BMIE Market 97527

Josephine County, Oregon · ZCTA boundaries as of 2020

Profile

Population (current estimate)	37,330 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±1,783 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01003_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Households	14,968 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±562 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B11001_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Population, 2010 Census count	33,713 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · POP10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Housing units	15,365 2010 Census count · Decennial Census · Census Gazetteer ZCTA 2010 · HU10 · on 2010 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-04
Median household income	$66,975 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±5,540 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B19013_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median age	47.2 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±3 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B01002_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median gross rent	$1,339 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±82 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25064_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Median home value	$429,700 2020–2024 ACS 5-year estimate ±15,204 · American Community Survey 5-Year Estimates · ACS 5-Year 2024 (2020-2024) ZCTA · B25077_001E · on 2020 boundaries · retrieved 2026-09-05
Land area	219.8 sq mi Census Gazetteer 2020
Restaurants	44 2023 · U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns 2023 detail (NAICS2022) · by USPS ZIP 97527
Restaurants per 10,000 residents	8.0 DERIVED: 2010 restaurants (ZIP) ÷ 2010 Census population (ZCTA) · different years, stated as such
Restaurant growth, 5-year	+22.2% DERIVED: 2018 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 10-year	+12.8% DERIVED: 2013 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, 20-year	+83.3% DERIVED: 2003 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Restaurant growth, Longest on file	+238.5% DERIVED: 1994 → 2023, ZIP Code Business Patterns restaurants
Projected restaurants, 2028	45 (range 41–50) FORECAST · linear trend v1 fitted to 2013–2023 (11 points, +0.7 per year, r² 0.50) · 80% range · confidence Medium · momentum, not a guarantee
Projected population, 5 years ahead	Needs more ACS years on file
BMIE Market Score	69 / 100 MODELED · bmie_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Consumer Market Score	73 / 100 MODELED · consumer_market_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63 / 100 MODELED · restaurant_opportunity_score v1 · confidence High · why?
Market Momentum Score	72 / 100 MODELED · market_momentum_score v1 · confidence High · why?

Map

Boundary: U.S. Census Bureau cartographic file, 1:500k, 2020 vintage. Basemap © OpenStreetMap contributors.

Trends

Historical lines are published counts. Dashed lines are derived: a least-squares trend through the last decade, extended as a FORECAST with its 80% range. Momentum, not a guarantee.

Restaurants by year, with trend and projection

ZIP Code Business Patterns, USPS ZIP 97527. Projection: linear trend v1, fitted 2013–2023, +0.7 restaurants per year, r² 0.50, confidence Medium.

Growth index (first year on file = 100)

Each category relative to its own first published count. Full/limited split is unavailable under SIC (before 1998).

Mix of the food-service market

Share of all food-service establishments. "Other" = snack bars, caterers, contractors, mobile.

Population and restaurants per 10,000 residents

Population points: 2010 Census count and ACS 5-year estimates on file (more vintages load over time). Density uses the population point within two years of each restaurant count. Population projection appears once three or more ACS years are loaded.

Restaurant growth vs. Oregon and U.S. averages

Averages are the mean growth across all ZCTAs with the figure (state n = 349, U.S. n = 24,852). DERIVED from ZIP Code Business Patterns.

Why these scores?

Each score is a weighted average of national percentile ranks (0 = lowest of all ZCTAs with that figure, 100 = highest). Weights are set in the model registry, not in code, and every score carries its model version.

BMIE Market Score: 69 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Consumer Market Score	72.7	73	40%	+29.1
Restaurant Opportunity Score	63.2	63	35%	+22.1
Market Momentum Score	72.0	72	25%	+18.0

Health index, advertising, whitespace, competition and risk components join in later versions.

Consumer Market Score: 73 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
Population (ACS)	37,330	93	40%	+37.1
Median household income (ACS)	66,975	42	40%	+16.9
Households (ACS)	14,968	93	20%	+18.7

Percentile-rank composite. No spending model yet: income and size stand in for spending capacity.

Restaurant Opportunity Score: 63 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
10-year restaurant growth	12.8	57	35%	+19.8
Restaurants per 10,000 residents (lower = more room)	11.8	65	25%	+16.3
Population (ACS)	37,330	93	20%	+18.6
Median household income (ACS)	66,975	42	20%	+8.5

Whitespace, competition and demand signals are not yet available; this version uses growth, density, size and income only.

Market Momentum Score: 72 (High confidence)

Component	Value	Rank	Weight	Adds
5-year restaurant growth	22.2	79	50%	+39.5
10-year restaurant growth	12.8	57	30%	+17.0
20-year restaurant growth	83.3	78	20%	+15.6

Restaurant-count growth only until population and income growth series exist.

