	3	SIC1987
1998	11	8	4	2	2	3	NAICS1997
1999	11	7	3	2	2	4	NAICS1997
2000	13	9	4	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2001	12	9	4	4	1	3	NAICS1997
2002	12	9	6	2	1	3	NAICS1997
2003	10	8	4	4	—	2	NAICS2002
2004	15	10	5	4	1	3	NAICS2002
2005	11	6	3	2	1	3	NAICS2002
2006	10	6	3	2	1	2	NAICS2002
2007	16	11	5	5	1	4	NAICS2002
2008	15	11	5	6	—	3	NAICS2007
2009	16	12	6	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2010	16	12	6	5	1	3	NAICS2007
2011	14	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS2007
2012	15	10	5	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2013	17	11	5	6	—	4	NAICS2012
2014	14	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2015	13	9	4	5	—	3	NAICS2012
2016	15	10	4	5	1	3	NAICS2012
2017	17	12	5	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2018	18	13	6	6	—	3	NAICS2017
2019	16	11	6	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2020	16	11	6	4	—	3	NAICS2017
2021	19	13	6	4	3	3	NAICS2017
2022	21	16	6	6	4	—	NAICS2022
2023	21	16	7	6	3	—	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97524. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.