A high score is a statistical position among all U.S. ZCTAs, not a prediction that a restaurant will succeed.

Restaurants on file (119)

By cuisine

American 21 · Mexican 14 · Coffee 11 · BBQ 8 · Sandwiches 8 · Bakery 7 · Ice cream / frozen desserts 6 · Latin American (other) 6 · Burgers 5 · Asian 4 · Dessert 4 · Juice / smoothies 4 · Pizza 3 · Italian 2 · Chicken / wings 1 · Hawaiian / Pacific 1 · Healthy / salads / bowls 1 · Japanese 1 · Mediterranean 1 · Steakhouse 1 · Sushi 1 · Thai 1 · Vegetarian 1

By type

Restaurant (service type not stated) 49 · Bar 26 · Quick service 20 · Winery / distillery / taproom 17 · Casual dining 16 · Dessert 10 · Coffee shop 9 · Café 8 · Bakery 7 · Food truck 4 · Juice, smoothie, tea 4 · Specialty food shop 3 · Brewery / taproom 1 · Delivery-focused 1 · Other 1

Name	Type	Cuisine	Address	Status
Abby's Legendary Pizza Abby's Legendary Pizza	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza · Italian	1560 Williams Hwy	open
American Window Fashions	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1515 Redwood Ave Ste 2	open
Animal House Coffee Grants Pass	Bakery · Café	American · Coffee · Bakery	3345 Redwood Hwy	open
Applegate Saloon	Bar · Casual dining		324 Riverbanks Rd	open
Applegate Valley Artisan Breads	Bakery	Bakery	11341 Williams Hwy	open
Apricity Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		5719 Jerome Prairie Rd	open
Asian Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	202 Redwood Hwy	open
Asian Fix	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	550 Redwood Hwy	open
Augustino Estate and Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		16995 N Applegate Rd	open
Baskin-Robbins Baskin-Robbins	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service · Bakery	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Dessert · Bakery	300 Union Ave, Ste A	open
Blimpie	Quick service		1610 SW Allen Creek Rd Ste 103	open
Blondies Bistro	Bar		298 Rogue River Hwy.	open
Blossom Barn Cidery	Winery / distillery / taproom		950 Kubli Rd	open
Bragg Family Farmstand	Bakery	Bakery	1661 Murphy Creek Rd	open
Burger King Burger King	Quick service	Burgers · American	501 Rogue River Hwy	open
C&l Antojitos Mexicanos Llc	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1259 Rogue River Hwy	open
Cary's of Oregon	Dessert		413 Union Ave	open
Casa Amiga	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	200 McDonald Ln	open
Casablanca Coffee & Grill Casablanca Coffee and Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	6410 Williams Hwy	open
Casablanca Coffee and Grill Casablanca Coffee and Grill	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Casual dining · Bar	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	686 Union Ave	open
Cedarwood Saloon	Casual dining · Bar		1345 Redwood Ave	open
Clan Wayman Brewing	Brewery / taproom		719 Southside Rd	open
Clubhouse Grille	Restaurant (service type not stated)		230 Espey Rd	open
Code 4 Taphouse	Casual dining · Bar		515 Rogue River Hwy	open
Dairy Queen Grill & Chill Dairy Queen	Quick service · Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	610 Redwood Hwy	open
Deano's Diner	Casual dining	American · BBQ	2482 Williams Hwy	open
Donutland	Bakery · Dessert	Dessert · Bakery	75 Fruitdale Dr	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1620 SW Allen Creek Rd	open
Dutch Bros Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	1390 Williams Hwy	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop	Coffee	2223 SW Allen Creek Rd	open
Dutch Bros. Coffee Dutch Bros Coffee Jackson County	Coffee shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Café	Coffee	638 Redwood Hwy.	open
Dwell Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom		7281 Williams Hwy	open
Eddy's Burgers	Casual dining	Burgers · American	956 Rogue River Hwy	open
Ediberto's Taco Shop	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1555 Williams Hwy Ste E	open
El Charro Viejo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	1610 Allen Creek Rd #105	open
El Molcajete	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	201 E Park St	open
El Paraiso Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	201 E Park St	open
El Patron Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	799 Rogue River Hwy	open
Flespy's Bar and Grill	Casual dining · Bar		670 Fruitdale Dr	open
Flores Tacos Locos	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	1610 SW Allen Creek Rd	open
Going Rogue Coffee LLC	Coffee shop · Juice, smoothie, tea · Café	Coffee · Juice / smoothies	1660 Redwood Ave	open
Grants Pass, OR (Atown) Dutch Bros. Coffee	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1620 Allen Creek Rd.	open
Grip N Grub	Restaurant (service type not stated)		Various Locations	open
Hygeia Nutrition	Juice, smoothie, tea	Juice / smoothies	1252 Redwood Ave	open
Jd's Sports Pub	Bar		690 Redwood Hwy	open
Jimmy John's Jimmy John's	Quick service	Sandwiches · American	1555 Williams Hwy	open
Karens Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		9001 Rogue River Hwy	open
Krispy Krunchy Chicken	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Chicken / wings	650 Redwood Hwy	open
Leo's BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1259 Rogue River Hwy A	open
Leos BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	BBQ	6401 Rogue River Hwy	open
Lil' Pantry Lil' Pantry	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	979 Rogue River Hwy	open
Little Caesars Pizza Little Caesars	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Pizza	1616 Williams Hwy	open
Los Postres Ice Cream And More	Dessert · Juice, smoothie, tea	Ice cream / frozen desserts · Juice / smoothies	202 Redwood Hwy	open
Mary's BBQ @ the club	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	230 Espey Rd	open
Mayjah Flayvah	Food truck · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Hawaiian / Pacific	712 Redwood Hwy	open
McDonald's McDonald's	Quick service	Burgers · American	1610 SW Allen Creek Rd	open
O'Aces II	Casual dining · Bar	American	2482 Williams Hwy	open
Paddys Pub	Bar			open
Papa Murphy's	Delivery-focused · Quick service	Pizza	263 Rogue River Highway	open
Papas Cafe and BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · Burgers	1720 Redwood Ave	open
Pennington Farms	Bakery	Bakery	11341 Williams Hwy	open
Pig O’ Latte’s	Food truck	Sandwiches · BBQ	5635 Riverbanks Rd	open
Pinkys Eats & Treats	Food truck		1229 Rogue River Hwy	open
Pita Pit	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mediterranean · Sandwiches	1632 Williams HIghway	open
Pizza Takeout & Delivery Papa Murphy's	Quick service			open
Provolt Country Store and Deli	Specialty food shop · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Quick service	Sandwiches	14299 OR-238	open
R Haus Restaurant & Sports Bar	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	2140 Rogue River Hwy	open
Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Red Robin Gourmet Burgers	Casual dining · Bar	Burgers · American	1561 Allen Creek Rd	open
Rise In Glory Bakeshop	Bakery · Dessert	Bakery · Dessert	1143 Annabelle Ln	open
River's Edge Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	American · Steakhouse	1936 Rogue River Hwy	open
Rogue Bakery & Cafe	Coffee shop	Coffee	2590 Leonard Rd	open
Rogue River Market and Deli	Specialty food shop · Quick service	Sandwiches	1641 Rogue River Hwy	open
Rosella's Vineyard & Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		184 Missouri Flat Rd	open
Savage Creek Scoops	Dessert · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Ice cream / frozen desserts	6415 Rogue River Hwy	open
Schmidt Family Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		330 Kubli Rd	open
Schultz Wines	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		755 Slagle Creek Rd	open
Scoops & More	Dessert · Casual dining	Ice cream / frozen desserts · American	6415 Rogue River Hwy	open
Serra Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom		222 Missouri Flat Rd	open
Shenanigan's Lounge	Bar		515 Rogue River Hwy	open
SI CASA Xpress	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican	294 Union Ave	open
Slagle Creek Vineyards	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar	American	1629 Slagle Creek Rd	open
Smoke House BBQ	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ	1381 Redwood Ave	open
Soloro Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		9113 N Applegate Rd	open
Sonic Drive-In Sonic Drive-In	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	American	255 Union Ave	open
Starbucks Coffee Company Starbucks	Coffee shop · Café	Coffee	1690 Allen Creek Rd	open
Steelhead Tavern	Casual dining · Bar		6401 Rogue River Hwy	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1610 Allen Creek Road Suite 106	open
Subway Subway	Quick service · Restaurant (service type not stated)	Sandwiches	1607 Williams Hwy Suite 1	open
Sweet Tea Express Sweet Tea Express	Restaurant (service type not stated)	BBQ · American	1330 Redwood Ave	open
Taco Bell Taco Bell	Quick service	Mexican	1670 Allen Creek Rd	open
Tamales Con Alma Cocina Mexicana	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Casual dining	Mexican · American	202 Redwood Hwy	open
Taqueria Charro Viejo	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	799 Rogue River Hwy	open
Taqueria La Guacamaya	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Mexican · Latin American (other)	9001 Rogue River Hwy	open
Tarascos Mexican Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Other	Mexican	202 Redwood Hwy	open
Taylors Sausage Inc	Quick service		202 Redwood Hwy	open
TCBY	Dessert	Ice cream / frozen desserts	1624 Williams Hwy	open
The 238 Bar	Bar		1620 Williams Hwy	open
The Buckboard Grill	Casual dining · Restaurant (service type not stated) · Bar	American	100 Murphy Creek Rd	open
The Copper Mug Cocktail Lounge	Bar		1320 Redwood Ave	open
The Garage	Bar		3603 New Hope Rd	open
The Great Unbaked	Dessert	Dessert	8880 Williams Hwy	open
The Hangry House	Restaurant (service type not stated) · Food truck · Bar		1741 Dowell Rd	open
The Levee	Bar		6401 Rogue River Hwy	open
The Lucky Duck	Café	Coffee	1850 Redwood Ave	open
The Mixed Grill	Casual dining · Bar	American	225 Rogue River Hwy	open
The Royal	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Thai	1883 Williams Hwy	open
The Royal Barge Noodle House	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Asian	1330 Redwood Ave	open
The Vine Restaurant	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Italian · Vegetarian · Healthy / salads / bowls	1610 SW Allen Creek Rd #111	open
Troon Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		1475 Kubli Rd	open
Tuna Sushi & Bento Box	Restaurant (service type not stated)	Japanese · Sushi · Asian	1632 Williams Hwy	open
Two Rivers Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom		2123 Riverbanks Rd	open
Vinnys Italian Kitchen	Restaurant (service type not stated)		1610 SW Allen Creek Rd	open
Vista 222	Winery / distillery / taproom		222 Missouri Flat Rd	open
Walport Family Cellars	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		470 Slagle Creek Rd	open
Wanderlust Vineyard	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1000 Kubli Rd	open
Wild Grape Bistro	Casual dining		1555 Williams Hwy	open
Wine Camp Blog by Craig Camp	Winery / distillery / taproom · Bar		1475 Kubli Rd	open
Wooldridge Creek Winery	Winery / distillery / taproom		818 Slagle Creek Rd	open
Southside Coffee & Deli Llc	Coffee shop	Coffee	1883 Williams Hwy	closed

Listings: Overture Maps Places (CDLA-Permissive-2.0), matched into the BMIE restaurant master. Census establishment counts and listing counts differ by definition (Census counts employer establishments in the reference week; listings are places currently mapped).

Restaurant establishments over time

Year	All food service	Restaurants	Full-service	Limited-service	Snack & beverage	Bars	Industry codes
1994	19	13	—	—	—	6	SIC1987
1995	21	12	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1996	24	15	—	—	—	9	SIC1987
1997	28	21	—	—	—	7	SIC1987
1998	31	23	16	7	—	8	NAICS1997
1999	34	25	16	8	1	9	NAICS1997
2000	34	28	19	8	1	6	NAICS1997
2001	32	24	14	8	2	7	NAICS1997
2002	33	23	12	7	4	7	NAICS1997
2003	34	24	11	7	6	8	NAICS2002
2004	32	24	11	7	6	6	NAICS2002
2005	37	30	16	7	7	5	NAICS2002
2006	36	29	13	9	7	4	NAICS2002
2007	43	35	13	11	11	5	NAICS2002
2008	39	32	15	8	9	4	NAICS2007
2009	35	28	13	8	7	3	NAICS2007
2010	35	27	11	9	7	4	NAICS2007
2011	37	30	12	11	7	4	NAICS2007
2012	45	36	15	12	9	6	NAICS2012
2013	46	39	14	16	9	5	NAICS2012
2014	42	35	14	13	8	5	NAICS2012
2015	43	36	16	14	6	5	NAICS2012
2016	43	35	13	16	6	5	NAICS2012
2017	45	37	12	17	7	5	NAICS2017
2018	44	36	12	18	5	6	NAICS2017
2019	48	38	13	17	7	8	NAICS2017
2020	48	38	15	16	7	7	NAICS2017
2021	49	38	15	16	7	7	NAICS2017
2022	55	44	17	20	7	7	NAICS2022
2023	53	44	15	23	6	4	NAICS2022

U.S. Census Bureau, ZIP Code Business Patterns, by USPS ZIP 97527. Categories are BMIE roll-ups of the published SIC/NAICS codes (full vs limited service is not split under SIC). More years load in stages.

Nearby markets (within 5 miles)

None within 5 miles.